Preface

A First Course in Statistics, 12th edition, is an introductory text designed for one-semester courses that emphasizes inference and sound decision-making through extensive coverage of data collection and analysis. As in earlier editions, the 12th edition text stresses the development of statistical thinking, the assessment of credibility, and value of the inferences made from data, both by those who consume and those who produce them. It assumes a mathematical background of basic algebra.

The text incorporates the following features, developed from the American Statistical Association’s (ASA) Guidelines for Assessment and Instruction in Statistics Education (GAISE) Project:

  • Emphasize statistical literacy and develop statistical thinking

  • Use real data in applications

  • Use technology for developing conceptual understanding and analyzing data

  • Foster active learning in the classroom

  • Stress conceptual understanding rather than mere knowledge of procedures

  • Emphasize intuitive concepts of probability

New in the 12th Edition

  • Over 1,000 exercises, with revisions and updates to 30%. Many new and updated exercises, based on contemporary studies and real data, have been added. Most of these exercises foster and promote critical thinking skills.

  • Updated technology. All printouts from statistical software (SAS, SPSS, MINITAB, and the TI-83/TI-84 Plus Graphing Calculator) and corresponding instructions for use have been revised to reflect the latest versions of the software.

  • New Statistics in Action Cases. Almost half of the 9 Statistics in Action cases are new or updated, each based on real data from a recent study.

  • Continued emphasis on Ethics. Where appropriate, boxes have been added emphasizing the importance of ethical behavior when collecting, analyzing, and interpreting data with statistics.

Content-Specific Changes to This Edition

  • Chapter 1 (Statistics, Data, and Statistical Thinking). Material on all basic sampling concepts (e.g., random sampling and sample survey designs) has been streamlined and moved to Section 1.5 (Collecting Data: Sampling and Related Issues).

  • Chapter 2 (Methods for Describing Sets of Data). The section on summation notation has been moved to the appendix (Appendix A). Also, recent examples of misleading graphics have been added to Section 2.10 (Distorting the Truth with Descriptive Statistics).

  • Chapter 4 (Random Variables and Probability Distributions). Use of technology for computing probabilities of random variables with known probability distributions (e.g., binomial and normal distributions) has been incorporated into the relevant sections of this chapter. This reduces the use of tables of probabilities for these distributions.

  • Chapter 6 (Tests of Hypothesis). The section on p-values in hypothesis testing (Section 6.3) has been moved up to emphasize the importance of their use in real-life studies. Throughout the remainder of the text, conclusions from a test of hypothesis are based on p-values.

Hallmark Strengths

We have maintained or strengthened the pedagogical features of A First Course in Statistics that make it unique among introductory statistics texts. These features, which assist the student in achieving an overview of statistics and an understanding of its relevance in both the business world and everyday life, are as follows:

  • Use of Examples as a Teaching Device—Almost all new ideas are introduced and illustrated by data-based applications and examples. We believe that students better understand definitions, generalizations, and theoretical concepts after seeing an application. All examples have three components: (1) “Problem”, (2) “Solution”, and (3) “Look Back” (or “Look Ahead”). This step-by-step process provides students with a defined structure by which to approach problems and enhances their problem-solving skills. The “Look Back” feature often gives helpful hints to solving the problem and/or provides a further reflection or insight into the concept or procedure that is covered.

  • Now Work—A “Now Work” exercise suggestion follows each example. The Now Work exercise (marked with the icon in the exercise sets) is similar in style and concept to the text example. This provides the student with an opportunity to immediately test and confirm their understanding.

  • Statistics in Action—Each chapter begins with a case study based on an actual contemporary, controversial or high-profile issue. Relevant research questions and data from the study are presented and the proper analysis demonstrated in short “Statistics in Action Revisited” sections throughout the chapter. These motivate students to critically evaluate the findings and think through the statistical issues involved.

  • Applet Exercises—The text is accompanied by applets (short computer programs) available at www.pearsonhighered.com/mathstatsresources and within MyStatLab. These point-and-click applets allow students to easily run simulations that visually demonstrate some of the more difficult statistical concepts (e.g., sampling distributions and confidence intervals.) Each chapter contains several optional applet exercises in the exercise sets. They are denoted with the following icon:

  • Real Data-Based Exercises—The text includes more than 1,000 exercises based on applications in a variety of disciplines and research areas. All the applied exercises employ the use of current real data extracted from a current publications (e.g., newspapers, magazines, current journals, and the Internet). Some students have difficulty learning the mechanics of statistical techniques when all problems are couched in terms of realistic applications. For this reason, all exercise sections are divided into four parts:

    • Learning the Mechanics. Designed as straightforward applications of new concepts, these exercises allow students to test their ability to comprehend a mathematical concept or a definition.

    • Applying the Concepts—Basic. Based on applications taken from a wide variety of journals, newspapers, and other sources, these short exercises help students begin developing the skills necessary to diagnose and analyze real-world problems.

    • Applying the Concepts—Intermediate. Based on more detailed real-world applications, these exercises require students to apply their knowledge of the technique presented in the section.

    • Applying the Concepts—Advanced. These more difficult real-data exercises require students to use their critical thinking skills.

  • Critical Thinking Challenges—Placed at the end of the “Supplementary Exercises” section only, students are asked to apply their critical thinking skills to solve one or two challenging real-life problems. These exercises expose students to real-world problems with solutions that are derived from careful, logical thought and selection of the appropriate statistical analysis tool.

  • Exploring Data with Statistical Computer Software and the Graphing Calculator—Each statistical analysis method presented is demonstrated using output from three leading Windows-based statistical software packages: SAS, SPSS, and MINITAB. Students are exposed early and often to computer printouts they will encounter in today’s hi-tech world.

  • “Using Technology” Tutorials—MINITAB software tutorials appear at the end of each chapter and include point-and-click instructions (with screen shots). These tutorials are easily located and show students how to best use and maximize MINITAB statistical software. In addition, output and keystroke instructions for the TI-84 Graphing Calculator are presented.

  • Profiles of Statisticians in History (Biography)—Brief descriptions of famous statisticians and their achievements are presented in side boxes. With these profiles, students will develop an appreciation of the statistician’s efforts and the discipline of statistics as a whole.

  • Data and Applets—The Web site www.pearsonhighered.com/mathstatsresources has files for all the data sets marked with the dataset icon in the text .These include data sets for text examples, exercises, Statistics in Action and Real-World cases. All data files are saved in three different formats: SAS, MINITAB, and SPSS. This site also contains the applets that are used to illustrate statistical concepts.

Get the most out of MyStatLab

MyStatLab is the world’s leading online resource for teaching and learning statistics. MyStatLab helps students and instructors improve results, and provides engaging experiences and personalized learning for each student so learning can happen in any environment. Plus, it offers flexible and time-saving course management features to allow instructors to easily manage their classes while remaining in complete control, regardless of course format.

Personalized Support for Students

  • MyStatLab comes with many learning resources–eText, animations, videos, and more–all designed to support your students as they progress through their course.

  • The Adaptive Study Plan acts as a personal tutor, updating in real time based on student performance to provide personalized recommendations on what to work on next. With the new Companion Study Plan assignments, instructors can now assign the Study Plan as a prerequisite to a test or quiz, helping to guide students through concepts they need to master.

  • Personalized Homework allows instructors to create homework assignments tailored to each student’s specific needs, focused on just the topics they have not yet mastered.

Used by nearly 4 million students each year, the MyStatLab and MyMathLab family of products delivers consistent, measurable gains in student learning outcomes, retention, and subsequent course success.

Resources for Success

Student Resources

Student’s Solutions Manual, by Nancy Boudreau (Emeritus Associate Professor, Bowling Green State University), includes complete worked-out solutions to all odd-numbered text exercises (ISBN-13: 978-0-13-408101-4, ISBN-10: 0-13-408101-3.

Excel® Manual (download only), by Mark Dummeldinger (University of South Florida). Available for download from www.pearsonhighered.com/mathstatsresources.

Study Cards for Statistics Software. This series of study cards, available for Excel®, MINITAB, JMP®, SPSS, R, StatCrunch®, and TI-83/84 Plus Graphing Calculators, provides students with easy step-by-step guides to the most common statistics software. Visit myPearsonstore.com for more information.

Instructor Resources

Annotated Instructor’s Edition contains answers to text exercises. Annotated marginal notes include Teaching Tips, suggested exercises to reinforce the statistical concepts discussed in the text, and short answers to exercises and examples (ISBN-13: 978-0-13-408081-9; ISBN-10: 0-13-408081-5).

Instructor’s Solutions Manual (download only), by Nancy Boudreau (Emeritus Associate Professor, Bowling Green State University), includes complete worked-out solutions to all even-numbered text exercises. Careful attention has been paid to ensure that all methods of solution and notation are consistent with those used in the core text.

PowerPoint® Lecture Slides include figures and tables from the textbook. Available for download from Pearson’s online catalog at www.pearsonhighered.com/irc and in MyStatLab.

TestGen®(www.pearsoned.com/testgen) enables instructors to build, edit, print, and administer tests using a computerized bank of questions developed to cover all the objectives of the text. TestGen is algorithmically based, allowing instructors to create multiple but equivalent versions of the same question or test with the click of a button. Instructors can also modify test bank questions or add new questions. The software and test bank are available for download from Pearson Education’s online catalog at www.pearsonhighered.com/irc and in MyStatLab.

Online Test Bank, a test bank derived from TestGen®, is available for download from Pearson’s online catalog at www.pearsonhighered.com/irc and in MyStatLab.

Technology Resources

A companion website (www.pearsonhighered.com/­mathstatsresources) holds a number of support materials, including:

  • Data sets formatted as .csv, .txt, .sas7bdat (SAS), .sav (SPSS), .mtp (minitab), .xls (Excel), and TI files

  • Applets (short computer programs) that allow students to run simulations that visually demonstrate statistical concepts

Acknowledgments

This book reflects the efforts of a great many people over a number of years. First, we would like to thank the following professors, whose reviews and comments on this and prior editions have contributed to the 12th edition:

  • Ali Arab, Georgetown University

  • Jen Case, Jacksonville State University

  • Maggie McBride, Montana State University—Billings

  • Surajit Ray, Boston University

  • JR Schott, University of Central Florida

  • Susan Schott, University of Central Florida

  • Lewis Shoemaker, Millersville University

  • Engin Sungur, University of Minnesota—Morris

  • Sherwin Toribio, University of Wisconsin—La Crosse

  • Michael Zwilling, Mt. Union College

Reviewers of Previous Editions

  • Bill Adamson, South Dakota State; Ibrahim Ahmad, Northern Illinois University;

  • Roddy Akbari, Guilford Technical Community College; David Atkinson, Olivet

  • Nazarene University; Mary Sue Beersman, Northeast Missouri State University;

  • William H. Beyer, University of Akron; Marvin Bishop, Manhattan College;

  • Patricia M. Buchanan, Pennsylvania State University; Dean S. Burbank, Gulf

  • Coast Community College; Ann Cascarelle, St. Petersburg College; Kathryn

  • Chaloner, University of Minnesota; Hanfeng Chen, Bowling Green State

  • University; Gerardo Chin-Leo, The Evergreen State College; Linda Brant

  • Collins, Iowa State University; Brant Deppa, Winona State University; John

  • Dirkse, California State University—Bakersfield; N. B. Ebrahimi, Northern

  • Illinois University; John Egenolf, University of Alaska—Anchorage; Dale

  • Everson, University of Idaho; Christine Franklin, University of Georgia; Khadiga

  • Gamgoum, Northern Virginia CC; Rudy Gideon, University of Montana; Victoria

  • Marie Gribshaw, Seton Hill College; Larry Griffey, Florida Community College;

  • David Groggel, Miami University at Oxford; Sneh Gulati, Florida International

  • University; John E. Groves, California Polytechnic State University—San Luis

  • Obispo; Dale K. Hathaway, Olivet Nazarene University; Shu-ping Hodgson,

  • Central Michigan University; Jean L. Holton, Virginia Commonwealth

  • University; Soon Hong, Grand Valley State University; Ina Parks S. Howell, Florida International

  • University; Gary Itzkowitz, Rowan College of New Jersey; John H. Kellermeier,

  • State University College at Plattsburgh; Golan Kibria, Florida International

  • University; Timothy J. Killeen, University of Connecticut; William G. Koellner,

  • Montclair State University; James R. Lackritz, San Diego State University; Diane

  • Lambert, AT&T/Bell Laboratories; Edwin G. Landauer, Clackamas Community

  • College; James Lang, Valencia Junior College; Glenn Larson, University of

  • Regina; John J. Lefante, Jr., University of South Alabama; Pi-Erh Lin, Florida

  • State University; R. Bruce Lind, University of Puget Sound; Rhonda Magel,

  • North Dakota State University; Linda C. Malone, University of Central Florida;

  • Allen E. Martin, California State University—Los Angeles; Rick Martinez,

  • Foothill College; Brenda Masters, Oklahoma State University; Leslie Matekaitis,

  • Cal Genetics; E. Donice McCune, Stephen F. Austin State University; Mark M.

  • Meerschaert, University of Nevada—Reno; Greg Miller, Steven F. Austin State

  • University; Satya Narayan Mishra, University of South Alabama; Kazemi

  • Mohammed, UNC–Charlotte; Christopher Morrell, Loyola College in Maryland;

  • Mir Mortazavi, Eastern New Mexico University; A. Mukherjea, University of

  • South Florida; Steve Nimmo, Morningside College (Iowa); Susan Nolan, Seton

  • Hall University; Thomas O’Gorman, Northern Illinois University; Bernard

  • Ostle, University of Central Florida; William B. Owen, Central Washington

  • University; Won J. Park, Wright State University; John J. Peterson, Smith Kline &

  • French Laboratories; Ronald Pierce, Eastern Kentucky University; Betty

  • Rehfuss, North Dakota State University—Bottineau; Andrew Rosalsky, University

  • of Florida; C. Bradley Russell, Clemson University; Rita Schillaber, University

  • of Alberta; James R. Schott, University of Central Florida; Susan C. Schott,

  • University of Central Florida; George Schultz, St. Petersburg Junior College; Carl

  • James Schwarz, University of Manitoba; Mike Seyfried, Shippensburg University;

  • Arvind K. Shah, University of South Alabama; Lewis Shoemaker, Millersville

  • University; Sean Simpson, Westchester CC; Charles W. Sinclair, Portland State

  • University; Robert K. Smidt, California Polytechnic State University—San Luis

  • Obispo; Vasanth B. Solomon, Drake University; W. Robert Stephenson, Iowa

  • State University; Thaddeus Tarpey, Wright State University; Kathy Taylor,

  • Clackamas Community College; Barbara Treadwell, Western Michigan

  • University; Dan Voss, Wright State University; Augustin Vukov, University of

  • Toronto; Dennis D. Wackerly, University of Florida; Barbara Wainwright,

  • Salisbury University; Matthew Wood, University of Missouri—Columbia.

Other Contributors

Special thanks are due to our ancillary authors, Nancy Boudreau and Mark Dummeldinger, both of whom have worked with us for many years. Accuracy checkers Dave Bregenzer and Engin Sungur helped ensure a highly accurate, clean text. Finally, the Pearson Education staff of Deirdre Lynch, Patrick Barbera, Christine O’Brien, Chere Bemelmans, Justin Billing, Tiffany Bitzel, Jennifer Myers, Barbara Atkinson and Jean Choe as well as Integra-Chicago’s Alverne Ball helped greatly with all phases of the text development, production, and marketing effort.

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