Contents

List of Figures

List of Tables

List of Contributors

Prologue: The Scope of Resilience Engineering by Erik Hollnagel

PART I         DEALING WITH THE ACTUAL

Chapter 1      Resilience and the Ability to Respond

Jean Pariès

Resilience in ‘Real Time’

Readiness and Anticipation

Being Prepared to Be Unprepared

Adapted or Adaptive?

Chapter 2      Lessons from the Hudson

Jean Pariès

Miracle on the Hudson River?

The Bird Hazard

Bird Strike Protection Strategy

From Anticipated Emergency to Real Time Response

From ‘Satisficing’ to ‘Sacrificing’ Decisions

From Safety Strategies to Resilience Engineering at the System Level

When Systemic Resilience Efforts Undermine Resilience at the Sharp End

In Conclusion: Two Lessons and a Wish

Chapter 3      Coping with Uncertainty. Resilient Decisions in Anaesthesia

Lucie Cuvelier and Pierre Falzon

States of Resilience and Uncertain Events

Describing How Anaesthesiologists Manage Uncertainty

Unforeseen Situations: Potential Variability and Unthought-of Variability

Resilience as the Ability to Define an Envelope of Potential Variability

Resilience as the Ability to Diagnose that the System Leaves the Envelope of Potential Variability

Enhancing Resilience: Paths for Progress

Acknowledgements

Chapter 4      Training Organisational Resilience in Escalating Situations

Johan Bergström, Nicklas Dahlström, Sidney Dekker and Kurt Petersen

Introduction

Generic Competencies in Management of Unexpected and Escalating Situations

Scenario Design

Training Generic Competencies

Discussion

PART II        DEALING WITH THE CRITICAL

Chapter 5      Monitoring – A Critical Ability in Resilience Engineering

John Wreathall

The Role of Indicators in Measurement

Selection and Basis for Indicators

Nature of Indicators

Leading and Lagging Indicators

Chapter 6      From Flight Time Limitations to Fatigue Risk Management Systems – A Way Toward Resilience

P. Cabon, S. Deharvengt, I. Berechet, J.Y. Grau, N. Maille and R. Mollard

Introduction

Fatigue and Safety

The Development of Fatigue Risk Management System

Safety Policy and Objectives

Fatigue Risk Management

Safety Assurance

Monitoring Process

Safety Promotion

Conclusion

Acknowledgements

Disclaimer

Chapter 7      Practices for Noticing and Dealing with the Critical. A Case Study from Maintenance of Power Plants

Elizabeth Lay

Introduction

Business Background

Loss Control Philosophy

Highly Resilient Organizations

Anticipate

Notice

Planning

Adapting

Conclusion

Chapter 8      Cognitive Strategies in Emergency and Abnormal Situations Training – Implications for Resilience in Air Traffic Control

Stathis Malakis and Tom Kontogiannis

Introduction

Method

T2EAM Model

Results

T2EAM Model and Cognitive Task Analysis

Conclusion

PART III      DEALING WITH THE POTENTIAL

Chapter 9      Resilience and the Ability to Anticipate

David D. Woods

Patterns of Anticipation

Chapter 10    Basic Patterns in How Adaptive Systems Fail

David D. Woods and Matthieu Branlat

The Optimist-Pessimist Divide on Complex Adaptive Systems

Assessing Future Resilience from Studying the History of Adaptation (and Maladaptation)

Patterns of Maladaptation

Illustration of the Basic Patterns

Urban Fire-fighting and the Dynamics of Decompensation

Urban Fire-fighting and Coordination over Multiple Groups and Goals

Urban Fire-fighting and the Risk of Getting Stuck in Outdated Behaviours

Recognising what is Maladaptive Depends on Perspective Contrasts

Chapter 11    Measuring Resilience in the Planning of Rail Engineering Work

P. Ferreira, J.R. Wilson, B. Ryan and S. Sharples

Introduction

Measuring Resilience Factors

Questionnaire Design

Questionnaire Implementation

Principal Components Analysis

Interpretation of the Extracted Components

Extracted Factors and the Potential for Resilience

Acknowledgements

Chapter 12    The Art of Balance: Using Upward Resilience Traits to Deal with Conflicting Goals

Berit Tjørhom and Karina Aase

Introduction

The Art of Balance

Downward and Upward Resilience

Traces of Balancing Within the Norwegian Aviation Transport System

Conclusion

Chapter 13    The Importance of Functional Interdependencies in Financial Services Systems

Gunilla A Sundström and Erik Hollnagel

Introduction

The Financial Services System 2007–2009

What is the Financial Services System?

What Creates the Dynamic Interactions?

The Modelling Steps

Identifying the Core Functions

Identifying Potential for Functional Resonance

Identifying How Performance Variance can be Monitored and Controlled

Example: The Demise of Northern Rock

Concluding Remarks

PART IV       DEALING WITH THE FACTUAL

Chapter 14    To Learn or Not to Learn, that is the Question

Erik Hollnagel

The Conditions for Learning

The Impact of Learning

What Should Be Learned?

Chapter 15    No Facts, No Glory

John Stoop

Introduction

Case 1: Before, During and After the Event; the Boeing 747 Case Study

The Reason for Building such Aircraft

The Bijlmermeer Crash

Case 2: ERTMS. An Inquiry into the Safety Architecture of High Speed Train Safety

Emergent Properties

Transparency

Towards a New Train Control Concept

Lessons Learned

Discussion

What Do We Need to Design Resilient Systems?

What has Created Opportunities for Resilience in these two Cases?

Chapter 16    From Myopic Coordination to Resilience in Socio-technical Systems. A Case Study in a Hospital

Anne Sophie Nyssen

Introduction

Coordination as a Component of Resilience in Socio-Technical Systems like Hospitals

The Organisation’s Approach to Coordination

Vertical Coordination Tools

Lateral Coordination Tools

Longitudinal Coordination Tools

A Catastrophic Experience

Case Analysis: An Emergence-through-use Approach of Coordination

Discussion

Conclusions – ‘Enhancing Projection outside the Local Immediate’

Chapter 17    Requisites for Successful Incident Reporting in Resilient Organisations

Alberto Pasquini, Simone Pozzi, Luca Save and Mark-Alexander Sujan

Introduction

A Success and a Failure Story: Reporting Systems in Aviation and Healthcare

Handle with Care: All Reporting System are Different

The Pass Criterion

Degree of Standardisation

Visibility

Understand the Characteristics of your Community

Assess Safety Culture

What Happens When Key Structural Properties are Missing?

Proactive Risk Monitoring

Conclusion

Chapter 18    Is the Aviation Industry Ready for Resilience? Mapping Human Factors Assumptions across the Aviation Sector

Kyla Zimmermann, Jean Pariès, René Amalberti and Daniel H. Hummerdal

Paradigms in Safety and Human Factors

Diversity in Aviation

The Safety Assumptions and Resilient Attitudes (SARA) Survey

The Business of (not) Measuring Resilience

Developing the SARA Survey

The Survey Respondents and Interview Participants

Analysis of the SARA Survey Results

Differences between National and Occupational Cultures

Discussion of Differences between National/Societal Cultures

Discussion of the Differences between Occupational Cultures

Cultural Bias in Culture Research

Ambiguity and Contradictions

Discussion: Integrating and Interpreting Ambiguity and Contradictions

The Limitations of Attitude Measurement

Two Explanations, One Conclusion

Is Resilience Ready for the Aviation Industry?

Acknowledgements

Epilogue: RAG – The Resilience Analysis Grid by Erik Hollnagel

Bibliography

Author Index

Subject Index

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