Chapter 4
IN THIS CHAPTER
Understanding what information companies must provide to investors
Getting a grasp on some basic accounting and math for fundamental analysis
Discovering how to access fundamental data right when they are released by companies
Getting familiar with databases that allow you to access financial information
By now, your financial calculator or spreadsheet is probably fired up and ready to start crunching down fundamental data. There’s just one little problem: You need to get the data first.
Here’s the good news. Getting your hands on financial data has never been easier, so there’s never been a better time to be a fundamental analyst. You can get data faster, at less cost, and with less technical expertise than ever before. The ability to obtain financial data from companies — and for free — allows fundamental analysts to closely monitor how a company is doing.
This chapter will show you what types of fundamental data companies provide to investors, what form they come in, and when you can expect to get them. You’ll also get a quick refresher on accounting basics you’ll need in order to understand what’s contained in the reports when they land. Finally, this chapter will show you how to obtain financial data, including a detailed look at the treasure trove of fundamental data provided by the nation’s top financial cop, the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC.
Companies you can invest in don’t get to decide whether or not to give you their financial information. It’s not a choice — it’s an obligation. Trust me, that’s a good thing. Just imagine how haphazard it would be if companies could choose what and when they’d tell their investors how they’re doing. What if companies just weren’t in the mood to report their revenue or earnings in a quarter? If a retailer had a bad holiday selling season, for instance, it could tell investors, “Sorry, we’re not going to tell you how we did.” Such selective disclosure would be the corporate version of letting your kids only bring report cards home if they got all A’s.
In reality, publicly traded companies agree to be somewhat transparent. Transparency is a popular buzzword in business, and it’s a noble goal. To be transparent, companies must adhere to strict rules about what financial information they disclose, and must even meet strict deadlines in getting fundamental data to investors. This goes for nearly all publicly traded companies, or those that sell ownership stakes of themselves to the general public. Similarly, when companies borrow money from the public, they too, must disclose their financial results to the public.
Just about any company you can invest in must follow financial reporting rules. That includes companies that are publicly traded, as explained earlier. But even some private companies, which haven’t sold stock, must provide some financial information if they have $10 million or more in assets and have 500 or more owners.
Most major stock market exchanges, including the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ, require their listed companies to provide quarterly and annual financial reports to investors. That includes foreign companies with shares of stock that trade on either exchange.
Sports fans wait all year for the beginning of football, basketball, or baseball season. Children can’t help but anticipate the holiday season. But it’s earnings season that fundamental analysts look forward to.
Four times a year, shortly after the end of the quarter, companies will begin to report their financial results to investors. Because most companies are on a calendar year, the results generally start trickling out two weeks after the quarter ends. Four times a year, usually in January, April, July, and October, thousands of companies report their financial results en masse. These times of year are called earnings season.
You don’t have to be a journalist to appreciate the earnings press release. Contrary to its name, the earnings press release is for all investors, not just the media. When it’s time for a company to tell the world how it did after the quarter ends, the first move is to issue an earnings press release. The press release is usually, but not always, accompanied by a conference call for investors and analysts. During the call, the management team will go over the quarter or year, describe the information in the earnings press release, and answer questions from the analysts who cover the company’s stock for research firms.
When companies issue an earnings press release, they will often notify the regulators by filing a form 8-K. The 8-K filing is the official way to signal to the world that the company has released critical information.
Regulators do not directly stipulate what companies must say in earnings press releases. But generally, earnings press releases contain several key parts:
Summary of the results: Most earnings press releases will give the numbers investors want most right at the top, maybe even in the headline. That includes the revenue and earnings the company generated during the quarter and how much it grew (or shrunk) from the same quarter last year.
Be leery when a company brags about a quarter being a “record” quarter. Even if a company’s revenue rose to a record amount, its costs may have also run out of control and eaten into its earnings.
Following the earnings press release, the next document to trickle out from the company is the 10-Q. The 10-Q is the official financial report submitted by a company to summarize its performance during the quarter.
Most companies have 40 days from the end of each fiscal quarter to produce and provide the 10-Q to investors. Generally, companies file the 10-Q a week or two after they provide the earnings press release. You can see the deadlines for the key financial documents in Table 4-1.
TABLE 4-1 Filing Deadlines for Key Documents
Type of Company | 10-K Deadline | 10-Q Deadline |
---|---|---|
Most large firms | 75 days after quarter | 40 days |
Small firms (less than $75 million in market value traded) | 90 days | 45 days |
Source: Adapted from Securities and Exchange Commission
The 10-Q must be filed with the chief regulator of the financial markets, the SEC. As a result, companies are careful to include the following key components:
Financial statements: Companies don’t waste any time getting straight to the point with the 10-Q. The key financial statements are presented right at the top, while they’re usually at the bottom of earnings press releases.
Don’t make the mistake of assuming because you read the earnings press release, you don’t need to bother with the 10-Q. The 10-Q usually goes into greater detail than the press release, not because companies feel like spilling the beans, but because these documents are filed with regulators. For instance, a vast majority of companies don’t include a statement of cash flows in the earnings press release. The statement of cash flows, however, must be included in the 10-Q. As you’ll discover in Chapter 7, the statement of cash flows is an extremely important document used in financial analysis.
Footnotes: Just as some books just don’t fit correctly in your bookshelf, some financial information doesn’t slip nicely into the financial statements. Unusual or noteworthy financial events might require more description than will fit into the financial statements, and those are available in the footnotes in the 10-Q.
Never skip the footnotes. Companies will often throw items in the footnotes, hoping you’ll miss them as an investor. Remember Enron, the energy company that failed in 2001, still considered one of the biggest corporate frauds in U.S. history? The company stuffed much of the information about its cryptic partnerships in the footnotes.
Many investors don’t realize a company’s 10-Q is not officially audited by a third-party accounting firm. That doesn’t mean you can’t necessarily trust the numbers; just know a little more skepticism isn’t a bad idea.
If you’ve ever run a 10-K race, you know that it can be pretty grueling if you haven’t trained properly. The same goes for companies looking to report their annual financial performance in the form called the 10-K. This document is a monster, and producing it is one of the biggest financial chores a company faces. It’s also the most comprehensive piece of fundamental data you’ll get as an investor. Most companies are required to release their 10-K filings within 75 days from the end of their fiscal year. Some smaller companies, though, have 90 days to comply with the rules.
The 10-K is kind of like a company’s annual review. The level of detail of the 10-K is exhaustive, and unless you know what you’re looking for, it’s easy to get lost in the hundreds of pages of tables and text.
That’s why fundamental analysts rarely curl up with a 10-K and read it from start to finish like a novel. They just know how to skip around in a 10-K and look for these key elements:
If you visit a CEO’s office, you might see the company’s annual report sitting on the coffee table. Some companies still print annual reports. The annual report is essentially the 10-K, but formatted like a magazine. There might be lovely photos of smiling executives, employees, and customers. Even the financial statements are given a facelift, usually printed on luxurious paper using an elegant font or in a fancy website. The annual report is usually released several months after the 10-K is published, often landing around the time companies have their shareholders’ meetings. But although 10-K filings are required, annual reports are optional, so every year, fewer companies are producing them, instead pointing investors to their 10-K filings.
The annual report is the glossy and slick version of the 10-K. Companies produce the annual report mainly to hand out to employees and customers while courting them.
The annual report is the management team’s opportunity to put its spin on how the year went. Most annual reports, for instance, begin with a letter to shareholders that is generally very hopeful, even after a dismal year.
If you’re looking for the most salacious statement released by companies, that must be the proxy statement. The proxy statement is a document the SEC requires companies to distribute to shareholders ahead of the annual shareholder meeting. It’s kind of like the absentee ballot you might get prior to a presidential election.
Shareholder meetings happen every year as companies gather shareholders, usually in the spring, to go over their initiatives and goals. The proxy is sometimes known by its regulatory name, 14A, named after the portion of the SEC rules that stipulate what it must contain.
The proxy statement is fascinating reading because it lays out all the most sensitive information most companies have to offer, including:
Even if you hated math in high school and avoided accounting in college, you can still put fundamental analysis to use. The more you dig into the financials of companies and see how math and accounting can help you, who knows, maybe you’ll get curious to learn more. And if that’s the case, you might look into Business Math For Dummies (Wiley, 2008) or Accounting For Dummies, 7th Edition (Wiley, 2022).
But here, in this section, I give you the basics of what you need to know about the concept of accounting. You’ll see that accounting is really just a way to condense millions of individual business transactions down to a form that makes it possible for you to analyze.
When you’re studying financial statements, just remember there are three primary functions of business you’re trying to analyze: operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
A company’s operations get the most attention. Typically, when you hear a company is or is not “doing well,” that is a reference to the firm’s operating activities.
Simply stated, a company’s operations are the process of converting raw materials into products that are, hopefully, sold to customers for a profit. Many elements go into operations, including effective new product development, which generates revenue, in addition to cost control, marketing, and manufacturing. The income statement, explored more in Chapter 5, lets you see how well a company is operating.
Unless they’ve found a goose that lays platinum eggs, all companies, at some point, must put money back into their business. Equipment used to make products wears out and needs to be replaced. Companies outgrow their headquarters and must acquire a bigger building. It’s common for companies to overhaul their computer systems to keep up with tracking their business.
When companies spend money to make more money, they’re investing in their future. And while investing is a necessary part of doing business, it can also be done poorly. Companies might spend too much for equipment they didn’t need. Or worse, they might overexpand, resulting in a glut of their product, which hurts their profits. You can read more about profit margins in Chapter 5. There are two key things for a fundamental analyst to monitor when it comes to investment:
So, you can understand how a company operates and how much it’s investing in itself. But who’s going to pay for all this stuff? That’s the final and critical element that accounting helps you with.
Generally speaking, companies can finance, or fund their operations, in two ways. They can either rustle up investors, or they can borrow money. Investors provide money, called equity capital, to companies in exchange for a piece of the company. If all goes well, the company operates extremely well, profits soar, and investors are very happy because their share of the company will be worth more. When you buy stock in a company, you are an investor.
Selling stock is a great way for companies to raise money with no strings attached. The company sells the stock and the investors hand over cash. But selling stock can be costly in the long run, especially if the company does well. When the profits come pouring in — the original owners must share the profits with the shareholders.
To avoid having to share ownership of the company, some companies might look to borrow money instead. Companies may borrow money from a local bank or sell IOUs, called bonds, to the public. Investors who lend money to a company simply want to get their money back, plus an amount of interest agreed upon ahead of time. If the company winds up doing fabulously well, the lenders only get the pre-agreed upon interest payments and not a penny more. The drawback, though, is that borrowers demand market interest rates and companies must pay on time or the company could go into default. Default is when a company can no longer afford to pay the interest on its debt and can lead to a company’s filing for bankruptcy protection or even liquidating, or selling off all its assets.
If a company is unable to keep paying interest to its lenders, the company goes into default. Typically, at that point, the bondholders take control of the company. In the worst-case scenario, when a company cannot be saved, bondholders get repaid first. So, let’s say a company defaulted and had a giant garage sale to sell its desks and chairs. The money would be used to pay back debt holders before stock investors see a penny. That means, as stock investors, you’re accepting the possibility that you can lose your entire investment.
If you’ve noticed so far, I’ve tried to spare you from much ugly math in the first couple of pages. It’s time to start crunching some numbers.
There’s one math skill that you’ll encounter so frequently in fundamental analysis, you might as well tackle it now. That’s the concept of percentage change. Because fundamental analysis is infatuated with looking at increases and decreases in business factors, such as sales and revenues, the percentage change is a way to put gains and declines into context. For instance, if I told you that the price of a sweater rose $40 this year, that doesn’t tell you much. But if I told you the price was $60 before, then you know that the price jumped 67 percent to $100.
You calculate a percentage change this way:
((New number – old number) ÷ old number) × 100
Going back to the sweater example, the new price is $100 and the old price was $60, so:
((100 – 60) ÷ 40) × 100 = 100 percent
For those of you who don’t think parentheses and math belong together, here’s a mantra to help you remember it: “New minus old divided by old.”
If you like the mantra better, follow these steps:
You might have the fastest car in the neighborhood, but if you don’t have any gas, you’re not going to get far. So goes fundamental analysis. You might build the fanciest financial spreadsheet, but it’s not going to do you any good if you don’t have the raw financial numbers to put in it.
Until the dawn of the Internet, getting fundamental data could be a real hassle. You would have to call or write a company and ask it to mail — yes, mail — its 10-K, 10-Q and annual report to you.
You can spend thousands of dollars for access to websites that provide fundamental data. But really, to get started, you don’t have to spend a dime.
The SEC’s website at www.sec.gov
is a treasure trove for fundamental analysis. You’ll find all the financial forms discussed earlier in this chapter, and then some. All the fundamental data are stored in the SEC’s Electronic Data Gathering, Analysis and Retrieval, or EDGAR, database. You can use EDGAR to look up any public company’s filings and even download the financial statements to your computer so you can do further analysis.
Now that you know how powerful EDGAR is, it’s time to dive in and discover how to get what you need from it. For the following example, I’ll show you how to get the 10-Q, 10-K and proxy statement for General Electric. Just follow these steps:
www.sec.gov
.Enter the name of the company in the Company name blank.
It’s the large blank in the page as shown in Figure 4-1. Type in general electric for this example. If you know the company’s symbol, GE in our example, you can enter that in the blank, too.
Choose the company name.
Because General Electric has separate business units, you may see companies like General Electric Capital Assurance Co. But you want the main company, so click where it says General Electric Co.
Click the form you want.
If you want GE’s 10-Q, scroll down until you see the form 10-Q (Quarterly Report) listed and click the link. If you want the 10-K, choose 10-K (Annual Report), and the proxy is marked as DEF 14-A (Proxy Materials). You’ll be taken to a page outlining everything contained in that filing.
Click the Open Document link under the document title page.
Pressing the Open document button will put the filing you’re looking for on your screen in a form you can read right away. The Open filing button, on the other hand, lets you see all the individual elements in the company’s entire filing and view the parts you’re interested in.
Sometimes reading a company’s financial statements using the SEC’s EDGAR database isn’t enough. If you want to perform the analysis you’ll find out about in the next part of this book, you’ll likely need to download the data into a spreadsheet.
Luckily, there’s a handy trick using Microsoft Excel all fundamental analysts should know about. While it’s possible to cut-and-paste the financial data from a company filing into a spreadsheet, the results can be a disorganized mess. Instead, use an Excel function that’s built to order. Here’s how to do it in Office 365 (older versions may work slightly differently):
Open the SEC document.
Find the filing you’re interested in downloading using the steps in the preceding section. Copy the web address from the address bar in your browser by highlighting the address and holding the Control button and the C key.
Instruct Excel to find the filing.
Choose Excel’s Data menu on the ribbon and click the Get Data option on the left-hand side of the screen. You’ll see another menu pop up. Choose From Other Sources and then From Web. A new window, From Web, will pop up.
Enter the Web address of the filing into the From Web window.
Paste the filing’s address by holding down the Control button and choose the V key, in the address bar.
Import the filing.
Click the OK button at the bottom of the From Web page in Excel.
Select the relevant financial data.
Select Document on the left side of the Navigator pane. And then select the Web View tab on the right side. Scroll down in the window in Excel until you see the financial data highlighted in green that you would like to download. Click the green area and click the Load button.
After you follow these steps, the financial information you want, such as the company’s income statement or balance sheet, will automatically appear in a spreadsheet. This will be a handy skill that can help you with the analysis you’d do later in the book.
Dividends are periodic cash payments some companies make to their shareholders. The dividends are paid out of the company’s cash as a way of returning profits to the shareholders. Dividends are a very important piece of your total return on an investment.
Dividends are also important ways to help value a company, as you will discover in Chapter 8. Companies that pay dividends generally pay them quarterly.
The best way to look up a dividend history is on the company’s website. Nearly all companies provide an area of their websites where dividend payment histories can be looked up. The Bing search engine can save you a step finding this corner of companies’ websites. From Bing.com enter the name of the company and “dividend history.” Many times, you’ll be given a link that takes you directly to the company’s website that lists all the dividends paid.
You can also navigate to the dividend history by finding the investor relations section of a company’s website. Going back to the GE example, go to www.ge.com
and hover over the “investor” link at the top of the page. Next, click the Stock link on the left-hand side. Scroll down and you’ll find GE’s Dividend History, which lists GE’s dividend payments going back to 1941.
Money for nothing is hard to find on Wall Street. But sometimes investors get additional shares — well, sort of. When a company’s stock price rises dramatically and begins to approach $50 a share or more, the executives might decide to split the shares. In a stock split, the company cuts its share price, say in half, by cutting the shares into multiple shares. For instance, let’s say you own 100 shares in a stock trading for $60 a share. If the company has a 2-for-1 split, you will suddenly have 200 shares, but they’ll be worth $30 apiece. Management feels some investors are more likely to buy stock in a company for $30 a share than $60.
The theory goes that some naïve investors, who read too much into a stock’s per-share price, might assume a stock trading for $50 or more is too expensive.
Understanding when stock splits occur is important for fundamental analysis, though, Because it can affect the number of shares outstanding, which is described in Chapter 3. You’ll need an accurate count of shares outstanding to do some of the fundamental analysis later in the book.
Fortunately, many companies provide stock-split histories on their websites. But not all do — and you might want to look up stock splits at multiple companies without navigating to several investor relations websites. That’s where other online tools can help you find when splits happened and how many shares were affected.
Yahoo! Finance helps you look up if, and when, a company split its shares. Here’s how:
http://finance.yahoo.com
.Enter the name of the company or symbol in the Quote Lookup blank and click the name of the company.
For GE, for instance, enter GE and click the General Electric link.
Click the Chart heading on the left side of the screen.
This will take you to Yahoo! Finance’s advanced charting feature.
Choose the timeframe.
If you want to see all the company’s splits in its history, choose Max. You can tweak the timeframe of the chart by changing the Date Range option.
Observe the chart.
If the stock has been split, you’ll see a small black square with the letter S in the center on the bottom of the stock chart. For instance, the chart tells you that GE last split its stock, by 1 for 8, on August 2, 2021. Notice it was a 1 for 8 split, not 8 for 1. It makes a huge difference. In GE’s case, it was a reverse stock split. Instead of increasing the number of shares and cutting the stock price, GE did the opposite: It cut the number of shares by nearly 90 percent, and then increased the stock price by eight times. Investors wound up with fewer shares that were worth more. But the value of their total stake in the company stayed the same from before the reverse split. A reverse stock split is something companies do when the stock price has been falling a long time and management wants to make the stock look less beat up. The fact the once-mighty GE did a reverse split is kind of sad actually.