Key Equations

(14-1)

π(i)=(π1, π2, π3,…,, πn)

Vector of state probabilities for period i.

(14-2)

P=[P11P12P13P1nP21P22P23P2nPm1Pmn]

Matrix of transition probabilities—that is, the probability of going from one state into another.

(14-3)

π(1)=π(0)P

Formula for calculating the state 1 probabilities given state 0 data.

(14-4)

π(n+1)=π(n)P

Formula for calculating the state probabilities for the period n+1 if we are in period n.

(14-5)

π(n)=π(0)Pn

Formula for computing the state probabilities for ­period n if we are in period 0.

(14-6)

π=πP

Equilibrium state equation used to derive equilibrium probabilities.

(14-7)

P=[IOAB]

Partition of the matrix of transition for absorbing state analysis.

(14-8)

F=(IB)-1

Fundamental matrix used in computing probabilities of ending up in an absorbing state.

(14-9)

[abcd]-1=[dr-br-crar ] where r=adbc

Inverse of a matrix with 2 rows and 2 columns.

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