$75,000 and 70% of them having a college degree. In many college towns, including
Madison, WI and Ann Arbor, MI, the public radio station is the largest or second-largest
station in the market across all formats.
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The ability of public radio to attract high-
income audiences provides a particular challenge for commercial radio, as these listeners
should be particularly valuable to advertisers.
One natural question is whether the existence of non-commercial radio stations
“crowds out” commercial stations. There is excess demand for commercial licenses in
larger urban markets, so the focus is, instead, on whether public stations crowd out com-
mercial stations from particular formats.
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Berry and Waldfogel (1999c) use a cross-
section of data from 1993 to examine whether local public classical and jazz stations
crowd out commercial stations in the same formats. A prerequisite for crowding out
is that public and commercial stations compete for the same listeners, and they show that
there is evidence that the presence of public classical or jazz stations reduces the audience
size of commercial stations in these formats, and that in the classical format, the music
selections of commercial and non-commercial stations are quite similar, suggesting that
substitution and, therefore, crowd-out are plausible. They also find that crowd-out is
likely to be concentrated in the largest radio markets because it is only in these markets
where commercial jazz and (especially) classical stations are found even when public sta-
tions are absent.
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How important are these results? On the one hand, if the number of stations is fixed,
crowd-out in a particular format implies that listeners in other formats will be benefitting
from greater commercial station variety. On the other hand, these results do suggest valu-
able public funds are being spent providing programming that the market would likely
provide anyway, and which also may be consumed disproportionately by more affluent
groups in the population who do not lack for access to many kinds of media.
Waldfogel (2011b) revisits these questions using data from 2005 to 2009. The results
are broadly similar, suggesting, for example, that the presence of a public classical station
reduces the expected number of commercial classical stations by between 0.3 and 0.4 in
large markets. However, unlike the earlier research, this paper also finds some evidence of
crowding out of news stations. Given that public news stations and commercial news
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Author’s calculations based on 2014 data available at http://www.rrconline.org/reports/pdf/Fa14%
20eRanks.pdf (public stations) and http://ratings.radio-online.com/cgi-bin/rol.exe/arb581 (commercial
stations) (both accessed March 18, 2015).
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For example, the Department of Justice has argued that spectrum constraints prevent new entry of FM
stations in medium-sized markets such as Harrisburg, PA and Colorado Springs, CO (
United States
Department of Justice, 2000b
). Of course, given excess demand for licenses, the reservation of spectrum
for non-commercial stations is almost certainly crowding out commercial programming.
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For classical programming, they find evidence of crowd-out for markets in the two largest population
quintiles in their sample. These were markets with populations above 561,000 in 1993. In 2013, the Syr-
acuse, NY radio market had a population of 567,000 (Nielsen Fall 2013 Market Survey Schedule and
Population Rankings).
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Radio