Acceptance testing, 63, 124, 132
Accountability, 147, 153, 154, 159
of stakeholders, 156
Austin, Rob, 154
Automated Baggage Handling System (ABHS), 22-23, 25-28, 70, 184
Benefit, 63, 64, 109, 146ff., 151, 152-53, 154, 161, 162
calculation, 149
Boehm, Barry W., 119, 150, 158, 190
constraints, 159
Can-do, 13, 16, 31, 40, 61-62, 114-26, 171
Capability Maturity Model (CMM), 15, 23
brainstorming, 116
list, 45
Charette, Robert, 12, 183, 184, 185
Client, 30, 33, 39, 43-44, 65, 84, 138, 156
Clifford, William Kingdon, 3-6, 17, 64, 175ff.
Closure metrics, 122, 135, 137, 166, 173
Commit date, 75
Communication breakdown, 114
Conflict, 24, 108, 109, 119, 120, 123, 129
Contingency actions, 74, 165, 173
Contingency planning, 20, 71, 74, 167, 173
Core risks, 91, 100, 101-11, 112, 113, 122, 127, 164, 165, 172
combined effect of, 111
Cost:
benefit analysis, 130, 143, 145, 146, 149
expected, 149
specification, 147
value trade-off, 80
Culture, corporate, 21, 29, 35, 40, 42, 76, 113, 114, 117, 171, 172
Cumulative risk diagram, 90, 96, 152
Dataflows, 109-10, 123, 124, 126, 166
Deadlines, 5, 48, 53, 56, 57, 77-78
Delivery date, 27, 29, 30, 31, 39, 40, 42, 53ff., 69, 76, 83, 86, 90, 100, 129, 130, 140, 153, 165, 167
buffered, 69
most likely, 53
realistic, 71
Denver International Airport (DIA), 22-23, 24-28, 29, 33, 50, 70, 184
Diseconomies of scale, 158
Early-start option, 138, 140, 141
Earned value running (EVR), 122, 124-27, 129, 135ff., 166, 167
Economies of scale, 158
Effort, 4, 6, 24, 27, 28, 33, 42, 47, 53, 59, 68, 81, 104, 105, 116, 135, 136, 149, 158ff., 166, 173
Elemental requirement components, 134, 166
Estimates, 39, 57-58, 60, 69, 87, 88, 90, 91, 103-4, 109, 124, 141, 156, 164, 166, 172
Estimation process, 106
Expectations, 31, 40, 61, 66, 69, 76, 101, 110, 111, 149, 151, 152, 161, 163, 171
Exposure, 66-67, 68, 69, 73, 165, 173
assessing, 67
Failure, 16, 25, 28, 30, 31, 32, 33, 41, 42, 45, 61, 63, 66, 86, 109, 113, 130, 154, 166
blame and, 117
partial, 118
Functionality, 77, 100, 109, 126, 146, 154, 157, 159
Goals, 24, 32, 39, 40, 75, 76, 172
Implementers, 129
Incremental delivery, 128, 129, 132ff., 166
Incremental implementation, 77, 78, 131
Incrementalism, 78, 124, 128, 129, 130, 131, 137, 156, 173, 187
constraints on, 135
mitigation and, 128
overlap of tasks, 135
proactive, 130
value/cost analysis of, 157
value projections and, 159
version plans and, 124
Incremental risk diagram, 90, 96, 152
Innovation, 24
Jackson, Sean, 154
Lateness, 25-27, 30, 42, 48, 76, 130, 140
Management, 24, 27, 34, 39, 44, 104, 117, 129, 145, 149, 171
gutless, 140
malpractice, 17
by objectives, 37
reckless, 34
styles, 37
Managers, 37, 38, 40, 56ff., 60, 61, 63, 65, 76, 79, 102, 104, 130, 131, 140, 141, 147, 153ff., 171
Mean-time-to-failure, 80
Methods, 23
closure, 122, 135, 137, 166, 173
Monte Carlo:
tools, 153
Motivation, 137
Nano-percent (N):
functionality, 77
performance level, 172
Net present value (NPV), 145, 163
Opportunity, 10, 14, 30, 33, 104, 111
cost, 149
Overcommitment, 79
Oversizing, 102
Overstaffing, 18
Parametric estimator, 87, 91, 165
Parkinsonian scheduling, 37
Planning, 15, 19, 39, 48, 64, 72, 82, 101, 105, 121
Politics, 24, 40, 59, 79, 138, 156
Postmortems, 61-62, 122, 149, 188
Probability analysis, 118
Probability of delivery, 54, 57, 77, 78, 90
Prognosticator, 87
Project:
assumptions, 67, 68, 74, 152, 165
cancellation, 43, 44, 45, 65, 67, 108, 109, 110, 112, 124, 129, 131
high-value, 149
management, 5, 15, 68, 80, 108
managers, 16, 30, 32, 40, 49, 53, 59, 61, 79, 102, 104, 129, 132, 152
plan, 16, 48, 60, 69, 70, 74, 101, 102, 129, 165, 173
relative size of, 173
review, 116
visibility, 137
Promises, 30, 39, 61, 154, 155
Pseudo delivery, 173
Rank-order prioritization, 129, 130, 131, 159, 166
Requirements, 18, 24, 95, 101, 105, 106, 119, 134, 146, 150, 166
setting, 108
Resizing, 104
Responsibility, 19, 20, 21, 67, 68, 114, 177
for measurement, 156
for risk management, 28, 29, 65, 171
for value-projection, 156
Return on investment, 145
Risk, v, vii, 7, 11ff., 16ff., 24, 26ff., 31ff., 39-40, 43ff., 51, 58, 59, 61, 63ff., 73, 74, 77, 79ff., 113ff., 118ff., 124, 127ff., 137, 138, 140, 143, 147, 149, 152, 153, 160ff., 172, 173
assessment, viii, 41, 83, 91, 114, 181
balancing opportunity and, 14
benefits and, 9
census, 19, 67, 73, 79, 164, 172
containment, viii, 31, 63, 64, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 137, 139
identifying, 43, 45, 66, 113, 115, 117, 181
ignoring, 13, 17, 28, 46-47, 79
list, 30, 40, 43, 44, 45, 46, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 68, 79, 122
minimizing, 31
officer, 20
problems and, 17, 44-45, 61, 65
profile, 86
reserve, 32, 51, 64, 67, 68-69
running away from, v, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14
simulators, 100
transition, 17-18, 19, 47, 64, 74, 165, 167
triage, 20
unthinkable, 21
Risk diagrams, 55-57, 58-59, 74ff., 80, 82ff., 93, 95, 96, 98, 100, 103, 104, 147, 151ff., 162ff., 172, 173
Risk-discovery process, 20, 45, 51, 62, 73, 74, 79, 113, 115, 116, 119, 120, 164, 167, 172
meeting, 116
Risk management, vii, viii, 6, 13-14, 15ff., 24, 27, 28, 29ff., 37-40, 42, 44-45, 46, 48, 50, 51, 61, 62, 64, 65-66, 67, 68, 73, 79, 80, 81, 100, 102, 112, 113, 119, 121, 147, 149, 164, 169, 171, 172, 173
cost of not performing, 29
dynamics, 121ff.
as focusing mechanism, 34
justification for, 17
mechanics of, 60ff.
opposition to, 38
philosophy of, 14
prescription for, 73-74, 164-67
problems of, 14
Risk manager, vii, 17, 99, 129, 172
would-be, 42
Risk materialization, 17, 18, 20, 33, 39, 47, 63, 64, 67, 69, 74, 77, 128, 137, 164, 167, 173
probability, 20, 46, 66, 69, 73, 165
Risk mitigation, viii, 18, 19, 20, 27, 32, 43, 47, 63, 70, 82, 128, 138, 140, 165, 173
cost of, 16, 64, 67, 69-71, 73, 128, 164
mode, 138
Risk-taking, vii, viii, 10, 12, 14, 38, 58, 140
necessity of, 13
philosophy of, 160
rewarding, 12
RISKOLOGY, viii, 91, 99, 100, 101, 106, 107, 109, 111, 119, 162, 165
Root cause analysis, 118-19, 189
Scenario-building, 118
Schedule, 6, 13, 21, 25ff., 31ff., 48, 50, 57, 60, 71, 74, 78, 88, 101ff., 130, 141, 149
expected, 149
gaming of, 76
overrun, 104
slip, 21
uncertainty about, 76
Sensitivity analysis, 149, 156-57
Silves, Mike, 147
Software:
industry, 23, 38, 56, 59, 101, 103, 104, 140, 145, 160, 173
Software Engineering Institute (SEI), 186
Specification, 43, 53, 108, 109, 123, 134, 157
breakdown, 102, 108-10, 147, 166
closure, 109
Spiral development life cycle, 119
Stakeholders, 22, 31, 38, 53, 75-78, 79, 84, 105, 108, 109, 118, 119, 123, 124, 130, 131, 141, 147ff., 153ff., 165, 173
assumptions of, 152
Success, 14, 24, 26, 31, 35, 39, 48, 79, 86, 119, 154, 158, 175
System, 11, 13, 24, 38, 43-44, 114, 123ff., 129, 141, 145ff., 150ff., 157, 159
construction, 124
Testosterone-based decision making, 154
Theory W, 119
Tools, customizing, 43, 91, 92, 99, 165
Transformation rules, 123
Transition indicators, 17-18, 19, 20, 71, 72, 73, 122, 164, 173
Trucker’s maxim, 71
Uncertainty, 6, 23-24, 29ff., 38-39, 40, 42, 53-54, 56ff., 74ff., 82ff., 91ff., 98, 100, 147, 149, 162, 165, 172
admitting, 42
confronting, 38
curve, 59
diagram, 55, 58, 77, 82, 84, 86, 88, 89, 90, 93, 95, 96, 98, 103, 151, 152, 162, 163, 172, 173
effect of, 92
fear of expressing, 171
functional, 76
overlayer, 87
pattern, 95
schedule, 76
trade-off, 76
Under-performance, 110
Unwritten rules, 114, 115, 116, 117
Urgency assessment, 72
Users, 64, 77, 80, 113, 117, 129, 131, 137, 156, 159
involvement of, 137
Value, 40, 55, 65, 70, 82, 96, 98, 114, 122, 130, 131, 136, 137, 143, 145, 149, 150, 151-55, 156ff., 166, 172, 173
assessment, 143, 154, 155, 158, 166, 173
distribution, 157
prediction, 151, 153, 156, 159
quantification, 145
rank-ordering of, 173
software engineering, 150
Version acceptance test (VAT), 127, 132, 134, 135, 136, 137, 167
Versions, 77, 86, 125ff., 130ff., 140, 158, 166, 167, 173
Voice-of-the-product metric, 137
Windows of uncertainty, 29, 30, 39, 58-59, 110
WinWin Spiral Process Model, 119, 190
Work breakdown structure (WBS), 132, 133, 135, 136, 166, 173