A business case is a key document in a business analysis project and is the place where the analysts present their findings and propose a course of action for senior management to consider. This chapter considers the purpose, structure and content of a business case and provides some guidance on how to assemble the information and to present the finished product. One thing worth remembering is that, to some extent, a business case is a ‘sales’ document, aimed at getting people to take a decision. Therefore, some of the key rules of successful selling apply: stress benefits, not features; sell the benefits before discussing the cost; get the ‘buyers’ to understand the size of the problem – or opportunity – before presenting the amount of time, effort and money that will be needed to implement a solution.
A question often asked about the business case is ‘when should it be produced?’ This issue is addressed in Figure 9.1. As the illustration shows, a business case is a living document and should be revised as the project proceeds and as more is discovered about the proposed solution and the costs and benefits of introducing it. In addition, organisations and the environments in which they operate are not static and so the business case must be kept under review to ensure that changing circumstances have not invalidated it. The initial business case often results from a feasibility study, where the broad requirements and options have been considered and where ‘ballpark’ estimates of costs and benefits are developed. The ballpark figures must, however, be revisited once more detailed analysis work has been completed and a fuller picture has emerged of the options available. It should also be examined again once the solution has been designed and much more reliable figures are available for the costs of development. The business case should next be reviewed before the solution is deployed, precisely because the costs of deployment are now more reliable. Also, business circumstances may have changed and it may not be worth proceeding to implementation. Finally, once the proposed solution has been in operation for a while, there should be a benefits review to determine the degree to which the predicted business benefits have been realised and to identify actions to support the delivery of these benefits.
Figure 9.1 refers to each of these review points as ‘decision gates’. The concept shown, now widely used in project management, is that projects should pass certain tests – not least those relating to their business viability – before they can be allowed to proceed to the next stage.
The first step in putting together a business case is to identify and explore the various options that exist for solving the business issue. There are actually two kinds of options:
At one time, it was considered that these two elements should be considered separately and deal with business first, the aim being to avoid the technical ‘tail’ wagging the business ‘dog’. Nowadays, however, most changes to business practice involve the use of IT in some form and it is often the availability of technology that makes the business solutions possible. For example, one way of reducing the need for staff in a supermarket would be to enable customers to scan their purchases themselves using ‘smart’ bar codes. For this reason, it is a bit difficult to keep business and technical options separate but it remains true that business needs should drive the options process, rather than the use of technology for its own sake.
The basic process for developing options is shown in Figure 9.2. Identifying options is probably best achieved through some form of workshop, where brainstorming and other creative problem-solving approaches can be employed. Modelling techniques such as Business Activity Modelling (Chapter 6) or Business Process Modelling (Chapter 7) are also useful to help generate options. The aim is to get all of the possible ideas out on the table before going on to consider which ones are most promising. Even if some of the ideas seem a bit far-fetched, they may provide part of the actual solution or stimulate other people to come up with similar, but more workable, suggestions. Another way of identifying options is to study what other organisations – possibly your competitors – have done to address the same issues.
Once all the possibilities have been flushed out, they can be subjected to evaluation to see which ones are worth examining further. Some ideas can usually be rejected quite quickly as being too expensive, or taking too long to implement, or being counter-cultural. The criteria for assessing feasibility are examined in more detail in the next part of this chapter.
Ideally, the shortlist of options should be reduced to three or four, one of which will usually be that of maintaining the status quo, the ‘do nothing’ option. The reason for restricting the list to three or four possibilities is that it is seldom practical, for reasons of time or cost, to examine more than this in enough detail to be taken forward to the business case. Each of the short-listed options should address the major business issues but offer some distinctive balance of the time they will take to implement, the budget required and the range of features offered. Sometimes, though, the options are ‘variations on a theme’, with one just dealing with the most pressing business issues and others offering various additional features. This situation is illustrated in Figure 9.3.
In Figure 9.3, the bottom option just deals with the most pressing issues, as quickly as possible and at minimal cost. The next option adds some additional features to the solution but costs more and takes longer. The last option a comprehensive solution but obviously takes the longest and costs the most.
One option that should always be considered – and which should usually find its way into the actual business case – is that of doing nothing. Sometimes, it really is a viable option and might even be the best choice for the organisation. Often, though, there is no sensible ‘do nothing’ option as some form of business disaster may result from inaction. In this case, the decision-makers may not be aware that action is imperative and so spelling out the risks and consequences of doing nothing becomes an important part of making the case for the other options.
There are many issues to think about in assessing feasibility but all fall under the three broad headings illustrated in Figure 9.4.
Business feasibility issues include whether the proposal matches the business objectives and strategy of the organisation and – if it is a commercial firm – if it can be achieved in the current market conditions. There is the question of whether the proposed solution will be delivered in sufficient time to secure the desired business benefits. The proposal must ‘fit’ with the management structure of the organisation and with its culture, as lack of cultural fit is often a cause of projects not meeting the expectations held for them. The solution must align with the enterprise architecture for the organisation. The proposal may be for major process change so may have to align with other processes, including those that are not changing, so alignment with the processes defined in the business architecture must also be considered. Whatever is proposed must be within the competencies of the organisation and its personnel, or there must be a plan for the development of these competencies. Finally, many sectors are now heavily regulated and the proposed solution must be one that will be acceptable to the regulators and not infringe other law or treaty obligations.
In assessing technical feasibility, one is normally – though not necessarily – considering IT. The proposed solution must meet the organisation’s demands in terms of system performance, availability, reliability, maintainability and security. It must be asked if the solution is scalable, up or down, if the circumstances of the organisation change. The organisation must possess the technical skills to implement the solution, or supplement these with help from outside. Few IT systems are now completely detached from other systems and so the issue of compatibility must be considered. If the solution involves an off-the-shelf software package, thought should be given to the amount of customisation that would be required and whether this would cause technical difficulties. Finally, consideration is needed regarding whether the proposed solution is a proven one or places excessive reliance on leading edge – that is to say, unproven – technologies. Many organisations would prefer a less ambitious but reliable solution to a more advanced one that comes with a lot of technological risk.
Financial feasibility is about whether the organisation can afford the proposed solution. There may already be a budget imposed. The organisation needs either to have the required funds available or to be in a position to borrow them. Every organisation will have some rules or guidelines about what constitutes an acceptable return on its investment and methods of calculating this are considered later in this chapter. Even if a project pays for itself in the end, it may have unacceptable high costs on the way and so cash flow must also be considered. Finally, all organisations specify some time period over which payback must occur and, in the case of IT projects, the payback periods are often very short, sometimes within the same accounting year as the investment.
Another tool that can be used in assessing feasibility is a PESTLE analysis. PESTLE examines the environment outside an organisation, or perhaps within an organisation but outside the area being studied. It can be used to assess feasibility like this:
A final tool that can be employed to assess the feasibility of an option is a ‘force-field analysis’, illustrated in Figure 9.5.
With a force-field analysis, we consider those forces inside and outside the organisation that will support adoption of the proposal and those that will oppose it; and we need to be sure that the positive forces outweigh the negative. The forces may include the PESTLE factors mentioned above, the elements identified in Figure 9.4 and also the key stakeholders in the organisation (see Chapter 6). If we conclude that the negative forces are just too strong, then the proposal is not feasible and must be abandoned or re-cast in a way that gets more positive forces behind it.
In considering the feasibility of options, we also need to think about their impacts and risks. Because these form part of the business case itself, we discuss them later in this chapter.
Organisations differ in how they like to have business cases presented. Some like large, weighty documents with full analyses of the proposals and all the supporting data. Others like a short, sharp presentation of the main points – we have come across one organisation that mandates that business cases be distilled into a single page of A4. If this sounds cavalier, remember that the people who have to make the decisions on business cases are busy senior managers, whose time is at a premium. Whatever their size, however, the structure and content of most business cases are similar and tend to include these elements:
We shall examine each of these elements in turn.
This sets the scene and explains why the business case is being presented. Where relevant, it should also describe the methods used to examine the business issue and acknowledge those who have contributed to the study.
In many ways, this is the most important part of the document as it is possibly the only part that the senior decision-makers will study properly. It should be written after the rest of the document has been completed and should distill the whole of the business case into a few paragraphs. In an ideal situation, three paragraphs should suffice:
If you cannot get away with only three paragraphs, try at least to restrict the management summary to one or two pages.
This section of the document discusses the current situation and explains where the problems and opportunities lie. As long as these issues are covered to a sufficient level of detail, it is good to keep this section as short as possible; senior managers often complain of having to read pages and pages to find out what they knew already! Sometimes, though, the real problems or opportunities uncovered are not what management thought they were when they instituted the study. In that case, more space will have to be devoted to clarifying the issues and exploring the implications for the business.
In this section of the document, the options to be considered are described with a brief explanation of why we are rejecting those not recommended. More coverage should be devoted to describing the recommended solution and why we are recommending it. As represented in Figure 9.3, there may well be a series of incremental options, from the most basic one to one that addresses all of the issues raised.
Cost–benefit analysis is one of the most interesting – and also the most difficult – aspects of business case development. Before examining the subject in detail, it is worth mentioning that it is good psychology to present the benefits before the costs. Doing this will increase the expectations of the likely costs and will help the decision-makers to appreciate the benefits before they are told the costs of achieving them. In other words, what we are presenting is actually a benefit–cost analysis even though by convention it is always referred to as a cost–benefit analysis.
Although cost–benefit analysis is interesting, it does pose a number of challenges:
The last point concerns the types of costs and benefits that need to be considered. Costs and benefits are either incurred, or enjoyed, immediately or in the longer term. They are also either tangible, which means that a credible – usually monetary – value can be placed on them, or intangible, where this is not the case. Combining these elements, we find that costs and benefits fit into one of four categories, as illustrated in Figure 9.6.
Costs tend to be mainly tangible, whereas benefits are often a mixture of the tangible and intangible. In some organisations, the managers will not consider intangible benefits at all and this often makes it difficult – or even impossible – to make an effective business case. How, for instance, does one place a value on something like a more modern company image achieved through adopting a new logo? In theory, it should be possible to put a numeric value on any cost or benefit; the practical problem is that we seldom have the time, or the specialist expertise – for example, from the field of operational research – to do so.
If intangible benefits are allowed, though, it is very important not to over-state them or, worse, to put some spurious value against them. The danger here is that the decision-makers simply do not believe this value and this then undermines their confidence in other, more soundly based, values. With intangible benefits, it is a much better policy to state what they are and even to emphasise them but to leave the decision-makers to put their own valuations on them.
Another pitfall in cost–benefit analysis is to base them on assumptions. For example, we might say something like ‘If we could achieve a 20% reduction in the time taken to produce invoices, this would amount to 5,000 hours per year or a cost saving of £25,000.’ This will only prove acceptable to the decision-makers if the assumption is plausible. If you can, use assumptions that are common within the organisation and always err on the side of conservatism, which is to under-claim rather than over-claim.
Looking at the four categories of costs and benefits already described, there are some areas where costs and benefits typically arise and there are standard ways of quantifying them.
One particular form of benefit, which is worth thinking about, is what we might call ‘avoided costs’. For example, in the run-up to the year 2000, many organisations were faced with the costs of making their computer systems millennium-compliant. IT departments often instead suggested the wholesale replacement of systems, thereby avoiding the costs of adapting the old systems. In such a case, an investment of, say, £2 million in a new system might be contrasted with an avoided cost of £1 million just to make the old legacy systems compliant. There are often situations where an organisation has to do something and has already budgeted for it; that budget can be offset against a more radical solution that would offer additional business benefits.
Once the various tangible costs and benefits have been assessed, they need to be presented so that management can see whether and when the project pays for itself. As this is a somewhat complex topic, it is examined separately in the section ‘Investment appraisal’.
In addition to the costs and benefits already mentioned, for each of the options we need to explore in the business case any impacts that there might be on the organisation. Some of these impacts may have costs attached to them but some may not and are simply the things that may happen as a result of adopting the proposed course of action. Examples include:
Whatever the impacts are, the business case needs to spell them out. It must also make clear to the decision-makers what changes will have to be made in order to fully exploit the opportunities available, and the costs these changes are likely to incur.
No change comes without risk and it is unrealistic to think otherwise. A business case is immeasurably strengthened if it can be shown that the potential risks have been identified and that suitable countermeasures are available. A comprehensive risk log (sometimes called the risk register) is probably not required at this stage – that should be created when the change or development project proper starts – but the principal risks should be identified. For each risk, the following should be recorded:
If there seem too many risks associated with the proposal, it is a good idea to document only the major ones – the potential ‘show-stoppers’ – in the body of the business case and to put the rest in an appendix.
Finally, we need to summarise the business case and make clear the decisions that the senior managers are being asked to take. If the business case is for carrying out a project of some sort, then an outline of the main tasks and timescales envisaged is useful to the decision-makers. This is best expressed graphically, as a Gantt/bar chart as illustrated in Figure 9.7.
Where detailed information needs to be included in the business case, this is best put into appendices. This separates out the main points, that are put in the main body of the case, from the supporting detail. If supporting statistics have to be provided, they too should go into appendices, perhaps with a summary graph or chart in the main body. The detailed cost–benefit calculations may also be put into appendices.
In this part of the business case, the financial aspects – in other words the tangible costs and benefits – are contrasted so see if, and when, the project will pay for itself. The simplest way of doing this is by using what is called a ‘payback’ calculation, which is in effect a cash-flow forecast for the project. An example of a payback calculation is given in Table 9.1. It shows immediate costs of £200,000 for hardware and £150,000 for software for a new system, and ongoing costs of £30,000 for hardware maintenance and £30,000 for software support and upgrades. The tangible benefit will be the removal of some clerical posts, valued at £150,000 per year. Note that, in these calculations, the convention is to refer to the year in which the investment is made as ‘Year 0’.
In Year 0, the costs considerably outweigh the benefits, because of the large capital expenditures but thereafter benefits exceed costs by some £90,000 per year. By working out the cumulative positions, we discover that the accumulated benefits finally exceed the accumulated costs in Year 3 and thereafter build up at £90,000 per year.
Payback calculations have the virtue of being easy to understand and relatively easy to construct, although getting reliable figures can sometimes be a headache. Where interest rates and inflation are low they provide a reasonable forecast of what will happen. However, they do not take account of what accountants call the ‘time value of money’. This is the simple fact – which we all understand from our personal experience – that money spent or saved today is not worth the same as it will be next year or in five years’ time. In part this is the effect of inflation but, even with low or zero inflation, there are other things that we could do with the money besides investing in this project. We might, for instance, leave it in the bank to earn interest. Or, conversely, we might have to borrow money and pay interest to finance the project.
A method that takes account of the time value of money is known as discounted cash flow (DCF) which leads to a ‘net present value’ (NPV) for the project. This means that all of the cash-flows in years after Year 0 are adjusted to today’s value of money. Management accountants work out the ‘discount rate’ to use in a discounted cash flow calculation by studying a number of factors including the likely movement of money-market interest rates in the next few years. The mechanism for doing this is outside the scope of this book but interested readers are referred to the ‘Further reading’ section at the end of this chapter. Let us suppose, though, that the management accountants decide we should be using a discount rate of 10 per cent. We can then find the amounts by which we should discount the cash-flows in Years 1 to 4 either by using the appropriate formula in a spreadsheet or looking up the factors in an accounting text-book. For a 10 per cent discount rate, the relevant factors are shown in Table 9.2.
Table 9.2 represents the same project that was analysed in Table 9.1. With the cash flows from Years 1 to 4 adjusted to today’s values by multiplying by the discount factor, we can see that the project is not such an attractive investment as the payback calculation suggested. It does pay for itself, but now only in Year 4 and not by as great a margin as before.
We can perform a sensitivity analysis on these results to see how much they would be affected by changes in interest rates. If we had used a discount rate of 5 per cent, for example, we would have got an NPV of £59,140 and a 15 per cent rate would have produced an NPV of –£2960.
One final measure that some organisations like to use is what is called the ‘internal rate of return’ (IRR). This is a calculation that assesses what sort of return on investment is represented by the project in terms of a single percentage figure. This can then be used to compare projects one with another to see which are the better investment opportunities, and to compare them all with what the same money could earn if just left in the bank. So, for example, if the IRR of a project is calculated at three per cent and current bank interest rates are five per cent, then on financial grounds alone it would be better not to spend the money.
IRR is worked out by standing the DCF/NPV calculations on their head. The question we are asking is, what discount rate would we have to use to get a net present value of zero after five years (or whatever period the organisation mandates should be used for the calculation)? In other words, at what point would financial costs and benefits precisely balance each other? One way of calculating the IRR is by trial and error. For example, setting up a spreadsheet and trying different discount rates until an NPV of zero is produced – Microsoft Office Excel has an automated function to do this. In the case of our example project, the IRR is around 14.42 per cent. If this were being compared with another project offering only five per cent, then our project would be the more attractive one. However, IRR does not take account of the overall size of the project, so that the project with the smaller IRR may produce more actual pounds, or euros or dollars in the end. For this reason, most accounting textbooks agree that DCF/NPV is the best method of assessing the value of an investment, whilst acknowledging that many managers like the simplicity of the single-figure IRR.
There are two basic ways in which a business case can be presented and often there is a need for both: as a written document and as a face-to-face presentation. In both cases, the way the business case is presented can often have a major impact on whether it is accepted or not and there are some simple rules that apply to both approaches:
You need to build to a logical conclusion that starts with the current situation and leads to the decision you need made.
We have seen that the business case documents the risks of a proposed project and it also may set out any constraints, assumptions or dependencies on which it has been based. Since all of these will have ongoing effects throughout the project, this is a good point at which to set up logs that will assist us in managing these factors. A RAID log documents risks, assumptions, issues and dependencies; a CARDI log includes these elements plus constraints.
A CARDI log therefore contains sections that document:
Since a CARDI/RAID log is established at the time the initial business case is created, its entries will probably be at a high-level at this stage and then gain detail as the project proceeds and more is known about its complexities.
A coherent and well-researched business case should be an important guiding document for any change project. Developing a business case starts by identifying the possible options and then assessing their feasibility. The business case itself follows a fairly clearly defined format, leading to clear recommendations to the decision-makers. There are several approaches to investment appraisal, which assesses the financial costs and benefits of a proposed change project. A CARDI/RAID log can be used to document important information about factors that could affect the success of the project. At a designated point after the project has been completed, the business case should form the basis for a review to determine whether the expected benefits have been realised in practice and to identify any actions required to support the delivery of those benefits; this is discussed in Chapter 14.
Blackstaff, M. (2012) Finance for IT Decision Makers: A practical handbook, 3rd edn. BCS, Swindon.
Boardman, A. E., Greenberg, D. H., Vining, A. R. and Weimer, D. L. (2013) Cost–Benefit Analysis: Concepts and Practice, 2nd edn. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
Gambles, I. (2009) Making the Business Case: Proposals that Succeed for Projects that Work. Gower Publishing, Farnham.
Harvard Business Review on the Business Value of IT, (1999) Harvard Business School Press.
Schmidt, M. J. (2002) The Business Case Guide, 2nd edn, Solution Matrix (available from www.solutionmatrix.com).
Ward, J. and Daniel, E. (2012) Benefits Management: Delivering Value from IS and IT Investments. Wiley, Chichester.