Chapter 6
IN THIS CHAPTER
Checking out market research from a product management perspective
Completing competitive intelligence
Validating your ideas with customers
Taking the first steps in financial forecasting
For every idea that makes it to market, many others aren’t as worthy of pursuit as the one or two that you finally focus on. This chapter covers market research as it applies to product managers. For example, understanding what your competitors are doing — and not doing as well as they could — is important research as you find an opening for your product to be successful. Validating ideas is critical to avoiding the many possible pitfalls of customers not accepting your product. And some simple calculations can help you sell your idea into the company by showing that the product can be profitable. In fact, you’ll reuse these tools and techniques throughout your product’s life cycle as you need to make further validated decisions about product next steps.
Market research is the way in which product managers gather information about customer needs and market drivers. If you want to gather information from actual customers to make a decision, then you need to understand and use market research. Competitive intelligence is a subset of market research. When you investigate your competition, you use market research techniques and concepts to understand what your competition is doing today and gain insight into its plans for tomorrow.
Market research helps avoid the four-walls problem that stems from using only the collective wisdom of the people in the meeting room to make a decision. The solution is to step outside the confines of the company to get another vantage point.
The value of market research is almost infinite. And the reason that you should actively seek information is because in every decision you make there is an implied hypothesis. As you may know from science class, a hypothesis needs to be tested. In the terminology of product management, an idea requires validation.
The investigative loop shown in Figure 6-1 is a common concept used in product management. Usually you start with a discovery; you then form a hypothesis, which is a set of assumptions about your product, and then validate and test it. From there you experience some learning and apply it to adjust your plans.
Chapter 3 discusses different phases of the product life cycle. To make decisions in every one of those phases, plan on gaining real market insight and information to make the most informed decision that you can.
In product management, the core of any solution begins with an in-depth understanding of the needs and problems that your customers are facing that you think you can solve with a product offering from your company. Initial understandings of any problem can be very vague; in fact, if you’re emphatic early on that you know exactly what the problem is, you should look again.
Because the problem definition is so hard to create and is critical to success, the best way to get a handle on all aspects of the problem is to talk to people who are experiencing it. Yup. That’s it. Talk to them. Ask questions about how they do things now and what their biggest challenges are and listen. Focus at least initially on a conversation as opposed to a questionnaire or survey. Chapter 5 discusses how to hold these conversations with your customers.
In market research terms, the conversation is called gathering qualitative data. Once you have gathered qualitative information about your customer’s problem, you can use quantitative data, such as a survey, to gather more concrete information.
Another consideration when conducting research is whether you’re able to buy research done by specialist companies, use research provided by the government, or create your own research study. Research that you pay for and therefore own is called primary research; it’s known only to you. Research that you don’t do yourself or purchase is called secondary research. Check out Table 6-1 for examples of secondary and primary research sources.
TABLE 6-1 List of Research Data Sources
Secondary Research Sources |
Primary Research Sources |
Government sources of demographics and economic statistics; trade associations |
Customer interviews |
Specialist reports: The Economist, Harvard Business Review, Forbes Magazine, Articles about the industry or competitors |
Customer relationship management (CRM) data, including the most common requests of customers that sales receives and the problems that support captures |
Websites of competitors; annual reports; press releases |
Support database |
Industry analysts and research organizations |
Customer surveys and focus groups |
Internet searches for industry and market data and trends |
Research done in other parts of your company that may apply |
When starting in on a market research project, know that you’ll be reading a lot of material both quantitative and qualitative in nature in printed material and on the web just to get a few nuggets that are of real interest. Think of it as panning for gold. Finding a few flakes of valuable gold is a cold and wet business, but without the flakes, you can’t continue your work, and no one will join you on your journey to find even more gold.
The typical starting point in conducting research is to read any and all secondary research that you can get your hands on. You’re looking to understand the lay of the land. What do people who experience this problem understand the issues to be? Where do they believe upcoming technology and business solutions are coming from? Larger companies often subscribe to secondary research from specialist industry analysts. If you’re short on market research funds, search the Internet and look to sites that share presentations, such as slideshare.
Fantastic! You’ve identified a promising market or problem to solve. Do enough people have this problem? Is this problem growing or shrinking? Using secondary research often starts with qualitative analysis and then follows it up with quantitative market sizing numbers of all kinds:
To find quantitative secondary research use the list in Table 6-1 to locate any research sources that might be available. There may be some available from industry analyst firms such as Gartner, IDC, or Forrester. These reports are often somewhat costly, but they can contain very useful data. Check with your market research and competitive analysis department (if you have one) to see what they might have on hand or have access to. Sometimes they pay for subscriptions to the analyst reports. You may find after an extensive search that there is nothing available, but at least you know that no one else who might be investigating the opportunity has any more data than you do.
To perform qualitative primary research, you’ll need to talk to customers. You may not be able to visit each customer in person, but your focus is to get answers to the questions that you can’t find in publicly available (also known as secondary) research. By conducting in-person interviews, focus groups (which require a lot of expertise to do right — you’ll want to hire an expert to do this for you), or customer council meetings, you can ask more specific questions about your hypothesis and get a deeper level of understanding about the customer problem you’re trying to solve.
When you believe that you’ve identified your target customer, you’re ready to develop a research plan including the list of questions (such as the following) that you want to ask the target in a conversation. Review Chapter 5 to determine which persona types you should target your questions to.
Doing more formal market research right means going through a series of steps designed to get you the information you need. The following sections help you do just that, leading you through the kinds of questions you should ask and the research methods product managers everywhere use.
Whenever you have a question and decide that conducting market research is the right solution, keep in mind that following an established process will lead you to better results:
Decide on your research objective.
What are you trying to achieve with the research — assess whether the company should develop a specific product line? Change the direction of an existing product in development? Simply validate that a new feature will meet customer requirements? Your objectives also determine the scope and cost of the investigation. Deciding on whether to enter a $300 million market opportunity justifies more effort and spending than prioritizing a few features for a $99 product.
Determine what questions you need to answer to satisfy your research objective.
Write down an initial set of questions and discuss them with your colleagues and peers to get input. They may point out that the questions are very broad, or they are too specific and won’t allow for you to potentially uncover any additional valuable information.
Here’s an example:
Choose the best research technique(s).
As a rule of thumb, you move from secondary qualitative research through to primary quantitative research as shown in Figure 6-2. In reality, you may go through one of these categories pretty quickly and then spend a lot of time getting your primary qualitative research right. (See Table 6-2 later in the chapter for a list of the most commonly used market research methods.)
Design your research study.
Designing a good research study requires a lot of expertise. Use the options in Table 6-2 to determine what type of research you need to conduct. If possible work with someone who has done it before, such as a peer in your company, your internal market research department, or an outside vendor. It is easy to accidentally design a study that has a lot of bias, so be careful to scrutinize your design accordingly. If you can’t find anyone to help you design your study or to critique it for you and provide feedback, we recommend you find a book on the topic that covers it in an in-depth fashion.
Asking the right questions is a critical part of getting good answers. The following section has more specifics on this topic.
Conduct research.
Conducting research may take you as far as across the world or as close as a car ride to a nearby town. It is highly dependent on what type of research you have decided to conduct. Customer interviews may be held in person or on the phone. Focus groups may be held in multiple cities or conducted virtually. Customer councils often involve having customers fly in to your location.
Collect and analyze data.
Qualitative data is basically listening to people answer your questions with few boundaries. Decide how you want to record this information. In person, avoid taking notes on a computer; the presence of a screen creates a barrier between you and the customer. If the customer agrees, recording the conversation is always an option. A good technique for taking notes while recording is to make a note of the recording time when the customer says something interesting.
Present findings to take advantage of new knowledge.
Going through all the trouble of getting data to support a point of view isn’t going to do you any good if other parts of your organization don’t understand it. Use the tips in Chapter 17 to make sure your message is heard. A convincing presentation and/or written report should be short with lots of clear graphics. For presentations aim for 10 slides and no more than 20. Have someone with good graphic skills review your materials, and you should practice before any presentation.
TABLE 6-2 Market Research Methods
Type of Market Research |
Details |
When to Use |
Relative Cost |
Ethnographic |
Anthropological-based observation and questioning. Usually conducted one-on-one or in small groups. |
Great for the conceive stage when the concept is still unformed and a lot of unknowns exist. |
High |
Customer panels |
Ongoing dialogue with a static group of key customers who provide real-time market intelligence. They’re an early alert system to identify upcoming opportunities. |
Can be gathered in a series of meetings and fed into early product development or, more typically, ongoing product evolution. |
Low |
Usability testing |
Evaluation of customers using a product and providing input. Can be done at the customer site, in a lab, or virtually. Services exist to conduct this research for you. |
During development and the testing and validation phase of product development. |
Low |
In-person interviews |
Qualitative input from a few (3–20) people. It works well when defining positioning of key features. |
Any time in product development. More commonly used earlier in the product development cycle. |
Medium |
Focus groups |
Small group discussions facilitated by third-party specialists on a focused topic such as obtaining rich qualitative data; issues that exist with the product as currently developed; or refining positioning, names, and packaging. |
Primarily used for fine tuning a product and in the market launch stages. |
Medium |
Telephone interviews/surveys |
Quantitative information to support or reject a hypothesis. Also can be used to get qualitative input from a small group of people. |
Interviews: At any time in the product process. Surveys: Primarily in full production and market launch stages. |
Medium |
Web or print surveys |
Quantitative input to fine tune and prioritize possible product options. Beware that how you ask questions can tilt the responses. |
Primarily in full production or market launch stages. |
Low to Medium |
Asking questions. It seems like such a simple thing to do, and then you ask a question and get a response that isn’t at all what you asked for. Now imagine trying to get answers to specific questions that will guide product development. Yes, it’s hard.
Here are some things to keep in mind as you formulate your questions:
On a scale of one to five, how would you rate feature one’s and feature two’s importance?
In this case, you’d develop feature two before feature one because 15 is greater than 5.
Table 6-2 covers most of the popular methods of market research. When you start a larger project, work with a market research specialist, either inside or outside your company, who can advise you on which type of research method will work best to achieve your research objective. If you contact an outside organization, make sure that it doesn’t specialize in only one type of market research. Those companies will inevitably want you to use only their method.
Figure 6-4 gives an overview of market research methods. On the left are high-context methods, meaning that you need to conduct them in person and often onsite. High-context methods give you a broader understanding of the world that your potential customer lives and works in. You use these methods mostly in early stages of decisions to provide a background to further research. On the right are low-context methods, which are very arm’s length and impersonal without much background information. Low-context methods are great for getting quantitative results — the numbers.
Competitive intelligence is also known as competitive analysis. It’s the intelligence acquired about your competition that allows you to compete more effectively. Competitive intelligence uses a lot of the techniques from market research. Check out the techniques in Chapter 5.
Here are some common ways to discover your competition:
For a true 360-degree view of your competition, your research will encompass the areas in the following sections.
All this information creates a map of potential competitive moves. You need to synthesize the key indicators. If you find this synthesis challenging, explain what you’ve found to a few colleagues to uncover the likely next moves of your competition. Present any significant issues to your manager and decide what the next steps will be.
Consider these bigger-picture issues:
Marketing and distribution are other important areas of competitive analysis. Think about the following:
In 1979, Michael Porter wrote “How Competitive Forces Shape Strategy” in the Harvard Business Review. His concepts, shown in Figure 6-7, are as valid today as they’ve been throughout history. Consider each of these aspects when evaluating your competitors and your market overall. To use Porter’s five forces, answer the following questions for your product or market:
What is the bargaining power of your buyers when they negotiate with you?
The fewer or more specialized your suppliers and buyers, the more power they have in controlling negotiations and determining pricing that is less favorable to you.
PESTEL and SWOT. No, we haven’t forgotten to use spell-check. These concepts are two pieces of the competitive analysis puzzle.
PESTEL stands for political, economic, social, technological, environmental, and legal. PESTEL analysis is used to understand the overall context within which you do business and within which your product is evaluated. To complete a PESTEL analysis, answer the following questions. What is the overall social and business environment that you operate in? What is changing? What are key trends in each of these areas? How these stresses impact your competition isn’t always the same as the way they impact you. List each factor and examine your situation closely to see where opportunities and threats lie.
SWOT is an acronym for strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. The first two terms, strengths and weaknesses, refer to the state of the competitive company that you are conducting a SWOT analysis for. The second two terms, opportunities and threats, refer to external impacts on your competition, their markets, and their products. By doing a SWOT analysis for each main competitor you can get a more accurate view of who you are actually competing with and where they are strong and weak. This forms the basis of your own strategy for beating them in the marketplace. Use Figure 6-8 to understand how the different information in each quadrant interacts to give you a synthesis of
Competitors aren’t standing still. To make sure you keep on top of their moves, allocate regular time to competitive evaluation — monthly or quarterly, depending on the industry. Consider these suggestions:
Chapter 4 provides some tools and ideas for coming up with new product ideas, and the market research and competitive analysis section of this chapter shows techniques for exploring potential markets further. One other technique that you may want to use for a market or product that is brand new is doing some additional reality checking.
For newer markets, finding a really good winning idea often means direct validation with actual potential customers. The goal in doing this is to present enough of an impression of a product (whether it is a description, data sheet, or working demo) that customers can imagine themselves buying it and then tell you what they think.
You have a product idea that you think may work for certain customers. That’s wonderful. You now have two choices:
Remember that you may want to test out quite a few potential products and the associated hypothesis. The wise course of action is to take the second option and see what customers say first.
Here’s a simple and relatively fast validation process:
Create a hypothesis about a potential product.
For example, “Customers who use digital forms want to fill them out online and have them automatically routed from one person on to another for signature.”
Create a list of target customers.
In this example, the target customers might be multinational companies that sign forms across the country and possibly across the world; small digital media houses that need sign off on final artwork for various projects; and small companies that need forms signed as part of their workflow inside and outside the company.
Create certain artifacts to prove to customers that this product is real.
The artifacts are a datasheet, a price list, a short presentation on the features and benefits of the product, and a demo done in Microsoft PowerPoint or Word. Note that you create no actual product, but you create enough of the product concept to present it to customers so they get a realistic idea of what would be offered.
Hold individual meetings with several people from each target customer group and see what they say.
Is the target group interested in the product? Which features does each group deem critical? How are they solving the problem today?
When you have a list of each of the target groups that is interested in the product, you can go back and research how big that target market is and then create a rough, back-of-the-envelope estimate of how much potential revenue and profit you could generate. With actual customer feedback, you can proceed to more in-depth planning with more confidence.
Zappos, the online shoe distribution company, tested its concept by making arrangements with actual shoe stores. Rather than building out a warehouse and distribution system first, Zappos tested the concept by putting pictures and prices of shoes online and then filled orders from a physical shoe store. In this way, it avoided upfront costs of a warehouse until it had validated its concept.
At some point, the decision about which, if any, products to move forward with will come down to profitability. And at this stage of product development (or non-product development), you don’t want to get bogged down in enormous reams of financial data and overly complex forecasts. However, you really do need to support your hypothesis with some simple financial analysis and a list of assumptions that went into creating them. To do this, you want to create a draft profit and loss statement, do a break-even analysis, and calculate the return on investment (ROI). Chapter 9 has more detail about how to create these financials.