Chapter 4 Regression Models

Learning Objectives

After completing this chapter, students will be able to:

  1. 4.1 Identify variables, visualize them in a scatter diagram, and use them in a regression model.

  2. 4.2 Develop simple linear regression equations from sample data and interpret the slope and intercept.

  3. 4.3 Calculate the coefficient of determination and the coefficient of correlation and interpret their meanings.

  4. 4.4 List the assumptions used in regression and use residual plots to identify problems.

  5. 4.5 Interpret the F test in a linear regression model.

  6. 4.6 Use computer software for regression analysis.

  7. 4.7 Develop a multiple regression model and use it for prediction purposes.

  8. 4.8 Use dummy variables to model categorical data.

  9. 4.9 Determine which variables should be included in a multiple regression model.

  10. 4.10 Transform a nonlinear function into a linear one for use in regression.

  11. 4.11 Understand and avoid mistakes commonly made in the use of regression analysis.

Regression analysis is a very valuable tool for today’s manager. Regression has been used to model things such as the relationship between level of education and income, the price of a house and the square footage, and the sales volume for a company relative to the dollars spent on advertising. When businesses are trying to decide which location is best for a new store or branch office, regression models are often used. Cost estimation models are often regression models. The applicability of regression analysis is virtually limitless.

There are generally two purposes for regression analysis. The first is to understand the relationship between variables such as advertising expenditures and sales. The second purpose is to predict the value of one variable based on the value of the other. Because of this, regression is a very important forecasting technique and will be addressed again in Chapter 5.

In this chapter, the simple linear regression model will first be developed, and then a more complex multiple regression model will be used to incorporate even more variables into our model. In any regression model, the variable to be predicted is called the dependent variable or response variable. The value of this is said to be dependent upon the value of an independent variable, which is sometimes called an explanatory variable or a predictor variable.

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