With regard to the timing, platforms first select their advertising levels and advertisers
then submit their conditional demands specifying which types of users they wish to be
matched with for a given advertising price. For example, advertisers announce that they
want to have ads displayed only to users who show an interest with a probability higher
than some cutoff level. After users have decided which media platform to consume from,
advertisers observe the signals and update their valuations. The advertising price then
adjusts to clear the market. Afterward, consumers enjoy the media content, observe
the advertisement, and make purchases.
In this setting,
Rutt (2012) shows that targeting increases the advertising price and
thereby allows platforms to receive higher profits. This effect is the stronger the more
competitive is the market and the more users are averse to ads. This is because in markets
satisfying these conditions, the equilibrium features only few advertisements, implying
that the marginal advertiser received a particularly high signal. As a consequence,
improved targeting increases this advertiser’s willingness-to-pay, resulting in a strong
increase in the advertising price. In the case of free entry of platforms (at some setup
costs), improved targeting may exacerbate excessive entry and leads to insufficient adver-
tising due to high prices. Overall, the model therefore predicts a heterogeneous effect of
targeting in different media markets.
The models of
Athey and Gans (2010) and Bergemann and Bonatti (2011) share the
assumption that offline and online advertising are substitutes.
55,56
If a potential consumer
can be contacted via an advertisement through one channel, a conditional contact
through the other channel is worth less.
Goldfarb and Tucker (2011a) provide empirical
support. They use data on estimated advertising prices paid by lawyers to contact potential
clients with recent personal injuries.
Goldfarb and Tucker (2011a) exploit state-level var-
iation in the ability of lawyers to solicit those customers. In particular, this “ambulance-
chasing” behavior is regulated in some states by the state bar associations, which forbid
written communication (including direct electronic communication via email) with
potential clients for 30–45 days after the accident.
Goldfarb and Tucker (2011a) use data
on estimated auction prices of 139 Google search terms on personal injury in 195 regional
city markets to analyze the effects of these regulations.
57
They find that, compared to the
prices for personal injury keywords in non-regulated states, in states with solicitation
55
Rutt (2012) considers only online platforms. When interpreting some platforms as online and others as
offline media outlets in his model, online and offline advertising would be independent. This is because
users only visit a single platform and so advertisers can reach each particular user exclusively via online or
via offline advertising.
56
More generally, there is a link between offline and online in the sense that advertising offline affects con-
sumer purchase online. In particular,
Liaukonyte et al. (2015) study the effect of television commercials on
actual purchase behavior on the Internet. They find a positive effect, even immediately after a viewer is
exposed to the commercial.
57
Search terms on personal injury can be identified objectively because there is a precise legal definition by
the bar association.
504
Handbook of Media Economics