This chapter is about four aspects of strategy analysis:
There is no intention to try to turn you into strategic planners but instead to enable you to understand the process of strategy development, be comfortable with the tools that managers use and be able to use them yourself as you explore how new or different information systems could push forward the activities of the organisation that employs you.
Why do organisations bother about strategy? What advantage do they hope to gain? Let us look at what is happening in the world. Most of us would probably support the idea that business is becoming increasingly unpredictable and changes are more turbulent, with international mergers and acquisitions once again becoming regular features of business life as economies come out of the post-banking crisis recession. The information revolution and the digital economy have caused much of this dramatic change and barriers between previously separate businesses are falling like dominoes. For example, who will be the big financial players in the future? It could be the global banks, retail outlets like Tesco or Walmart, strong brands like Amazon or Virgin. If you are working in the finance sector how do you know where to move next? What are the longer term implications of government shareholdings?
There are some big changes that organisations face and that strategy development tries to moderate:
Finally there are two questions. How can anyone create, formulate or build a strategy if the future is inherently unknowable and unpredictable, and how can it be implemented in a coherent way in decentralised structures with delegated authorities and an ever-changing environment? This makes it appear very difficult for a business analyst to understand the nature and permanence – or impermanence – of the business strategies against which IS strategies are to be built. However, as we shall see, through an examination of the nature of strategy and the use of some well-tried tools, effective steps can be taken to deal with this difficulty.
The concept of strategy begins in a military context and the word strategy is derived from the Greek word ‘strategia’ which means ‘generalship’. It has a ‘getting ready for battle’ sense to it and the deployment of troops, weapons, aircraft and ships before engagement with the enemy begins. Once the enemy is engaged then battlefield tactics determine the success of the strategy. The transfer of these ideas into business is easy to make, therefore, and we expect to deal with:
A popular definition appears in Johnson, Scholes and Whittington (2008):
Strategy is the direction and scope of an organisation over the long term, which achieves advantage in a changing environment through its configuration of resources and competences with the aim of fulfilling stakeholder expectations.
However, writers and gurus have offered their own definitions for at least the last 40 years including George Steiner (1979) who did not so much define it as paint a picture of it by saying that strategy is:
But finally, Johnson, Scholes and Whittington (2008) provide a helpful definition of the issues to be considered during strategy analysis. These are:
Strategies exist at different levels in an organisation ranging from corporate strategies at the top level affecting the complete organisation down to the operational strategies for product/services offerings. Typical levels of strategy could be:
This section begins with some fundamental questions: How do I start to develop a strategy? Where does strategy development come from? How do I know what kinds of strategy to develop? There are many different drivers for strategy development and strategy may be formulated in different ways. For example:
So far the development of strategy has been considered as a rational, logical and organised process. It often is developed like this, and in this chapter we will consider many of the tools that are used to inform the strategy process. However, another force that may drive strategy formulation is the politics within the organisation. We can view an organisation as a political system that manipulates the formation of strategy through the exercise of power. Different interest groups form around different strategic ideas or issues and compete for resources and the support of stakeholders to achieve the dominance of their ideas. On this basis, strategic direction is not achieved through a universally accepted, rational analysis but through the promotion of specific ideas of the most powerful – and usually highly political – groups. This power comes from five main sources:
Whichever approach is adopted and whatever the internal politics, the development of strategy always needs to incorporate some external analysis, for instance ‘what is happening out there?’, some internal analysis, such as ‘where do we fit in to what’s happening out there?’, plus some consideration of how new strategies could be executed.
Once a strategy has been developed, it is important to provide a written statement of the strategy. This written statement is needed for many reasons:
Most organisations face a complex and changing external environment of increasing unpredictability. Let us take as an example a retail electrical and electronics store which faces some or all of the following external changes:
With a little thought it would have been possible to identify these kinds of environmental trends but many of the more dramatic changes have come from surprising places. For example, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (SOX) was introduced in response to a number of major corporate and accounting scandals, most notably at Enron and Tyco International. Although it was clear that something had to be done, critics have claimed that SOX places US firms at a disadvantage compared to overseas competitors and imposes high additional costs on business. More dramatic and unexpected are the activities of environmental or animal rights campaigners or a sudden change in technology that changes generally accepted business models.
There is a framework to help organisations assess their broad environment. It is the PESTLE analysis – sometimes called a PESTEL or just PEST analysis – but whatever the acronym it is an examination of the political, economic, socio-cultural, technological, legal and environmental issues in the external business environment. Some of the influences which may be identified in these categories are shown below.
Political influences
Economic influences
Taken together these economic factors determine how easy – or not – it is to be profitable because they affect demand.
Technological influences
Legal influences
Environmental influences
It is important that we do not view PESTLE analysis as a set of checklists as these are not of themselves useful in making a strategic assessment. The key tasks are to identify those few factors that will really affect the organisation and to develop a real understanding of how they might evolve in the future. In some cases a few issues may be so important that they provide a natural focus. It may also be helpful to get external expert opinion.
Having examined the external environment we should now consider the competition our organisation faces. Few businesses have no competition, even those in the not-for-profit sector, and most seek to develop and keep a competitive advantage over their rivals. They aim to be different or better in ways that appeal to their customers. An analysis tool that helps to evaluate an industry’s profitability and hence its attractiveness is Michael Porter’s Five Forces model (Porter 1980). This is shown in Figure 3.1 below. In the centre is the competitive battleground where rivals compete and where competitive strategies are developed. Organisations need to understand the nature of their competitive environment. Additionally, they will be in a stronger position if they understand the interplay of the five forces and can develop defences against the threats they pose.
New entrants may want to move into the market if it looks attractive and if the barriers to entry are low. Globalisation and deregulation both give new entrants this opportunity but there are barriers to entry that organisations build. These include:
Supplier power limits the opportunity for cost reductions when:
Customer power – or the bargaining power of buyers as Porter called it – is high when:
The threat from substitute products is high when:
All of these forces impact on the competitive battleground in some way. There may also be high competitive rivalry when:
Porter’s framework is simple to use and understand and it helps to identify the key competitive forces affecting a business. It is widely used in the development of strategies. There are, however, some weaknesses of which the most often mentioned is that government is not treated as the sixth force. Porter’s response is that the role of government is played through each of the five forces – for example, legislation affects entry and rivalry – and so it has not been ignored. There are also views that it is difficult to apply the model to not-for-profit organisations and that since the 1980s the increasing development of international businesses has led to a more complex set of competitive and collaborative relationships. Nonetheless it is widely accepted as a useful analytical tool.
Having used PESTLE and Porter to analyse the external environment, we will have much useful data about the external conditions the organisation may face. However, even with this information, the world springs surprises on organisations from time to time. There is a high level of uncertainty and some different approaches are needed to understand potential future impacts. Scenarios may be used to do this. They look at the medium- and long-term future and, by evaluating possible different futures, prepare the organisation and its managers to deal with them. They begin by identifying the potential high impact and high uncertainty factors in the environment. It is tempting to choose just two scenarios – good and bad – when doing this, but really four or more are needed and they should be plausible and detailed. Next, the future scenarios these factors could construct are considered, possibly by looking at the possible steps and asking ‘what if?’ questions. In doing this we are concerned with predetermined events such as predicted demographic changes, key uncertainties – often political and economic, including regulation and world trade – and driving forces such as technology and education. This information comes from the PESTLE analysis.
The external environment creates opportunities and threats and can give an ‘outside/in’ stimulus to the development of strategy. Successful strategies depend on something else as well; it is the capability of the organisation to perform. Can an organisation continue to change its capability so that it constantly fits the environment in which it operates? Can it always be innovative in the way it exploits this capability? Two techniques that help in the analysis of the internal organisation are discussed in this section – the resource audit and portfolio analysis using the Boston Matrix. All of this begins, however, with an understanding of the current business positioning, and for this we will consider the MOST analysis technique. MOST analysis examines the current mission, objectives, strategy and tactics and considers whether or not these are clearly defined and supported within the organisation. We can define the MOST terms as follows:
A clear mission driving the organisation forward, a set of measurable objectives and a coherent strategy will enhance the capability of the organisation and be a source of strength. On the other hand, where there is a lack of direction, unclear objectives and an ill-defined strategy the internal capability is less effective and we have a source of weakness. When considering the MOST analysis as a means of identifying strengths and weaknesses, it is useful to think about the following aspects:
Reflecting on core competences starts the strategy process from inside the organisation so it is an ‘inside/out’ approach based on the belief that competitiveness comes from an ability to create new and unexpected products and services from a set of core competences. The Resource Audit can help us to identify core competences or may highlight where there is a lack of competence that could undermine any competitive moves. There are five key areas to examine, the first three being sets of tangible resource:
There are then the intangible resources such as the know-how of the organisation which may include actual patents or trademarks, but this may also be derived from the use made of resources such as information and technology; many organisations hold a large amount of information but it is not available when required or not in a format that can be used easily. Another intangible resource is the reputation of the organisation, for example the brand recognition and the belief that is held about the quality of the brand, and the goodwill – or antipathy – that this produces. An analysis of the organisation’s resources will identify where these provide a source of competence – strengths, or where there is a lack of capability – weaknesses.
The portfolio of business units, each offering their own products and services, may also be a source of strength or weakness for an organisation. Organisations need to review their portfolio on a regular basis in order to take decisions about the resources to be invested into each business unit or even each product or service. Portfolio analysis was developed to address this problem.
The original portfolio matrix – the Boston Box – was developed by the Boston Consulting Group and provides a means of conducting portfolio analysis. A company’s strategic business units (SBUs) – parts of an organisation for which there is a distinct and separate external market – are identified and the relationship between the SBU’s current or future revenue potential is modelled against the current share of the market. The Boston Box uses these two dimensions to enable organisations to categorise their SBUs and their products/services, and thereby consider whether and how much to invest. Put simply as in Figure 3.2, the cows are milked, the dogs are buried, the stars get the gold and the wild cats are carefully examined until they behave themselves or join the dogs and die.
A successful product or SBU starts as a Wild Cat and goes clockwise round the model until it dies or is revitalised as a new product or service or SBU. The Wild Cats (or Problem Children) are unprofitable but are investments for the future; the Stars strengthen their position in a growth industry until they become the big profit earners. The Cash Cows are the mature products or services, in markets with little, if any, growth. The Stars and Cash Cows provide the funding for the other segments of the matrix. The Dogs have low market share in markets with low growth and are often the areas that are removed or allowed to wither away.
The SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats) analysis is often used to pull together the results of an analysis of the external and internal environments. However, too often it is used as the first analytical tool before enough preparatory analysis has been done. When this approach is adopted the results are usually weak, inconclusive and insufficiently robust to be of much use. A more robust approach is to use the techniques described earlier as they help identify the major factors, both internal and external to the organisation, that the business strategy needs to take into account. Hence, the SWOT analysis is where we summarise the key strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats in order to carry out an overall audit of the strategic position of a business nd its environment. A SWOT analysis is often represented as a two-by-two matrix as hown in Figure 3.3.
The language of a SWOT is important. It needs to be brief, with strengths and weaknesses related to critical success factors. Strengths and weaknesses should also be measured against the competition. All statements should be specific, realistic and supported by evidence. Some examples – not for the same organisation – could be:
A key point that emerges from these examples is that strengths and weaknesses are found within the organisation (and hence discovered via the resource audit or the Boston Matrix) whereas opportunities and threats arise from outside the organisation (and hence can be found using PESTLE or the Five Forces model).
It is important to get right the balance between the external and the internal analysis. Completely changing the nature of the organisation because of the external analysis may lead to radical change but without any assurance that capability exists to deliver this successfully. Basing everything on an internal analysis may lead to little or no change, or changes that are internally focused and ignore the desires of the customers. Using both analyses is more balanced and is likely to contribute towards the creation of a more robust strategic direction.
Executing new strategies implies risk because it involves change. There are three particular aspects of implementing strategy – the context for the strategy, the role of the leader and two tools that we can use – the Balanced Business Scorecard and the McKinsey 7-S Model.
There are five contextual issues to be considered.
In this context, the strategic leader will have the key role. Typically, the strategic leaders we read about are the top managers but strategic leadership does not have to be delivered from the top; there are many successful strategic changes that have been driven from other parts of the organisation. The leader needs to demonstrate the following key characteristics:
Two tools that help in the execution of strategy are the McKinsey 7-S Model shown in Figure 3.4 below and the Balanced Business Scorecard shown in Figure 3.5.
The 7-S model supposes that all organisations are made up of seven components. Three are often described as ‘hard’ components – strategy, structure and systems, and four as ‘soft’ – shared values, style, staff and skills.
These are the seven levers that can be used in the implementation of strategic change and they are all interlinked. All seven need attention if the strategy is to be executed successfully, because if there is a change with one, others will be affected. Changing one element, such as the strategy, means that all of the others have to change as well.
As important as the individual elements of the 7-S model, are the connections between them. The execution of strategy will be flawed if, for example, there is a disconnect between the style adopted by management and the shared values of the organisation.
The Balanced Business Scorecard (BBS) can be thought of as the strategic balance sheet for an organisation as it captures the means of assessing the financial and non-financial components of a strategy. It therefore shows how the strategy execution is working and the effectiveness with which the levers for change are being used. The BBS supplements financial measures with three other perspectives of organisational performance – customers, learning and growth, and internal business processes. Vision and strategy connect with each of these as shown in Figure 3.5.
The emphasis of the scorecard is to measure aspects of performance in a balanced way. In the past, managers have perhaps paid more attention to the financial measures but the BBS shows it is important to consider all of the four aspects. The customer perspective measures those critical success factors that provide a customer focus. It forces a detailed examination to be made of statements like ‘superior customer service’ so that everyone can agree what it means, and measures can be established to show the progress being made. It also identifies the need to consider how the customers view the organisation and its products or services. The delivery of value to the customers is likely to be affected by the internal processes so the process effectiveness also needs to be measured. The learning and growth perspective could generate a need for new products or new internal processes if the organisation is to continue to perform well. All of these aspects are important when evaluating organisational performance.
Each perspective answers questions like these:
The BBS helps in the definition of two components which are vital to assess business performance; these are Critical Success Factors (CSFs) and Key Performance Indicators (KPIs).
The concept of CSFs was initially developed in the late 1970s when they were defined as ‘the few key areas where “things must go right” for the business to flourish and for a manager’s goals to be attained’ (Rockart in the Harvard Business Review, March/April 1979). The important words here are ‘few’, key’ and ‘must’. Not every activity is a key area; they are fewer in number than people think and success with them is critical but the CSFs mean that there are some goals that must be reached. However, it is of little use setting goals and then realising too late that you won’t make it. This is where KPIs are required. KPIs are the measures that show whether or not progress is being made towards the achievement of a CSF. KPIs measure specific areas of performance so also limit the amount of data that managers have to consider and act upon.
Let us see how this could work for a healthcare organisation, such as a hospital, using the BBS as a framework. First, the CSFs in the financial area will be considered. The hospital management might state that income must be greater than expenses, perhaps by a set percentage. It is important that the hospital sets this CSF specifically for its own circumstances rather than using a national target. CSFs must be our CSFs or there would be little identification with the effort required to achieve them. Generated from this CSF might therefore be strict cost control on the purchase of drugs and of treatment equipment. So, we would set financial KPIs to monitor and control the prescription of drugs and treatments; each KPI would have a set target which, in this case, could be a defined budget for expenditure of drugs and treatments each year. This is also an example of where CSFs in one area can affect CSFs in other areas; if the low cost drugs and treatments we use mean that it takes longer to get better with us, then how does that impact on a customer service CSF of reducing the waiting time for treatment?
It’s important that KPIs are defined such that they are SMART and that they are monitored regularly. If the drugs budget is exceeded within the first few months, what action will be taken to bring it back to budget before the overspend becomes too difficult to manage?
Other parts of the BBS can also generate CSFs so long as they are critical; for our hospital it is tempting to regard patient satisfaction as a critical success factor. Is it really critical or should the goal be to improve people’s health, provide life-saving surgery and so on? It can be difficult to determine the truly critical success factors. It is an excellent discipline to ensure that only those that are critical are identified; it is not possible to monitor too many factors at one time. There is a suggestion later in Chapter 6 about how CSFs and KPIs could be used in the construction of Business Activity Models.
This chapter has looked at the reasons why organisations develop strategies and how they might do this. We have explored the complexity of this process and offered ideas about how strategies are developed taking account of entrepreneurial approaches and formal planning. The chapter has also described the external factors influencing strategy – the outside/in approach – and an internal analysis approach – the inside/out approach. Finally we looked at the execution of strategy and IS strategy considerations such as performance measurement using the BBS, CSFs and KPIs.
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