The loss of control of changes during design and execution is the secondary cause of project failure.
The U.S. Business Round Table
Nothing endures but change.
Heraclitus, 540–480 BC, or a modern interpretation: ‘The only constant is change.’
If you throw a stone (a change) into a pond (a smoothly running project), it causes a splash (the direct impact of a change) as well as a series of ripples (the difficult‐to‐detect indirect impacts). If you throw lots of stones, where the ripples intermingle, disturbances with peaks larger than the individual ripples are produced (the cumulative effect of changes).
Strictly speaking, all alterations to the contract are variations when made by the client and claims (an assertion of a right under the contract) when the contractor requests compensation. Some organizations use a variety of different words to express different types of alterations; typical terminology is as follows:
Whether a client or a contractor, the only justifiable variations or changes are:
Changes or variations to a project originate because:
Ex‐gratia claims originate because of:
Claims can be reduced by:
Since projects go wrong half a day at a time, a process is needed in order to discover variations or changes so as to achieve good communications of changes and good project control. In addition, the regular search for trends promotes effective cost and schedule awareness in the project team. Further, client variations need to be established because they attract a fee that can be claimed from the client. Consequently, a system such as a trend programme must be instituted.
The objectives of a trend programme are to:
Before a trend programme can be started, the scope, budget, schedule, type and number of personnel and desired quality of work for the project must be established. In addition, the estimate must be reviewed for any missing items.
If the work has been awarded on a fixed‐price or lump‐sum basis, then the estimate will be a firm estimate that can only be altered if legitimate change orders (claims) can be raised for extra work items.
Where work has been awarded on a reimbursable or ‘time and materials’ basis, there will be less firm information upon which to base an estimate. This estimate is, therefore, not to be regarded as a fully accurate estimate and is known as the trend base estimate.
The estimate is not a static document but is a regularly updated list of the very latest assessment of the anticipated final cost of the project. This is achieved through the trend meeting.
The project manager should rigorously enforce the discipline of always holding a trend meeting. Trend meetings should ideally be held once a week. They should be attended by all the senior members of the team such as:
It is important that members of the project team are ready to admit to having a problem at this meeting.
Hold the trend meeting at 11:00 a.m. to prevent it running on unnecessarily.
With so many attending, the project manager must keep firm control of the meeting. Each person, in turn, reports any deviation from the project plan. They need to keep in mind the following five factors:
Scope | Has some work been added or deducted from the original agreed scope of work? |
Cost | Is the work being carried out within the cost identified in the current estimate? |
Schedule | Is the work being completed on time according to the latest schedule? |
Quality | Is the correct quality being maintained? Have the specifications been altered? |
Personnel | Have the right number of people and resources been allocated to the project, and are the personnel of the right grade and calibre? |
In listing the deviations from the plan, each participant gives as good an estimate as possible of the effect in terms of cost and schedule. If they are held up because they have not received information from another group, they briefly list the information required. If they are holding up another group, they so advise.
It may be the case that although a group is responsible for a delay, there is no cost and schedule delay directly involved in that group's work. However, there could be a cost and schedule impact on another group.
In this case, the trend meeting should not be delayed while the effect on cost and schedule is calculated. It should be noted as a trend, and the department concerned should, after the meeting, advise the cost and schedule manager and the project manager of the extent of the impact.
The cost and schedule manager gives each of these trends (each specific deviation from the plan) a number and adds a description of the trend plus the effect on cost and schedule. If something affects delivery, it affects costs.
Naturally, if a major problem occurs, the relevant group would not wait until the trend meeting to inform the project manager. The project manager will clearly want to take immediate action to avoid a project delay or an increase in cost. However, all these occurrences are announced in the trend meeting so that all participants are kept fully aware of all developments.
Because projects are normally run on such tight timeframes, it is important to have an ‘early warning system’ to alert the project manager to any potential problems, which may possibly occur. Each participant at the trend meeting will not only report each trend that has actually occurred but will also report potential trends.
Again, these potential trends are recorded by the cost and schedule manager, and their possible effect on cost and schedule are estimated. Armed with this knowledge, the project manager can take action to find a solution before the potential problem develops into a real problem.
Claims for changes are sometimes viewed as an opportunity for additional income. This may be possible for significant changes, but lots of small changes are disruptive to the project and impact productivity.
An early strategic decision needs to be made as to whether the direct impact of changes are to be costed, or are they to be sold for a price, as part of a single tender negotiation.
Small claims are likely to be within the authority of the client project team to sign. Large claims may be outside their authority, and the project may not have the budget available. If the project is financed, then additional funds may be required.
It is also usually the case that the cumulative effect of many changes is severely underestimated, particularly with regard to schedule impact. See Part V, Section N ‘S’ Curves, subsection 2 change orders.
The project's bottom line can be improved if claims are properly recorded and procedures in the contract are followed, particularly the time for submission. Consequently, there must be one person responsible for following up change orders and seeing them resolved; see subsection 5.
A prerequisite is that all alterations are highlighted in writing within ten days after instructions are received from the client or owner (whether orally or in writing) to do any of the following:
Inaction by a client must also be recorded and notified. This will cause you to employ constructive acceleration in order to catch up the schedule.
Since development of the design is the reason a reimbursable contract is awarded, it can be particularly difficult to persuade the client that design development constitutes change. Are they ‘must haves’ or ‘nice to haves?’ However, it is important to establish a change because of the associated fee.
No one should be able to approve additional work except the project manager. Starting work on a change before it has been agreed loses one's negotiating leverage.
Use an assistant project manager as guardian of the contract and to administer the contract. They should pay for themselves. Strategies for consideration in managing claims are:
Check that the liquidated damages effective date is adjusted for any schedule extensions.
Similarly, make sure that insurance policies are adjusted to reflect any changes to the scope.
There are a few fundamental rules for significant claims made against you by, say, a subcontractor:
In project management, ‘the client is not always right.’ If possible, hand the stones back to the client. Resist alterations ruthlessly, but don't be inflexible. It is, however, the job of project management to tell the client the weight of the stones and size of the splash they will make. You must advise the client of the cost and schedule consequences of their perseverance for a variation.
As illustrated in Part I, (Section A Project Characteristics and Phases, paragraph 3.1 Cost Impact of Decisions), after 15 per cent of the project time has elapsed and when detailed design has started, changes in scope result in schedule extension and large cost increases that you may never recover from.