We explained earlier in this book how technology has been a fundamental driver in the morphing of exchanges during the current era. We also explained how all exchanges are trying to make their way down this steeply falling cost curve, to minimize the cost per share or the cost per contract traded. And, of course, the only way to move down the cost curve is to have more shares or contracts traded at an exchange. Aside from increasing business in existing products and listing new products, the only way to bring more trades to an exchange's platform is to capture business from other exchanges. And there are really two ways to do that. You can capture business by essentially attracting an existing exchange's business to your own exchange, essentially killing the other exchange in the process. Alternatively, you can purchase that business from the other exchange via a merger or acquisition. We turn to the issue of expanding business through mergers and acquisitions in the next chapter.
When pursuing the “kill the competitor” approach, exchanges first tend to go after other exchanges within the same country. Only after that approach has been exhausted do exchanges tend to jump borders and attempt to capture business from exchanges in other countries. And the kill-the-competitor approach works best when the attacking exchange is electronic, and the target exchange is still floor-based. So there's a relatively brief transitional period in the history of exchanges where this approach could work, and that is where electronic and floor-based exchanges exist side by side.
The new global competition has been more prevalent in derivatives than on the equity side of the street. So we start with global competition in derivatives.
Eurex Tries to Kill the Chicago Exchanges
Eurex didn't originally set out to destroy the Chicago Board of Trade. It actually started in October 1999 with a joint venture that was going to help the CBOT move into the electronic age and would help Eurex gain access to U.S. customers. The original deal was called a/c/e, for alliance/CBOT/Eurex, and had the main advantage to the CBOT of replacing the unsuccessful Project A with a first-class electronic trading system. In fact, within a year, on August 28, 2000, the system was up, and the CBOT had, for the first time in its history, both electronic and open-outcry side-by-side trading, allowing customers to choose between the screen and the pit during regular trading hours. Less than two years later, in July 2002, the bloom was off and the two parties announced that they were going to end their alliance in 2004, a full four years before the original 2008 contract expiration. The claim was that the contract was too inflexible and put a damper on contract innovation. Specifically, Eurex was prevented from offering any U.S. dollar-denominated products, and the CBOT was prohibited from listing any European-currency-denominated products. But
the CBOT noted at the time of the announcement that Eurex would continue to be a software provider to the CBOT.
Things turned nasty only six months later, on January 9, 2003, when the CBOT announced that it was going to end its relationship with Eurex, dump the Eurex electronic platform, and replace it with the platform offered by Eurex's main European rival, Euronext.liffe. Literally within hours, Eurex chief executive Rudolph Ferscha announced that Eurex planned to go it alone and create an American-based derivatives exchange when its alliance with the CBOT expired at the end of 2003. The exchange would compete directly with the CBOT and CME with futures and options based on bonds, stock indexes, and individual stocks. “Hell hath no fury like a derivatives exchange scorned,” quipped
The Economist, and it warned, “if Eurex is even partly successful, there will be more pressure on the Chicago exchanges to give up their mutual structures, merge—and turn their trading floors into museums.”
24 This turned out to be a prescient statement.
Eurex actually had two basic options: It could buy or build. Some thought that the quickest way to enter the U.S. market would be by buying an existing exchange with a valid operating license or merging with one. Eurex didn't need a trading platform; it already had a great one that it was using in Frankfurt. And the new law that was passed in 2000, called the Commodity Futures Modernization Act, had streamlined many things, including the process of being designated as an exchange, technically as a Designated Contract Market (DCM). Still, clearing was an issue, and if it bought an exchange, it would need one with a clearing system as robust as the CBOT's external clearing agent, the independent Board or Trade Clearing Corporation (BOTCC). This was because if Eurex was successful, it would soon be doing the same volume as the CBOT and CME combined, since it planned to steal the volume of both. In fact, Eurex decided to build rather than buy an exchange, and it approached BOTCC about clearing for the new exchange.
It is important to remember that Eurex was the exchange that in 1998 essentially captured all the liquidity of the number-one contract traded at the London International Financial Futures Exchange (LIFFE). It was able to do this because it was electronic, transparent, and cheap, whereas LIFFE still engaged in nontransparent, inefficient, and expensive floor-trading. So when Eurex set its sights on Chicago, many people thought this was going to be the end of the CBOT and the CME, which, despite its electronic trading systems, still had significant floor business. So Eurex felt that if it could partner with BOTCC for clearing, get a fast-track approval to be a registered exchange with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, and train and incent new participants to trade on Eurex in Chicago, its attack on Chicago had a high probability of success. And a number of people in Chicago agreed. Why else would BOTCC have been willing to risk the abandonment of its major client, the CBOT, by agreeing to clear for our Eurex? In fact, BOTCC may have thought it was taking very little risk. BOTCC is controlled by clearing members, who are
always looking for ways to reduce the costs of trading. Some competition from a new player could help. And where else could the CBOT go for clearing? Given that three separate attempts to have the CBOT and CME commonly clear their products in one place had failed miserably, BOTCC likely reasoned that while the CBOT wouldn't like BOTCC clearing a new competitor, they would probably stay put. And this would be the best of all worlds for the clearing firms.
25On September 16, 2003, Eurex held a press conference in Chicago and announced that its Chicago-based subsidiary would be called Eurex US and would initially list the same U.S. Treasury contracts that were listed at the CBOT. Now Chicago was not sitting still. In fact, despite the fact that many observers thought the CBOT would not be able to withstand the Eurex attack, just as LIFFE had not been able to withstand the Eurex attack five years earlier, both the CME and CBOT did everything they could to slow down the opening of Eurex US. They put Eurex's application to the CFTC under a microscope, questioning every possible aspect of the proposal. The advantage of this was that each question required an answer and each answer took time. Because the two Chicago exchanges had courted and funded members of Congress for several decades, the exchanges had access and were able to convince Congressional members to hold hearings on the application.
Business Week was more colorful when it noted that despite the exchanges’ usual affirmations of belief in competition and free markets, “Like any favor-seeking sugar grower or steelmaker, the Chicago boys rushed to Washington to sling as much mud as possible at Eurex. Buttonholing such powerful home state pols [politicians] as House Speaker J. Dennis Hastert, they got a hearing on Nov. 6 [2003] before the influential House Agriculture Committee, where they warned that Eurex could threaten everything from open markets to U.S. national interests.”
26As the Chicago exchanges took the battle to Congress, Eurex decided to take the battle to the courts. On October 14, 2003, Eurex filed a lawsuit against the CME and the CBOT for violating antitrust laws. The suit, which was filed in federal court in Washington, D.C., but was later moved to the District Court of Northern Illinois in Chicago, alleged that two exchanges offered shareholders of the BOTCC over $100 million to vote against a restructuring plan that was required for Eurex to be able to clear its products at BOTCC. The suit was amended in December, adding the claim that the two Chicago exchanges’ testimony at congressional hearings was aimed at delaying the launch of Eurex. The suit was further amended in April 2005, over a year after Eurex US listed its first product, to include the claim that the CBOT engaged in predatory pricing by dropping its fees up to 70% only four days prior to the launch of Eurex US. Eurex further alleged that two exchanges had conspired to prevent or delay an important global clearing link between the Clearing Corporation (CCorp) and Eurex clearing in Frankfurt that would have allowed traders to establish a position at Eurex Frankfurt and offset it at Eurex US, or vice versa.
27 When the two Chicago exchanges tried to have the lawsuit dismissed, Judge James Zagel of the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois
stated, “the Defendants’ [CBOT and CME's] description of Plaintiffs’ Second Amended Complaint bears so little resemblance to the Complaint itself that I paused to consider whether Defendants have actually read the Complaint. Assuming that they have, the characterizations made in Defendants’ briefs are as close to the border of being misrepresentations to this Court as it is possible to come without crossing it.”
28 In other words, the judge refused to dismiss the suit.
But the delaying tactics worked. On October 14, 2003, the CFTC announced that it was removing Eurex's application from the 60-day fast track for approval, which would have resulted in a November 15 approval. Moving the application from fast track to normal approval process meant that the CFTC now had until March 16, 2004, to complete the review of the application.
29 Finally, on February 4, 2004, the CFTC approved Eurex US as a Designated Contract Market. Four days later, on February 8, 2004, Eurex US opened its virtual doors for trading.
What did Eurex US have going for it at that time? It had signed up two important Chicago institutions to support it. First, it finally was able to strike an agreement with the Clearing Corporation (formerly known as BOTCC) to clear all Eurex US trades. Second, it enlisted the assistance of the National Futures Association to handle regulatory services for Eurex US. It had in place 36 market makers for the various contracts that it intended to list. And it trained over 100 customers on its electronic trading system.
And what had the two Chicago exchanges been able to do to help fend off the attack? By the time of the Eurex US opening, the CBOT had moved 90% of its Treasury futures trading to the screen and the CME had moved an even greater percentage of its Eurodollar futures trading to the screen. The CBOT had lowered its fees to 30 cents per side for nonmembers on a temporary basis. Since Eurex fees were in the 20 to 30 cents per-contract range, this took away a major part of the fee advantage that Eurex thought it would have going into battle. In addition, the Chicago exchanges had delayed the Eurex launch long enough that the CBOT was able to complete its transition from the Eurex electronic platform to the platform owned by Euronext.liffe, which many observers considered equal to if not better than the Eurex platform. This meant that instead of going to battle with an obsolete, high-priced, nontransparent, floor-based system, Eurex found itself facing an electronic, transparent, low-priced competitor.
Eurex had an uphill battle. By June, Eurex had a very small market share and was not making much forward progress. So it sweetened the pot. On June 22, 2004, Eurex announced that first it would eliminate all fees for trading U.S. Treasury contracts at Eurex US from July 12 through the end of the year; second, it would share up to $40 million in rebates to frequent traders. The plan, which also included stipends paid to market makers to help pay for technology development and free iPods for participating traders, was called X Factor, and it did have an effect. Daily average volume jumped from 2768
contracts in June to 23,922 contracts in July, an impressive 764% increase, but still trivial in terms of market share. At an FIA lunch in Chicago, Eurex US CEO Satish Nandapurkar pleaded with the crowd: “The industry, FCMs and end customers have all been asking for competition … Credible competitive markets exist. But you have to support them. If you do, you send a message. If you don't, you send a message … Your destiny is in your own hands.”
30Over the following months, Eurex tried other things, other incentives and other products, including going after the CME foreign exchange futures, but ultimately the attack failed and Eurex ended up selling 70% of the exchange to Man Group plc for $23.2 million in cash, with Man promising to make a further capital injection of $35 million into the exchange. Despite further injections of cash, by July 2008 Eurex US, renamed USFE, short for U.S. Futures Exchange, was trading only 117 contracts per day, mainly in a dollar-based Indian stock index. The CME, which had absorbed the CBOT and become the CME Group, was trading 990,379 contracts per day—about 8400 times as much. It could have been the other way round.
ICE Tries to Kill NYMEX
Before we describe the battle between ICE and NYMEX, we must first understand what ICE is. Originally, the Atlanta-based Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) opened its doors in 2000 as an OTC energy market for big commercial players.
31 Its founding owners were four investment banks and three big energy companies. From a regulatory point of view, the market was considered an Exempt Commercial Market under the extremely light regulation of the CFTC. When the new futures law was passed in 2000 in the United States, it expanded the types of exchanges that could be created and specifically allowed for several types of very lightly regulated exchanges, which were lightly regulated because only large sophisticated players could participate on them. The Exempt Commercial Market was one of these new exchange types. Over time, ICE acquired futures exchanges in Europe, Canada, and the United States. ICE acquired the London-based International Petroleum Exchange in 2001 and eventually renamed it ICE Europe. In 2007 it acquired both the Winnipeg Commodity Exchange, which it renamed ICE Futures Canada, and the New York Board of Trade, which it renamed ICE Futures US. The original OTC energy business was renamed ICE OTC. So there are four ICE markets: the three futures markets based in Europe, the United States, and Canada and the original ICE OTC market.
32There was some initial friction between the original ICE OTC market and NYMEX in that some of the business on ICE could have been drawn away from NYMEX and the fact that the ICE used NYMEX futures settlement prices to cash-settle some of its own contracts. NYMEX sued ICE to prevent it from using without permission the intellectual property of NYMEX, but it was
unsuccessful because the court ruled that the settlement prices of an exchange are in the public domain.
But the real competition began on February 3, 2006, when London-based ICE Futures (today called ICE Futures Europe) launched a frontal attack by listing a clone of NYMEX's most successful contract—Light Sweet Crude Oil (AKA West Texas Intermediate). NYMEX had frittered away its resources on establishing trading floors in Dublin and London and had plans to do the same in Singapore and Dubai. In the meantime, it had not done much to upgrade its own electronic trading system, mainly used for after-hours trading. This made it very vulnerable to attack from three quarters. First, its energy products would be very attractive to ICE Futures, which was a renamed acquisition by ICE, called the International Petroleum Exchange (IPE). Second, the CME was anxious to diversify into energy contracts and saw NYMEX's business as quite attractive. Third, the now largely electronic CBOT had listed screen-based gold and silver and was eating into NYMEX's gold and silver business on its COMEX division.
The ICE attack was technically cross-border competition because it was a London-based exchange attempting to directly compete with a U.S.-based exchange. At least that is what it looked like on the surface, but the reality was more complex. It is true that ICE Futures was once a British bricks-and-mortar entity, but it had undergone some changes. It switched from being a traditional member-owned exchange and was now a subsidiary of an American, Atlanta-based parent, the IntercontinentalExchange. It also switched trade matching from a trading floor in London to servers in Atlanta. And, with listing WTI crude, virtually identical to the one listed on NYMEX, it now had a U.S.-based product. With American owners, American servers, and American products, to a number of people it was starting to look like an American exchange. Of course, to the Financial Services Authority, the British regulator of all things financial, ICE futures was still a British exchange because the management of the exchange was based in London.
So when NYMEX complained that the competition from ICE was possibly unfair because ICE was subject to different and in some ways lighter oversight than NYMEX, some information-sharing accommodations were made between the two regulators that allowed both regulators to get a much better picture of large traders on both sides of the Atlantic.
But there were two factors that ultimately prevented ICE from killing NYMEX. The major one was that once the CME announced that it also was going to enter the energy business and compete directly with both NYMEX and ICE, NYMEX knew its days were numbered. It was sitting naked with an inadequate electronic platform facing attacks by two aggressive exchanges with well-honed platforms, and ICE had been able to gain a 30% share in a matter of months. One of the three would win this competition, and it wasn't going to be NYMEX, no matter how hard NYMEX members wanted to believe in floor-based trading.
NYMEX had no choice. To survive, it had to make a deal. The immediate deal it made was to move its energy products onto GLOBEX, CME's electronic platform, in return for CME backing down on its plan to list its own energy products. There was a cost—NYMEX had to pay the CME (a fee that is not publicly known), but in making this deal, NYMEX got rid of one competitor and got a first-class electronic platform to use to fight off the other competitor. And it worked. Once GLOBEX became the NYMEX platform, ICE was not able to make further inroads into NYMEX's market share of the WTI market. In fact, the ICE share declined slightly, from 30% to 28%, for the first nine months of 2008, compared with the same period a year earlier.
The second, rather unusual reason that ICE didn't kill NYMEX, is that by doing so it would have been cutting its own throat. The ICE contract does not involve physical delivery, as does the NYMEX contract, but rather is cash-settled. And the price that ICE uses to cash-settle its contract is actually the price established in the NYMEX contract. So if the NYMEX contract disappeared, the ICE contract, as currently structured, could not be settled and would disappear as well. It's not clear how ICE would have kept NYMEX alive had the momentum continued in its favor and the CME not stepped in to save it.
The New Global Competition in Equities
Aside from the ADRs described earlier, there has been little global competition in equities in the United States. Yes, for a number of years New York has been considered a premier place to list stock for companies located all over the world. And these companies sometimes did an IPO and direct listing of its shares in the United States, rather than merely an ADR listing. But unlike the considerable international competition in derivatives allowed by the CFTC, the SEC has allowed foreign exchanges to set up operations in the United States.
In August 2007, for the first time in its long history, the SEC began working on regulations that could allow U.S. investors access to securities traded offshore.
33 The model under consideration is referred to as a
mutual recognition model, in which the SEC would allow both broker-dealers and exchanges in other jurisdictions to forgo the registration requirements with the SEC as long as the securities laws, oversight and enforcement powers in their own jurisdiction were comparable to those in the United States. So, instead of complying with SEC regulations, the foreign broker-dealers and exchanges would simply have to comply with the regulations in their own countries, which would be deemed essentially equivalent to complying with SEC regulations. U.S. exchanges insist that if this were to be allowed, the U.S. exchanges themselves should be allowed to list those same foreign products so that investors would have a choice between trading the foreign products on U.S. markets or on the foreign markets. The mutual recognition model had not been implemented at
the time this manuscript was submitted for publication, but the fact that the SEC was considering such a bold step suggests that the equity markets may begin to see the same type of global competition that had already begun in the exchange-traded derivatives markets.
The most active cross-border competition in equities has occurred in Europe, which makes sense because Europe makes up the most politically and economically integrated collection of countries on earth. When the European Parliament issued EU Directive 2004/39/EC on markets in financial instruments, it required that a market in financial instruments organize itself in one of two ways: as a regulated market or as a multilateral trading facility. Regulated markets are more like traditional exchanges (think the London Stock Exchange or the Frankfurt Stock Exchange), whereas MTFs are more like the ECNs that started in the 1990s in the United States (think Island, Archipelago, or Instinet, or more recently, BATS Trading or Direct Edge). In fact, just as in the United States, the entry of these new ECNs/MTFs has created a lively competition among platforms for trading the stocks of various European countries, and trading fees at the major exchanges have fallen. Specifically, the price pressure has been due to the entry of such new MTFs as Chi-x, Turquoise, and BATS Trading Europe.
Among the MTFs in Europe, Turquoise announced first in November 2006, but Chi-x Europe started first, in March 2007. Chi-X's speed in getting to market is said to be due to the focus provided by a single dominant shareholder (Instinet).
34 With only the exchanges as competition, Chi-X has absolutely been the low-cost provider of trading services in Europe. This all changed in 2008. Turquoise opened its virtual doors in February 2008. By the time BATS Trading Europe opened in October 2008, Chi-X had a 6.1% share and Turquoise a 1.5% share, all trading in European stocks. BATS got off to a strong start in Europe and may duplicate its performance in the United States. The London Stock Exchange had 19.3%, Deutsche Börse 17.5%, and NYSE Euronext 15.5%. This makes CHI-X the fourth biggest market for European stocks. To add to the competition, NYSE Euronect announced in August 2008 that it would be starting its own MTF for pan-European blue-chip stocks before the end of the year. It planned to use the very fast technology developed by Arca, an ECN converted to an exchange and acquired by the NYSE, and to include SmartPool, a pan-European dark pool for trading large blocks.
The success of the MTFs has been helped by their ownership and business models. Turquoise, for example, is owned by nine investment banks, which made a commitment to provide liquidity for six months. BATS is owned by 10 investment banks and brokers, five of whom are also Turquoise owners.
35 In other words, these two operations are owned by their customers, who have an incentive to drive liquidity to the platform they own. The bottom line is that Europe will continue to see significant intermarket competition for some time, and this cross-border competition should continue to shower benefits on the users of these markets.