Chapter 11. CORPORATE BONDS

AT $2.2 TRILLION in outstanding debt, the corporate bond market is huge. Bought by institutions and individuals because of their high yield, corporate bonds span the spectrum of maturities and finance just about every aspect of the economy. As such, their credit ratings range from good-as-gold AAA to down-and-out junk. Corporate bonds are generally sold to institutions in very large quantities, although there are certain kinds that are targeted for retail.

The Big Picture

Good-as-gold corporate bonds are hard to find. According to Kamalesh Rao of Moody's Investors Service, the number of AAA-rated companies has shrunk over the past thirty years.[95] In the late 1970s, fifty-eight companies had AAA ratings and accounted for 25 percent of corporate debt. In 2001, only nine had the AAA rating, and those companies accounted for only 6.2 percent of corporate debt. The stellar nine are now the stellar five, consisting of two corporate descendants of 1970s AAA-rated companies—General Electric and ExxonMobil—and three newcomers rated AAA by both Moody's and Standard & Poors—Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer, and United Parcel Service (UPS). This list keeps changing.

RATINGS

The higher a bond's rating, the less you're supposed to worry about a corporate bankruptcy and vice versa. With the collapse of Enron in 2001, the ratings assigned by agencies came under increased scrutiny. Moody's Investors Service responded to the critical nature of the government scrutiny by sending out a request for information about off-balance-sheet financial arrangements to about 4,200 companies in January 2002. The last time Moody's Investors Service took this action was in 1994, when Orange County, California, filed for bankruptcy.

With a dearth of AAA-rated companies, credit protections have become increasingly important. Secured bonds offer such protections because they have a first claim on specific assets if the corporation is unable to pay. Examples of secured bonds are mortgage bonds, collateral trust bonds, and equipment trust certificates. If you see one of these names in the title of a bond, you know that you have a secured bond. For example, a description might read: "Duke Power, First Mortgage Bonds." This means that the issuer, utility company Duke Power, issued a bond that is secured by a first mortgage on certain of its property. Collateral trust bonds are secured by securities of other companies (usually subsidiaries) owned by the company issuing the bonds. Equipment trust certificates are liens against the rolling stock of railroads or the airplanes owned by an airline company.

Guarantees are also a form of credit protection. Although usually featured on munis, they are sometimes on corporate bonds as well. The guarantees often appear as letters of credit (LOC), which are credit guarantees issued by banks. LOCs provide funds to pay off the corporate bond issue should the corporation default. Another form of a guarantee is when a parent company guarantees the bonds of one of its subsidiaries. Some corporate bonds are insured by the companies that also insure municipal bonds.

Unsecured bonds are known as debentures and are protected only by the full faith and credit of the company. Debentures can receive high bond ratings if the issuing company is financially strong. Bonds with a lesser claim on assets are called "subordinated debentures."

To protect their creditability and to inform investors, rating agencies have developed "watch lists" that indicate when a company's rating might be either raised or lowered. Moody's Investors Service provides its list on its Web site, www.moodys.com. You can enter the name of the bond, or identify it by CUSIP. The Securities and Exchange Commission has the most current information from company filings on its Web site, www.sec.gov/edgar/quickedgar.htm.

INTEREST RATES

Although the overwhelming majority of corporate bonds feature a fixed interest rate, some are offered with variable rates. Long featured in European bonds, variable rates have been attached to U.S. securities only since the 1970s. The rates are tied to some other measure, usually a Treasury bond rate or the London inter-bank offered rate (Libor) and are adjusted at specified intervals. They're called floating-rate notes (FRNs). As with other debt instruments, corporate bonds may be sold as zero-coupon bonds, which means they pay no interest until maturity.

TAXATION

The taxation of corporate bonds is very complicated, and you should consult your tax adviser on the specifics. However, some general points apply if the bonds are not held in a tax-sheltered retirement account:

  • The interest you receive on corporate bonds is generally subject to federal and state income tax at ordinary income tax rates. If you own zero-coupon bonds, you may have to report phantom income each year even if you receive no current interest.

  • If you sell your bonds or redeem them at their due date, usually you must report either a short-term or long-term capital gain or loss on your federal and state income tax returns.

  • If you buy a corporate bond at a premium (that is, more than face value), you can generally amortize the premium over the life of the bond. This means that you can deduct a piece of the premium each year as an interest deduction on your income tax returns.

Key Categories of Corporate Bonds

There are two major indexes, one compiled by Dow Jones and the other by Lehman Brothers, that track corporate bonds, and each has its own variation on how to categorize the bonds. The categories help to clarify the type of risk you take when you buy corporate bonds. Bond sectors are of more than theoretical interest to bond buyers because bad news affecting one issuer in a sector can affect all other bonds within the sector.

Following Lehman's example, we cut the corporate universe into financials, industrials (under which transportation falls), utilities, Yankee bonds, and emerging-market bonds.

  • Financial institutions. Included here are banks, finance companies, brokerage houses, insurance companies, real estate investment trusts (REITs), and other related firms. In some classifications, banks are separated from other financial companies because they do not always move in tandem.

  • Industrials. This is a catchall category, including manufacturing, mining, retail, and service-related companies. Transportation companies are also included. Their creditworthiness has been negatively affected by deregulation and new technologies. Railroad bonds were at one time some of the safest bonds, but their attractiveness has increasingly eroded. Airlines are one of the latest industries to suffer the effects of government deregulation, and the new freedom provides management the opportunity to make horrendous mistakes. Many airlines passed through bankruptcy between 2002 and 2006.

  • Utilities. This category, which includes telephone and communications companies, gas distribution and transmission companies, water companies, and electric power companies, is reeling under the effects of deregulation. Historically considered stable investments, utilities have been forced from cozy, monopolistic arenas into free-market environments that are not always conducive to their well-being. Under the Telecom Act of 1996, for example, AT&T was left with the long-distance business and the Baby Bells were given aegis over local telephone calling. A combination of increased competition in the long-distance business and imprudent investments in cable, wireless, and Internet businesses resulted in AT&T assuming a staggering $36.5 billion of debt.[96] By 2006, AT&T was dismembered and sold. We still see the AT&T name because it's used by one of the purchasing companies.

  • Yankee bonds. These are investment-grade foreign bonds that are dollar denominated, thereby eliminating the currency risk. Yankee bonds are registered with the SEC and issued and traded in the United States. Included in this category are bonds issued by Canadian provinces and utilities; supranational agencies, like the World Bank; sovereign bonds, such as bonds issued by Australia and Sweden; and, to a lesser extent, corporate bonds.

    Yankee bonds may yield more than similarly rated U.S. corporate bonds due to investors' lack of familiarity with the credit. They may also be issued with shorter maturities and better call protection, making them particularly attractive to U.S. and foreign buyers of dollar-denominated bonds.

  • Emerging-market bonds. Bonds under this rubric are bonds issued by foreign companies and countries that may have more limited financial structures and assets. They are international junk bonds, affected by political instability and shaky economies. Sovereign debt crises include "cases where the sovereign debt has been semicoercively restructured or rescheduled under the threat of default (Pakistan, Ukraine, Uruguay) and cases in which sovereign debt service distress has been avoided only through very large International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan packages (Mexico [1982], twice in Brazil in 1999 and 2001–2003, Turkey, Uruguay."[97]

The emerging markets are no stranger to defaults. In 1998, Russia defaulted on its sovereign debt, which was triggered by an attack on its currency. Argentina defaulted in 2001, with most spectacular consequences. Before the Argentinean default, an expected loss of principal—otherwise known as the haircut—was between 30 and 50 percent on the dollar. Argentina's loss is estimated to be 70 percent or more and sets a disturbing example for other third-world countries because it demonstrates that declaring bankruptcy can be one way to escape crushing debt loads. The lesson investors learned from the Argentinean default: "Lend to deadbeats at your own risk."[98]

With the advent of high oil prices in 2006, oil-producing nations like Russia, Mexico, Venezuela, and even Ecuador are able to pay off some of the devastating debt. Investors must be assuming that oil prices will not go down because the JPMorgan Emerging Market Bond Index plus additions (EMBI+) was yielding 6.6 percent in 2006, only 2 percentage points more than Treasuries, the safest world credit.

Some, like Brady bonds, are dollar denominated. Named after Treasury Secretary Nicholas Brady, these bonds were introduced in 1980 as a way for commercial banks to repackage their nonperforming emerging-market loans.[99] Some of the debt backed by the Brady name is collateralized. U.S. zero-coupon bonds back the principal, and eighteen months of interest is guaranteed on a rolling basis. In 1999, Ecuador became the first country to default on its Brady payments. In 2003, Mexico became the first country to retire its Brady bonds.

Most emerging-market bonds are not dollar denominated, making them subject to currency risk as well as default risk. Investors in these bonds are betting that the dollar will weaken against the foreign currency. The differences between dollar-denominated debt and foreign-currency debt of the same nation are quite revealing. For example, in 2006, the bonds denominated in Turkish lira due in 2007 yielded about 14.7 percent, while the dollar-denominated debt yielded 5.2 percent. The higher yield did not guarantee that you would earn more because the Turkish lira devalued 6.1 percent against the dollar. The exit doors to these exotic investments are very narrow. Because of these issues, institutional investors often hedge against loss by purchasing credit swaps or they hedge against currency. To do so, however, is to incur a significant cost and give up the possible upside on the currency exchange.

ADVANTAGES

Corporate bonds provide a predictable stream of income. Interest is usually paid semiannually, although some bonds, if they're notes, pay interest quarterly or monthly. Corporates yield more than Treasury and agency bonds and usually more than other taxable fixed-income investments. They're suitable investments for tax-sheltered retirement accounts and for those in low tax brackets.

RISKS

The corporate bond is no stranger to event risk. They may be subjected to leveraged buyouts (LBOs) or takeovers. In an LBO, the employer or a purchaser takes the company private, often creating a windfall for the stockholders. However, an LBO may result in great uncertainty for the bondholders because their bonds may be downgraded. LBOs have turned investment-grade bonds to junk overnight, in the process smearing the bonds of similar companies identified as potential acquisition candidates. In 1988, for example, when RJR Nabisco was taken over, prices of many large corporate bonds plummeted across the board as traders reacted to the realization that even large companies were not safe from such hostile actions.[100]

The credit quality of bonds is often downgraded when corporations try to boost their stock prices. In 2000, for example, scores of companies raised the reported per share earnings by the simple expedient action of buying back their shares even though their earnings did not increase. After all, when you have four shares outstanding and you earn $1.00, your per-share earnings are $0.25. This earning report is doubled to $0.50 when you buy back two shares and, thus, have only two shares outstanding. While the companies were beefing up their per-share earnings, however, they were acquiring boatloads of debt to buy back their shares. Stock buybacks are now a familiar part of the debt landscape. This heavy debt led Moody's Investors Service to downgrade three times as many bonds as it upgraded in that year, a ratio not seen since the recession of the early 1990s.[101] To discover whether the bonds you own were issued by a company buying back its stock, call your broker and ask if the bonds are on the stock buyback list. Then evaluate your risk. On a cautionary note, never equate a company's rising stock price with good financial health or a willingness to support its out- standing debt.

Floating-rate notes have their own specialized risks. Although the coupon payments adjust to the changes in the marketplace interest rates, they do not adjust to changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Thus, the interest rate being paid is based on the credit quality of the issuer when the floating rate was established.

PRICING INFORMATION

Although generally issued with a minimum face value of $1,000, corporate bonds are frequently sold in lots of $5,000. Prices for frequently traded issues are currently reported on the Web site www.investinginbonds.com after a lag; however, the market is moving toward greater price transparency.

Although companies generally have only one class of common stock, they usually have many distinct bond issues because some have a better claim on the company's assets in the event of a default than others. Bonds that trade often are easy to evaluate, whereas bonds that seldom trade are more difficult to price.

SPECIAL FEATURES AND TIPS

Basic features. Corporate bonds come with one of three alternative features. You can pick the feature that suits you best.

  • Callable. The call feature can vary from every thirty days to several years or be known as extraordinary, which is triggered by the sale of assets or other special provisions.

  • Noncallable. This provision covers the life of the bond.

  • Convertible. This feature means the bond can be exchanged for shares, the number of which is stipulated by the indenture.

Sinking funds. These funds are a frequent provision of some types of corporate bonds. They are frequently found in the indentures of industrial bonds and public utilities but not in bonds issued by telecommunications and finance companies.[102] Although sinking funds might redeem your bonds at an unwanted time, they provide for the orderly repayment of debt. With zero-coupon bonds, however, no debt is repaid at all until the bonds come due. In that case, you place your faith in the issuer's ability to pay all the debt at once.

Make-whole calls. These calls were introduced in 1995, but they are now frequently found in addition to fixed calls. A make-whole call allows the issuer to call a bond whenever it wants at par plus a premium, usually expressed as X basis points over the equivalent Treasury bond. High interest rates, poor ratings, and long maturities produce more "room" for an issuer's borrowing costs to decline if the following happens: interest rates decline, company ratings improve, and the maturity of the bonds shorten. But is this call attractive to the bond buyer? You should still require a price premium for the uncertainty that the bond might be called early and that the price of the bond may not appreciate much over par due to the call possibility. Advantageous circumstances for you would include falling interest rates and rising Treasury bond prices. You would have a higher call price than if there were a fixed call, although you would still have to reinvest at lower rates. It is very expensive for an issuer to exercise this call so it is not exercised frequently.

Puts. Puts are a relatively recent feature in corporate retail notes. They are the opposite of calls in that they allow buyers to redeem their bonds before maturity at face value and without penalty. One variant is the death put. If the bondholder dies, his or her estate can redeem the bond at face value. By its very nature, the death put increases the attractiveness of long-term bonds, especially those selling at a discount to their face value. However, the increase in value may be offset by the taxes due on the gain.

Unadorned puts are often used as an added inducement when an issuer is on credit watch. Another provision is the "step-up," which increases the size of the coupon by a fraction of a percentage point for a stated reason, like a rating agency downgrade. AT&T used both these inducements, plus a juicy yield, to attract buyers for its November 2001 issue.[103]

Corporate Medium-Term Notes

Having read about the complexities of bonds, it should not be too surprising to learn that medium-term notes (MTNs) are not always medium term. Once upon a time, when they first appeared in the 1980s, they did have maturities that fell between short-term commercial paper and long-term bonds and deserved their medium-term designation. They were noncallable, unsecured, senior debt securities with fixed coupon rates and investment-grade ratings with maturities of five years or less.

Now, however, their maturities range from nine months to thirty years. In 1993, the Walt Disney Company even issued a medium-term note with a 100-year maturity. Starting as small niche offerings of the automobile industry, MTNs are now issued by hundreds of corporations both within the United States and in Europe. Not only are they not necessarily medium term, they may be callable, variable-rate, asset-backed, or debentures.

An aspect of MTNs that has remained constant since their inception is their distribution process. Under the traditional system, underwriters buy the bonds themselves and take on ownership risk. With MTNs, brokers don't need to do this. They act simply as middlemen in selling the bonds directly from the company to an investor, in the process pocketing a fee from the company for their services.

A second constant feature of MTNs is that they are offered on a continuous basis, rather than as one lump sum. This was made possible through SEC Rule 415, which went into effect in March 1982. The ruling allows a corporation to register at one time all bonds it plans to sell over a two-year period. This is called a shelf registration. It gives corporations great flexibility in issuing bonds and is especially useful in allowing them to take immediate advantage of drops in interest rates. The value of each shelf registration generally ranges from $100 million to $1 billion. Once all bonds in a registration have been sold, the company can "reload" by filing for more debt in another registration.

ADVANTAGES

Unlike corporate bond offerings that are issued all at once, MTNs are available continuously so you can purchase them at a time that's convenient for you. In addition, coupon rates can be quite attractive for maturities that are beneficial to the issuer.

RISKS

Because of their flexibility, MTNs are issued both privately and publicly, which allows corporations to conceal some of their debt. MTN offerings are often issued simultaneously with derivatives to hedge company risks. They are then called "structured notes." They may appear to be regular bonds, but they may have exotic derivatives embedded in them. These notes can cause an investor to lose invested principal because the risks are not obvious.

PRICING INFORMATION

Investors in MTN offerings must have deep pockets because these offerings are usually in the range of $1 million to $25 million. Many brokers step in and buy them for trading purposes. They sometimes slice the MTNs into bonds with much smaller face values, generally in the $1,000 to $5,000 range. These bonds are then sold in packages, with an investor's needs determining the package's total size.

SPECIAL FEATURES AND TIPS

Medium-term notes are issued intermittently when the time is most propitious. Institutional buyers of corporate notes purchase them in blocks of $1 million or more. The small investor will usually not have access to this market except as we've noted.

Corporate Retail Notes

Corporate retail notes are shelf-registered notes that are the equivalent of MTNs for little guys. These notes are posted on the Internet and purportedly sold directly to you as original issue securities through a broker. The issuer adjusts the coupon so you will always buy them at or near par in the initial offering. Whether you purchase them through a "discount" broker or a full-service broker, the price will be the same when they are newly issued, unless the broker tacks on a fee.

Corporate retail notes are also distinguished from MTNs in that you always know when they are going to be issued. In an MTN shelf registration, the issuer can release the bonds at its discretion. Retail note issuers commit to releasing a set number of bonds each week during the life of the registration. The issuer does have discretion to adjust the coupon rate, call features, and maturities in response to market fluctuations. The company might offer the same kind of bonds week to week, or change the type or maturity of the offerings. It might offer monthly pay or semiannual pay bonds, interest-bearing bonds or zero coupons, and callable or noncallable bonds.

General Motors Acceptance Corporation (GMAC), the financial arm of General Motors, was a pioneer in issuing corporate retail notes and used the moniker of SmartNotes to make them particularly attractive. The GMAC prospectus dated June 1, 2001, for example, is a shelf registration for the issuance of $8 billion. They are unsecured and unsubordinated debt. These bonds were rated below investment grade in 2006.

Americans love brand names, and retail note issuers have capitalized on this, with many creating their own logos. Caterpillar Financial Services Corporation has PowerNotes; Tennessee Valley Authority, Electronotes; United Parcel Services, UPS Notes; and Freddie Mac, FreddieNotes. The bond-rating agencies give each of these issuers high ratings although that is no criterion for issuing these notes.

Corporate retail notes are usually offered on a Friday, and the prices are good until the next Thursday although the days of the open order period may vary from one issuer to another.

In 2003, Household Finance Corporation was the first corporate issuer of the inflation-protected corporate bond, modeled after the government's TIPS and sold through brokers. It was launched by Incapital LLC and Bank of America Corporation in the Inflation-Protected InterNotes program.[104] Corporate inflation-protected notes pay out the inflation adjustment monthly rather than having you wait until the bonds mature like the TIPS. This payout eliminates the phantom income problem that TIPS have. However, if inflation is low, you will not have much cash flow because the base rate is between 1 percent and 2 percent. The resale market is negligible, and the coupon payments are subject to state and local taxes, as are all corporate bonds.

ADVANTAGES

Simplicity is the hallmark of corporate retail notes. You do not have to understand bond basics to purchase one. Because they're always issued at par, you do not have to understand the differences between premium, discount, and par bonds. Nor do you have to understand accrued interest. Large, highly rated corporations usually issue them. They are convenient, come in a variety of maturities and payment options, and are sold in small lots.

You do not have to decide quickly if you want to purchase them because the offering remains stable for five business days despite market fluctuations. And, there's always next week because new issue corporate retail notes are frequently available and always sell at the same price at every selling broker.

RISKS

You can lose money on the sale of corporate retail notes. Their price and yield bounce around just like that of any fixed-income investment. They also may have lower yields than institutional corporate notes due to features geared to attract the retail market. This is a buy-and-hold investment because the spreads may be quite wide on the sale although they are negotiable, as with any other bond.

Always ask if the bonds have a senior lien or a subordinated lien on assets before you buy. In the event of a failure to pay in a timely fashion, holders of senior lien bonds can demand accelerated repayment, whereas holders of subordinated lien bonds must wait until an actual bankruptcy filing for assets to be allocated to creditors.

Corporate retail notes provide liquidity for the company when the commercial markets may be closed to them. For company survival, liquidity is always good, although it may not be good for you if they are piling on the debt.

PRICING INFORMATION

Corporate retail notes are priced at or near par, which is usually $1,000. That is also the minimum purchase amount. They have no accrued interest when first issued. Corporate retail notes do not trade well in the used bond market so make sure you can hold them to maturity before you buy. Diversify among industries because if there is a change in the outlook for an industry or a change in the way the rating agencies look at the ratings, you may have many bonds downgraded at one time.

INFORMATION SOURCES

For information on corporate retail notes look at Direct Access Notes (DANs) through LaSalle ABN AMRO Financial Services at www.directnotes.com and Internotes from Incapital LLC at www.internotes.com. There have been new entrants into the field, with Merrill Lynch issuing CoreNotes, as well as many others. You can get a prospectus from any participating broker/dealer listed on either Web site, or you can visit the Web site of the individual issuers.[105]

SPECIAL FEATURES AND TIPS

With the introduction of online information, it is easy to check out corporate retail notes offerings each week. The offering sites can e-mail you information on new offerings as they're formulated.

If you purchase monthly pay bonds, they have a slightly higher yield than equivalent semiannual bonds because you receive cash sooner. Not all issuers of these notes will necessarily be identified by a brand name when the notes are sold so inquire about whether you're purchasing a bond, an MTN, a direct access note, or an internote. Most corporate retail notes contain a survivor's option, or death put, permitting the estate of the beneficial owner the right to put (that is, sell) the note back to the issuer at face value, as described in chapter 19.

Corporate High-Yield Junk Bonds

A junk bond is often equated with a high-yield bond. Although there are bond merchants who prefer that no distinction be made between the terms, the two are not synonymous. A bond may be high yielding without being junk, and a junk bond may not be high yielding.

A ROSE BY ANY OTHER NAME

A high-yield bond is simply one that currently yields more than other available bonds. It does so for any number of reasons, including (1) it's perceived as riskier than other bonds and so must offer a higher return to attract investors; (2) it has an early call date and must offer a higher return to compensate investors for the short amount of time the bond will be held.

Junk bonds are the debris of failing or distressed companies. In 2007, an astounding 71 percent of U.S. industrial corporations tracked by Standard & Poor's fell into this category.[106] Often paying no interest income because their coupon payments have been abandoned, the bonds are frequently the playthings of speculators. Those who buy these bonds are betting that they will eventually be sold for more than their current market price. Thus, unlike all other bonds, junk bonds are bought more for their capital appreciation potential than for their interest payouts. "Thar's gold in that thar junk!" as the saying goes. However, in 2005, James Grant, editor of Grant's Interest Rate Observer, had a different perspective. "Never before have junk-bond investors been paid so little for risking so much," said Grant.[107]

The term junk also covers the bonds of rising stars, new start-up companies turning to the bond markets for additional capital. Although the majority of these start-ups have no (or only the most speculative) risk rating, some are promising enough to be in the double-B category and have what the investment community considers interesting possibilities. These bonds can be called junk or, as some prefer, "businessman's risk" bonds.

Finally, some corporate managements deliberately create junk bonds as a protection against hostile takeovers. They make themselves unattractive by saddling themselves with debt from bond offerings and using the resulting funds to pay out high dividends to stockholders, thus, depleting company assets. Suddenly, highly rated bonds become junk bonds, much to the dismay of the bondholders. Who wants to buy a debt-ridden company? The answer is no one if the acquiring company cannot ascertain the depth of the problem. AIG, the world's largest insurer, was ready to sign on for an $833 million foreign investment in Hyundai Group, but Korean regulators refused to provide protection in the event hidden debt bombs exploded.[108] The deal fell apart.

THE TRACK RECORD

Junk bonds have had a long, if not always honorable, history in American financial markets. The term first appeared sometime in the 1920s and was used to describe bonds that few would touch because they were below investment grade. Such bonds were also known as fallen angels, a term reflecting the fact that the bonds had once been respectable, investment-grade instruments and then had lost that designation when the issuing companies encountered extreme financial difficulties. Both analysts and investors avoided junk bonds not only because of the likelihood of their defaulting but also because the investment policies of many financial institutions excluded the bonds from their approved lists.

Since the 1980s, however, the application of the term junk bond has broadened. It now applies to bonds issued by established companies undergoing restructurings or LBOs. An LBO is the purchase of a controlling interest in a company through the use of borrowed money. Sometimes, a company will buy itself, changing from a publicly owned to a privately owned entity. When that happens, the once publicly traded bonds are no longer traded and become illiquid; holders then have to wait until the bonds mature to obtain the principal. When Seagate Technology Inc., the world's biggest manufacturer of computer disk drives, announced it would go private in 2001, for example, the trading price of its bonds fell by half.

In the 1980s, two developments had a significant effect on this market. First, the concept of modern portfolio theory became widely embedded in financial planning. In very broad terms, this approach holds that diversification smoothes out risks. In practical terms, it made holding junk bonds more attractive because it meant that the portfolio could capture the high yield of the bonds while reducing the risk of holding them through diversification.

Second, there was Michael Milken. He was, as the well-known quote explains, in the right place at the right time: junk bonds were acceptable portfolio components, and many companies were ripe for hostile takeovers and dismemberment. From his bastion at Drexel Burnham Lambert, Milken saw to it that high-yielding bond issues became the hottest items in town. They financed merger and acquisition activities that were used to take over companies and milk them dry or, as others preferred to describe it, to unlock their unrecognized values.

At the time, Milken was at his high-flying prime. Junk bonds were considered good investments not only for their money-making potential but also because their default rate was quite low. They were so good, in fact, that there was a narrowing in the difference between their yields and that of Treasuries. With the scandal surrounding the collapse of Drexel Burnham Lambert and the onset of the recession in 1990 to 1991, investors fled from junk bonds, selling them for whatever price they could get. The spread between junk bonds and Treasuries, which had once been about 200 basis points, ballooned to 1,200 basis points in November 1990.

Modern portfolio theory, however, remained unaffected. Throughout the 1990s, increasing amounts of high-yield bonds were bought for mutual funds. The attractiveness of their yields was such that even staid investment institutions, such as Vanguard and TIAA-CREF, introduced funds consisting solely of these bonds. Not all such funds are equal because many carry a high-yield name but have numerous investment-grade bonds to cushion the possibility of default.

BRAVE BUYERS

Junk bonds attract a unique clientele and require analysis that differs from that used for investment-grade bonds. As well-known investment-grade bonds began to slide (including those of Dole Food Company; Hasbro; and AMR, the corporate parent of American Airlines) and with the default rate calculated by Fitch Ratings at 12.9 percent in 2001, up from 5.1 percent in 2000, ten analysts who formerly focused only on either high-grade or high-yield bonds began to cover both types. In 2001, Moody's Investors Service downgraded the ratings of forty-nine such companies as the country slid into a recession.[109] With telecom companies, investors were lucky to get the quoted price of 14 percent to 20 percent of face value.[110] By 2006, many telecoms had defaulted. The default rate in 2006 was only 1.3 percent, but that is attributed to low interest rates.[111]

Bondholders who hear bad news and do not sell their holdings may inadvertently find themselves owners of high-yield paper. When the American automotive industry was unable to effectively compete in the world markets, holders of General Motors, Ford Motor Company, and Chrysler Corporation saw the ratings on their bonds sink below investment grade. The owners of telecoms suffered a similar fate. If you're concerned about a company, suspecting it may be the next Enron or WorldCom, and the media is not proclaiming its demise, ask your broker to call the credit-derivatives desk to ask about the activity for credit-default swaps for the company about which you're concerned. These swaps are basic insurance for big guys if they fear a default or price devaluation, and the activity trend might give you some information.

ADVANTAGES

For knowledgeable players, junk bonds can be very lucrative. In addition to their high yields, they also offer the potential for substantial capital appreciation if you happen to purchase a "rising star" instead of a "falling angel." Under the banner of diversification, investors purchase foreign stock and now high-yield foreign bonds. They are usually sold under the headings of emerging markets, global bonds, or foreign bonds and are usually purchased through mutual funds.

RISKS

Junk bonds carry the same risks as all other bonds, and then some. Interest rates may rise, depressing the prices at which the bonds are sold. Downturns in the economy affect all businesses, but the weakest companies suffer the most. Liquidity dries up just when you really need it.

The special risk for junk bonds is the heightened possibility of default and further rating downgrades. Credit watch or actual downgrades mean that the value of your bonds declines and their salability diminishes. Default may lead to your losing every dime of your investment. More frequently, you will have some recovery of assets that are paid in cash and securities. A Standard & Poor's study sampling 120 B-rated companies that tapped the debt market in 1996 found that by 2006, 6 percent had paid off their debt, a third defaulted, and a third were acquired.[112] The overall recovery rate on defaulted corporate bonds "remained well above their 36 percent historical average for 2005,"[113] although the huge spike in defaults in 2001 and 2002 may have weeded out many of the more vulnerable companies. If you were to hold only a few junk bonds—something few professionals would recommend—what would you expect your experience to be?

PRICING INFORMATION

Credit issues mainly affect the yield on junk bonds. The price of junk bonds generally does not respond to the movement of interest rates in the same way as better credits do. Treasury yields might change, but yields on junk bonds may not move or will move only fractionally. Traders value junk bonds principally on price discovery: as the prospects of the company improve and the risk of default is reduced, the value of its bonds will increase.

The thin market for these bonds makes them expensive to trade. Junk bonds are difficult to price unless they're actively traded. Their prices are set based on a total return approach, taking into account likely interest payments and return on capital invested. If your bonds are investment grade, and you fear they may be downgraded to junk, it might be advisable to sell before that happens. Trust companies and mutual funds mandated to hold high-grade bonds must sell bonds once they no longer have an investment-grade rating, thus, driving the price of the bonds down.

SPECIAL FEATURES AND TIPS

Some investors make a lot of money trading junk bonds. Generally, these individuals are retired and have time to closely follow bankruptcy proceedings. They make a bet on the reorganization of the company. A lot of bonds trade at the bottom of a bankruptcy when many holders want to get out and are willing to sell at $0.10 to $0.15 on the dollar. If the bet pays off, the return could be $0.40 to $0.50 on the dollar. This type of trading, however, is not for the faint of heart.

Defaulted bonds generally trade flat, that is, without accrued interest. If the bond is heading for default, you might be able to negotiate a sale with a due bill. A due bill is attached if a seller sold securities with interest due that the trustee identifies as belonging to the seller rather than the buyer. If a due bill is attached, the buyer's broker can claim the interest. You get a proportionate share of the next interest payment, if there is one, if you have a due-bill designation. If the buyer's purpose is to become a player in the restructuring by amassing a large block of bonds, he won't care about the interest.

Bond covenants, the written statement regarding the rights of bondholders, are not everyday reading. To give buyers of low-grade debt some hints about what kind of protections might be built into the covenant, in 2006 Moody's Investors Service began analyzing these securities and assigning ratings to them before they're sold. The ratings range from CQ-1, the strongest, to CQ-3, the weakest. One covenant the analysts particularly like is a change-of-control provision, which allows the buyer to give back the bonds at par if the borrower is acquired.[114]

If you want to purchase junk bonds, consider purchasing them through a mutual fund. Don't forget, however, that junk bonds are especially risky when the economy is heading into a recession.

CORPORATE CONVERTIBLE BONDS

Ah, convertibles! Back in our dating days, we loved riding along with the top down and the wind blowing through our hair while we debated whether that big black cloud up ahead really meant rain. If you like that kind of racy feeling, then convertibles are for you. They start off as simple, interest-paying bonds that yield less than the market rate, but they may wind up as dividend-paying stocks.

The fun part comes when you get to convert bonds into equity for a fixed number of common stock shares. For example, your $1,000 face value convertible bond might become ten shares of common stock. Alternatively, your convertible bond might specify a conversion price rather than a number of shares. If the price is $100, then the security can be exchanged for ten shares. The term parity price is used to describe the price at which the shares are convertible. In this example, the parity price is $100. There may be a step-up feature that increases the price of conversion after a specified amount of time.

The majority of convertible issuers are below investment grade. Convertibles represent one of the few remaining funding sources available to companies saddled with large debt loads or with very volatile earnings. Management is reluctant to raise new funds by issuing stock because this would dilute and, thus, lower per-share value. By issuing convertibles, a company can have its cake and eat it, too. Often, a convertible bond carries a stipulation that it can be called if the stock appreciates significantly, a process called forced conversion. This provision gives the company leeway to issue either new convertible bonds or new equity shares based on the higher stock price.

ADVANTAGES

Convertibles offer a combination of good interest income and the potential return of a stock. They feature interest payments, which provide a stream of income, and a maturity date when the principal will be returned. In the event of bankruptcy, convertible bonds have senior status over preferred and common stock. If the stock drops, the bonds will theoretically cushion the fall for the convertible holder, while allowing an upside participation if the stock soars.

RISKS

If a company is increasingly looking like a candidate for bankruptcy, you will find its bonds will not hold their value. And, in the event of bankruptcy or a sinking share price, you will have given up a substantial yield for the benefit of an unattractive conversion feature.

If a company is doing well and the indenture provides that the bonds are callable, you can be sure that a call will happen if the stock price begins to recover. Depending on the price you paid for the bonds, you may suffer a loss and miss an opportunity for a big upside as well.

If you purchase an individual convertible bond and decide: "Now is the time to get out," you might have difficulty finding a buyer. This market is primarily institutional, populated by fund managers and insurance companies. You probably do not have a block of bonds that is attractively sized for them. Who is going to buy ten apples when they're looking for a truckload?

PRICING INFORMATION

Although the face value for corporate convertibles is generally $1,000, the price you pay for such a bond is based on valuation factors that are considered complex even by sophisticated investors. The purchase price is affected not only by call and put options but also by stock splits and dividend payouts that reduce the value of the stock. There may or may not be antidilution provisions in the bond indenture.

SPECIAL FEATURES AND TIPS

Convertibles behave more like a bond if the bond price is above par, which happens if the bond has a high coupon rate or is a zero-coupon bond selling at a premium to its current value. The bonds may be putable (that is, salable back to the issuer), which is good for you, or callable, which is not because it takes away your options. If you want to purchase convertible securities, you may want to consider buying them through a mutual fund, whose management has done all the work in assessing what is and what is not a good valuation.

Some convertibles have features that permit the issuer to decide when to raise the roof by allowing the company to dictate the timing of the bond conversion to stock. Although rating agencies like a debt conversion based on what is best for the company, it's better for the bondholder to be able to decide when and if to convert.

A conversion price is frequently 20 percent to 35 percent above the share price at the time of issue. For that price to be appealing, you must believe that the stock has good upside potential. Investors eagerly purchased technology convertibles in the 1990s in anticipation of rapid stock appreciation. The "tech wreck" in 2000 derailed windfalls from bond conversions and left many with neither income nor a full return of principal.

Price-Checking Corporate Bonds

Corporate bonds are traded in one of two ways: either on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or in the over-the-counter (OTC) market. Almost all bonds were traded in the OTC market until late 2006, when the NYSE launched a new bond-trading system dubbed the NYSE Bonds. This new vehicle will potentially increase the number of issues at the NYSE.

The Web site www.investinginbonds.com through the Trade Reporting and Compliance Engine (or TRACE), gives you access to the latest trade prices for all corporate bonds. If you're using www.investinginbonds.com, go to "Bond Market and Prices" at the top toolbar and choose corporate bonds. Your first choice is to view the most active bonds traded. Seeing the bonds that are most actively traded might tell you what bonds to stay away from, or at least raise the question as to why they are most actively traded. The site also offers pertinent headline news and commentary analysis you might find interesting. This site lists the ratings as S for Standard & Poor's, M for Moody's Investors Service, and F for Fitch Ratings. It also lists calls and gives the yield-to-worst or yield-to-maturity high and low for the day (see Figure 11.1).

Information from www.investinginbonds.com

Figure 11.1. Information from www.investinginbonds.com

Source: www.investinginbonds.com. Courtesy of SIFMA.

If you're constructing a portfolio of corporate bonds, www.nasdbondinfo.com is the place to look. It uses the same TRACE engine as www.investinginbonds.com. It's best if you have a CUSIP number, the bond's fingerprint. We've tried using bond symbols, but the database was unresponsive. If you type in the company name instead, you might limit the number of responses by choosing a limited date range, coupon rate, or rating.

Once your bond shows up, click on the "Time and Sales" tab and you can choose information for the day or for a specific date range. By clicking on the "Descriptive Data" tab, you'll see a full description of your bonds. This site allows you to build a portfolio to track specific bonds. Such tracking is particularly helpful if you're swimming with the sharks in the high-yield markets. You can access corporate bond indexes for investment-grade and high-yield bonds by clicking on the "Time and Sales" tab at the top of the page as well as lists of most actively traded bonds. The tab "Membership Details" specifies which bonds are included in the index, and some trade information for each of those bonds.

Key Questions to Ask When You're Buying Corporate Bonds

  • What are the CUSIP and trading symbol of these bonds?

  • What is the rating for these bonds?

  • How do these bonds compare to similarly rated bonds? If there's a difference, what accounts for it?

  • What is the rating outlook for these bonds? Stable, negative, or positive?

  • How many basis points over the equivalent Treasury bonds is this offering?

  • How does this bond compare to similarly rated bonds in other market sectors?

  • What are the fixed and extraordinary calls on this bond?

  • When do these bonds pay interest?

  • Is this bond listed on any exchange?

Chapter Notes

[95]

[96]

[97]

[98]

[99]

[100]

[101]

[102]

[103]

[104]

[105]

[106]

[107]

[108]

[109]

[110]

[111]

[112]

[113]

[114]



[95] Jeff Somer, "And Then There Were 9: A Shrinking Credit Club," New York Times, July 29, 2001, C1.

[96] Deborah Solomon, "Under Rising Pressure AT&T's CEO Tries to Hold On to an Icon," Wall Street Journal, November 16, 2001, A6 (A1).

[97] Nouriel Roubini, "Sovereign Defaults on the Rise?" Nouriel Roubini's Blog. Retrieved from http://RGEmonitor.com/blog/rubini/91152.

[98] Mary Anastasia O'Grady, "Argentina's Lessons for Global Creditors," Wall Street Journal, March 4, 2005, A15.

[99] Christopher B. Steward, "International Bond Markets and Instruments," in The Handbook of Fixed Income Securities, ed. Frank J. Fabozzi (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2000), 369.

[100] Frank J. Fabozzi, Richard S. Wilson, and Richard Todd, "Corporate Bonds," The Handbook of Fixed Income Securities, ed. Frank J. Fabozzi (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2000), 275.

[101] "Corporate Bonds: Debt Delirium," The Economist, May 20, 2000, 90.

[102] Gregory Zuckerman, "AT&T Sells $10.09 Billion of Corporate Bonds as Investors Line Up, Lured by Enticing Yields," Wall Street Journal, November 16, 2001, C13.

[103] Don Kirk, "Concerns Over Hidden Debt Led to End of Hyundai Deal," New York Times, January 19, 2001, C2.

[104] "Incapital LLC Launches New Corporate Bond Offering to Protect Individual Investors from Inflation," Yahoo! Finance, September 22, 2003.

[105] For information about all corporate bonds, you can visit the SEC Web site at www.sec.gov/edgar/quickedgar.htm. Alternatively, you can call (800) SEC-0330 to receive documents or visit public reference rooms at SEC offices in Washington, DC; Chicago; and New York.

[106] Serena Ng, "Junk Turns Golden, but May Be Laced with Tinsel," Wall Street Journal, January 4, 2007, C1.

[107] Floyd Norris, "Best of All Possible Worlds? Bond Buyers Crave Yield but Show No Fear," New York Times, January 21, 2005, BU 5.

[108] Abby Schultz, "Some Municipal Bonds Leave a Corporate Taste," New York Times, February 10, 2002, BU 9.

[109] Phyllis Berman, "In Their Debt," Forbes, November 12, 2001, 138.

[110] Fabozzi, Wilson, and Todd, 281.

[111] Ng, C2.

[112] Ibid., quotes a study by Nicholas Riccio, a Standard & Poor's credit analyst and author of the report, The Rise of B-Rated Companies and their Staying Power as an Asset Class.

[113] Moody's Investors Service, "Default and Recovery Rates of Corporate Bond Issuers, 1920–2005." Released January 2006, Revised March 2006, 1.

[114] Marine Cole, "Moody's to Expand Debt Evaluation," Wall Street Journal, September 13, 2006, C5.

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