Chapter 11
Monetary Policy

  1. The goals and objectives of monetary policy in the conventional and Islamic system.
  2. The instruments, channels, and impact of monetary policy in the conventional and the Islamic systems.
  3. The different views regarding the effectiveness and track record of discretionary monetary policy.
  4. The monetary policy role of commercial banks in the two systems.
  5. Lags in monetary policy.
  6. The complementary role of monetary policy to fiscal policy.
  7. The short-run and long-run trade-offs between inflation and employment.
  8. The role and monetary instruments of central banks in the conventional and the Islamic systems.
  9. The non-interest-bearing securities of monetary policy in the Islamic system.
  10. The potency and directness of monetary policy in the Islamic system.

We have seen that economies rarely operate at full employment and at capacity. Instead, economies go through periods of high unemployment and excess capacity (idle factories, machinery, and equipment) followed by periods of low unemployment and little or no excess capacity. Thus, the government tries to nudge the economy upward when there is too much excess capacity and downward when there is little or no excess capacity with rapidly rising prices. The government has two broad sets of policies—fiscal and monetary—at its disposal. In Chapter 10, we considered fiscal policy; in this chapter, we look into monetary policy.

The most important objective of monetary policy is to influence the portfolio decisions of the private sector (consumers and producers). Monetary policy manipulates the incentive structure of the private sector in terms of credit availability to induce portfolio adjustment in the demand of this sector. Monetary policy is normally implemented by a country's central bank. In recent years, in most Western countries, the central bank is structured as an independent institution in order to be relatively free of political pressures so that it can focus on adopting the monetary policy (discretionary or rule based) that best suits the national interest as opposed to the career ambitions of politicians and the selfish interests of political parties. Monetary policy essentially boils down to controlling the quantity of money in circulation and also interest rates in order to affect private sector demand and promote economic prosperity with low inflation. The mandate for monetary policy varies from country to country. In some countries, the mandate of the monetary authority is simply to adopt a target (normally a narrow range) rate of inflation and to conduct its monetary policy in order to achieve the target or targeted range of inflation. In other countries, the central bank's mandate is to strive for full employment with moderate inflation. Monetary policy is expansionary when the monetary authority is increasing the money supply and lowering interest rates, and contractionary when it is doing the opposite. More money in the economy and lower interest rates encourage individuals to borrow more and spend more and, most important, businesses to borrow and invest more. This adds to aggregate demand, as we saw in Chapter 10, and nudges national output higher with a multiplier effect as with fiscal policy.

Role of Monetary Policy

In the conventional economic system, there are essentially three forms of money: coins, bills, and bank deposits. In such a system, the central bank can pump money (bills and coins) into the economy through banks; banks in turn can lend the money to investors (and consumers); and when and if banks increase their lending, investment increases, lifting national output. But we need to explain in more detail the structure of the banking system in such an economy, why bank deposits are considered money, and in turn how banks create money.

When a person deposits $100 in a bank checking account, the bank issues that person checks; he or she can in turn write checks up to $100 and use them just as if he or she had cash. But the bank does not stand still; it lends as much of the $100 that person deposited to others and charges the borrowers interest; central banks limit the percentage of money deposits that banks can lend by requiring them to hold a proportion of the $100 as reserves (the reserve requirement). If the reserve requirement is, say, 10%, the bank can lend out $90; the borrower takes the $90 and deposits it in a bank and can write checks on it. The bank now lends $81 (90% of $90) to another borrower; and so the process continues. Of course, there may be some leakage from the system we have described—borrowers not depositing all the money they borrow and/or the bank not lending out all the cash that is deposited. But the story should be clear: The original $100 injected into the money supply does not stay as $100, but banks use it to create more money in the form of demand deposits; in fact, if the reserve requirement is 10% and if there is no leakage, $100 creates $1,000 ($100 × 1/1 – 0.9) in demand or bank deposits. Thus such a banking system, referred to as the fractional reserve system, creates money. In other words, the $100 is leveraged into $1,000 of demand deposits (through interest-based loans).

The central bank in the conventional system uses a number of tools to affect the money supply and interest rates. The primary instrument of a central bank's monetary policy is open market operations, which is buying and selling mainly government Treasury bills, corporate bonds, other securities, and foreign currencies. Secondary instruments are lending through the discount window (lender of last resort), the changing reserve requirement of banks, moral suasion, and changing market expectations through press conferences and other such means. Through open market operations, the central bank changes the money supply (increasing the supply by buying securities for cash and decreasing it by selling securities on the open market) by selling and buying securities in the market in order to achieve a short-term interest rate target, such as for the federal funds rate, the rate for overnight interbank lending. The central bank as a lender of last resort affects bank lending and interest rates by changing its discount rate, the interest rate at which it lends to member banks when they are temporarily caught short of funds. The money supply can be increased or reduced by reducing or increasing the reserve requirement of banks. Banks can be also “persuaded” to act in ways that the central bank wants, and money markets and expectations can be affected by targeted speeches and interviews. Central banks use announcements especially to affect expectations about inflation (and interest rates) as high inflationary expectations can become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

The upshot of monetary policy in the conventional system is summarized in Figure 11.1. The central bank can raise the money supply from point A to point B, lowering interest rates; this increases investment from C to D; and the higher level of investment raises gross national product (GNP) from E to F. We should note that the impact of monetary expansion is also reflected in what is called the quantity theory of money:

equation

where

  1. M = Money supply
  2. V = Velocity circulation of money or income velocity
  3. P = Average price level
  4. Q = Real GNP

V, the velocity of circulation of money, is the rate at which the money stock is turning over per year to enable income transactions. The crude version of this theory is that V is a constant so that a doubling of M leads to a doubling of P. But in real life V is not a constant. The more sophisticated view of this relationship is that an increase in M results in an increase in PQ, which is the dollar or money (nominal) GNP. Thus in Figure 11.1, the velocity, V, is a little lower from E to F, but not enough to keep the new MV and GNP from being higher.

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Figure 11.1 Monetary Policy and National Income Determination

An important consideration in the implementation of both monetary and fiscal policy has been the trade-off between unemployment and inflation. In 1958, William Phillips plotted historical data on wage inflation against unemployment and found what appeared to be a trade-off: If the central bank wants to attain full employment, it may have to put up with more inflation, indicating a trade-off between unemployment and inflation. This relationship came to be known as the Phillips curve. (See Figure 11.2.) Economists generally accepted the relationship until the 1970s when the United States experienced stagflation (unemployment coupled with high inflation) and Milton Friedman and others questioned the validity of the trade-off portrayed in the Phillips curve. They argued that the Phillips curve was only a short-run relationship; in time, inflation would be taken into account by labor, and labor contracts would incorporate anticipated inflation. Thus, with monetary expansion, unemployment would go back to its original level but with higher inflation. The implication is that there are a series of short-run Phillips curves and, in the long run, there is no trade-off between unemployment and inflation. In other words, the long-run Phillips curve is vertical, as shown in Figure 11.2. In the long run, only a single rate of unemployment, the nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU), is consistent with a stable rate of inflation that can be attained. With unemployment rates below NAIRU, inflation accelerates. With unemployment above NAIRU, inflation decelerates. With the unemployment rate equal to NAIRU, inflation is stable. In other words, monetary policy affects prices but not real values like output and unemployment. The practical implication is that central banks should not try to reduce unemployment below its natural rate; if they do so for any length of time, inflationary expectations will rise and will be incorporated into wage demands, resulting in higher inflation.

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Figure 11.2 Phillips Curve

As we have seen, monetary policy is a process undertaken by the monetary authority to control the money supply and the cost of money to achieve the stability of the economy. Central banks serve as lenders of last resort to the banking sector when and if financial institutions or the financial system is under threat. In undertaking an expansionary monetary policy, the central bank seeks to expand the monetary base—consisting of money in circulation and the banking sector reserve with the central bank—by injecting liquidity in the economy. This can be done by reducing the reserve requirements of the banking sector or through open market operations (as described earlier): either through large purchases of financial instruments such as government bonds or direct lending to the banking system with low discount rates, thereby increasing the amount of cash in the system. This mechanism works through the banking sector as the transmission agent for the expansionary monetary policy. A reduction in the discount rate or reserve requirement signals a green light for the banking sector to expand balance sheets and increase lending, which in turn aim at increased spending by consumers.

Monetary policy must meet certain challenges, notably, dealing with the flexibility of the financial system to react and ensuring the timing and credibility of announcements to affect market expectations. The latter depends on the success of the previously implemented monetary policies, as reputation is an important element in the implementation of a successful monetary policy. The success of this policy also depends on the effectiveness of the transmission mechanism and the independence of the central bank from the rest of the government, especially independence from personal and party political agendas. The objectives of the government as policy makers and the private banking sector may not converge. When the banking sector does not transmit the increased liquidity to the rest of the private sector and consumers, but instead uses the liquidity to enhance its own bottom line, then the transmission mechanism has failed. In other words, conventional monetary policy is indirect in that it relies on the banking sector to support and implement the wishes of the central bank. Moreover, within the context of a fractional reserve banking system, the role of the central bank in the course of implementing its monetary policy makes the current conventional financial system unstable and vulnerable to financial turmoil through the expansion of credit out of thin air, which in the end results in excessive leveraging and a debt crisis. Interest rates set by the central bank create a wedge between the money interest rate and the natural rate of interest. Monetary injection allows money capital to multiply independently of real or physical output. Creation of credits not backed by the real economy diverts real savings from productive activities to nonproductive ones that in turn weaken the process of real wealth expansion.

The challenge in an Islamic framework is to design instruments that satisfy the requirements of an effective monetary policy while meeting the rule of exchange-based transactions without resorting to the interest rate mechanism. The solution is to devise financial instruments that rely on the risk-sharing features of equity finance, as discussed in Chapters 8 and 9. Where monetary policy in a conventional economy uses interest rates to indirectly regulate the money supply, in an Islamic economy money supply is directly altered through asset market activities. The incentive structure intended by monetary authorities to induce portfolio adjustment may be distorted if signals are not transmitted to the private sector by the banking sector. For example, the excess reserves arising from a lowering of the reserve requirements may be used by the banking sector to buy government bonds instead of lending to the private sector to increase consumption and investment. As a result, the effect of the monetary policy may not be fully achieved. The use of the interest rate as a tool of monetary policy creates incentives for financial decoupling. Risk-sharing instruments can avoid this problem. Such instruments, issued by the government to finance its operations and used by the monetary authority to affect portfolio adjustment by the private sector, can achieve the objectives of monetary policy while promoting greater resilience of the economy to shocks.

Monetary Policy in an Islamic Economy

In an Islamic economy, the conventional tools normally available in a conventional modern economy are at the disposal of the monetary authorities with the exception of the discount rate and other policy tools that involve an interest rate (buying and selling of interest-bearing bonds). All other tools, namely open market operations (where equity shares rather than bonds are traded) and credit policies, can be as effective in an Islamic system as they are in the conventional Western system. The authorities in an Islamic system can utilize reserve requirements and profit-sharing ratios to achieve changes in the stocks of money and credit. Moreover, as we shall see, monetary policy could be considered to operate through a more direct channel in the Islamic financial system.

The principal goal of monetary policy is to ensure macroeconomic stability, characterized in the main by price-level stability and a viable balance of payments position. The establishment of a stable macroeconomic environment is a prerequisite for increased savings, investment, and foreign capital inflows—all of which are central to the growth process. Basically, without macroeconomic stability, economic growth can falter and not be sustained. Furthermore, without broad-based economic growth, the basic structural and social transformations that make up the process of Islamic development will not occur, and the other objectives of Islamic society, such as a more equitable distribution of resources and income, providing useful employment, improving living standards and the quality of life, and the alleviation of poverty, are unlikely to be met.

In Figure 11.3, we depict the transmission of monetary and fiscal policy in the Islamic financial and economic system. The central bank, by buying and selling risk-sharing securities, directly affects the financial portfolio of the private sector—households and firms—and indirectly affects the holdings of banks and conditions in capital markets that in turn affect real economic activity. The decisions of households and firms impact the real rate of return in the economy, which again affects economic activity, while financial signals to capital markets through central bank policies affect the availability of real resources for investment.

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Figure 11.3 Monetary Policy in Islamic Finance

As discussed earlier, the Islamic banking system or financial intermediation is by design a 100% reserve banking system. Banks cannot create money as in the fractional banking system. Moreover, in the Islamic system, there are no interest-bearing debt instruments. Thus, a different set of instruments must be used to affect monetary policy. Monetary policy in the Islamic system has broader objectives than monetary policy in the conventional system. Yes, although nudging the economy to full employment with low inflation is important, Islamic principles expect more. They expect that monetary policy should also support preservation of the purchasing power of money, poverty eradication, a tolerable gap between the rich and the poor, and an adequate social safety net. As we have said throughout this book, the rights of individuals in every generation must be preserved, and all under a general umbrella of social justice where everyone has the bare necessities of life—food, shelter, and healthcare. While the focus in this chapter is on the acceptable instruments (in place of interest-bearing debt instruments) that can be used in open market operations, these broader objectives must be supported.

When revenue is insufficient to cover a budget deficit, the government must borrow. Due to the prohibition of interest in an Islamic economy, the policy instrument for public sector borrowing should be based on risk sharing or through asset-linked financing (i.e., sukuk [Islamic bonds or ownership certificates]). The benefits of risk sharing are manifold, as discussed. Instead of borrowing, the government could promote public–private sector partnerships to finance development projects. This would mobilize higher private sector savings in many countries to support productive public sector investment projects. By issuing risk-sharing instruments to fund development expenditures, the burden of debt could be reduced. At the same time, the household sector would be able to enjoy a higher rate of return on its savings because the rate of return on the papers would be driven by the return to the real sector.

The first best instrument of risk sharing is the stock market. With an active stock market, individuals can buffer idiosyncratic liquidity shocks by selling equity shares in the market. When risk is spread among a large number of participants through an efficient stock market, closer coordination between the financial and real sector is promoted. Moreover, the benefits of economic growth and financial system stability are better shared. Risk sharing through equity finance will ensure that Islamic finance is anchored to the real sector at all times. As discussed earlier, another segment of capital markets, securitized financing or asset-linked securities such as sukuk, play equally important roles in financing of the real sector. The market for asset-linked securities can also be an important instrument of monetary policy execution.

Using the same concept, liquidity in the economy through the monetary policy mechanism can be controlled through the issuance of financial instruments, such as equity participation shares or asset-linked securities, which enable investors to participate in financing government expenditures, such as in development projects. The papers must have low enough denominations and be traded in secondary markets so that ordinary citizens—not just institutional investors—can have access to them (enabling a more direct and predictable impact of monetary policy). To contract the money supply, these papers would be issued directly to the market to mop up excess market liquidity. The effect would be immediate, and leakages arising from intermediation would be reduced. Conversely, if the goal is to increase money supply, the monetary authority would buy these papers from the private sector.

The rate of return on these papers would be referenced to the rate of return to the real sector of the economy. The rate could be benchmarked against the average rate of return of the stock market or the market for securitized assets, which is generally higher than the interest rate in the economy, and hence this presents investors with a better return on their idle income. For example, in late 2012, the interest rate on government securities in Malaysia was approximately 6%, while the rate of return on bank deposits was 2%. If the rate of return on equity participation shares could be set to reflect the equity premium in the stock market (between 9% and 11%), it could potentially earn 7% to 9% (adjusted for the government's risk premium). An alternative could be that the rate of return to these papers could be benchmarked on the return to the real sector of the economy. Either way it would represent a better investment alternative for investors. In countries such as Malaysia, where private savings are high, resources that are earning 2% return could be mobilized to productive use in the economy for a higher rate of return. The effect of this policy measure would be not only to achieve a more potent monetary policy impact than in the conventional economy; it also would serve as a measure of improving income distribution by providing members of society better access to the benefits from the growth of the economy. It would also serve as a consumption-smoothing instrument (to mitigate idiosyncratic risk) for small investors.

These papers should be openly traded in the secondary market so that holders can redeem or liquidate them by selling them at prevailing market prices. This means that institutional investors, such as banks, would have to pay the market price to have access to this instrument for purposes of managing their asset portfolios. In this way, the same economic opportunity would be available to all; it would not be limited to the more financially able. At the same time, the opportunity (risk–reward profile) in economic activity would be available according to the financial capability of each investor. Such monetary policy instruments would also enhance governance, as the government would be more accountable to the general public regarding its investments in the risk-sharing instruments.

The cost to the government of raising financing through equity participation shares would be not much higher than the current rate of interest paid on debt instruments, but it would provide a better impetus to grow the economy by mobilizing funds that would be otherwise idle in deposits. At the same time, these papers could serve as ideal instruments for monetary policy measures (“ideal” in the sense that monetary policy signals would reach the private sector without being filtered by the banking system). To expand the money supply, the papers could be bought from the open market, thereby increasing the amount of money in circulation to increase consumption and investment. An illustration of the mechanism of the Islamic monetary and fiscal policy instruments is provided in Chapter 9.

The monetary instruments that can be used in an Islamic economy are different from those used in the conventional system. Open market operations can be used to buy and sell papers of a different sort because interest-bearing financial debts, such as bonds, are prohibited in the Islamic system. As mentioned, the state can use a number of other avenues to finance expenditures that exceed tax revenues, resulting in securities that can be bought and sold by the central bank to conduct monetary operations. The state can finance all needed capital expenditures through private–public programs, as mentioned: The state could develop the projects and sell equity shares (or national participation papers) for its financing, with stockholders taking the risk and getting the income generated from the project as dividends. Similarly, a number of projects could be combined and equity shares sold for the aggregate number of projects; or, again what is essentially the same thing, the combined projects could be the assets that back a bond that generates a fixed income with the bondholders having access to the underlying assets. Even under conditions where there was no direct revenue from an infrastructural project, the government could resort to private sector financing with dividends paid by the government at (or above or below) the rate of return in the real sector.

The central bank in the Islamic system has other instruments, in addition to our proposed equity shares or participation papers (securitized paper) in development projects, that it can buy and sell in the market to affect the money supply and thus attain its monetary objectives. The major objective of that bank is generation of market-oriented incentives to induce portfolio adjustments to stabilize the economy. These risk-sharing and interest-free instruments work as monetary policy tools to absorb and expand liquidity to and from the economy and at the same time match investors' intentions of investing in Islamic monetary instruments. The available instruments include a variety of Islamic bonds or sukuk (based on ownership in a debt, sukuk al murabaha; in an asset, sukuk al ijara; on a project, sukuk al istisna; in a profit-sharing business, sukuk al musharaka; on an investment, sukuk al istithmar):

  1. The state can issue non–interest-bearing bonds (qardh hassan) that the wealthier members of society may want to hold as one of their contributions to overall societal goals.
  2. Securities that can be backed by trade-based financing or tijarah (fixed rates).
  3. Securities can be backed by lease-based financing ijara (fixed rates).
  4. Securities can be linked to real assets that are securitized and the security holder has access to the underlying asset (especially in the event of default). They are of two basic types:
    1. Istisna contracts can be securitized to raise funds based on assets that provide a rental income (such as buildings for fixed income or variables in the case of road tolls).
    2. Salám contracts entail the delivery of specific goods in the future, where the goods are sold to the public on a markup.

As we have elaborated, open market operations, the buying and selling (from the investment bank type of Islamic institutions, and not from the safekeeping category of institutions; more on this below) of equity or securitized assets in projects (participation papers) and asset-linked bonds (sukuk) are expected to be the main instruments of monetary policy, but the central bank can adopt additional tools to affect its monetary stance in the Islamic system. Before we elaborate on these other instruments, we must address two controversial and unsettled issues concerning the operation of central banks in Islamic finance. Are central banks permitted to print paper money, and can they act as lenders of last resort (LoLR)? We believe that the answers to both of these questions are yes. Let us explain.

While some argue that money and value cannot be created out of thin air in Islam, we believe that this proposition can be challenged if money is created to benefit particular members of the community. To our mind, there is nothing in the Quran or in the Sunnah that recommends or prohibits the state from creating money (of course, we realize that there was no paper money at the time of the Prophet (sawa). Yes, the state cannot issue interest-bearing bonds and paper money that earns interest. But if the state prints money in order to facilitate business transactions and enhance prosperity for the benefit of the community because the economy's output is below its potential, then money creation by the state should be permissible. Such a situation can be operationally defined as when there is unused productive capacity in the economy. Also, the central bank can print money to accommodate expected additions to productive capacity. This would mean that there is accurate estimation of full employment output and expected future growth of the economy.

And yes, the state gets the normal advantage of seigniorage, but again if this is used for the equitable benefit of all members of society, not rulers and privileged classes, then why should the central bank be barred from issuing paper money? It is in the interest of the community. Similarly, the central bank should be permitted to act as an LoLR as long as it does not charge interest in order to sustain economic growth. It could charge a financially sound investment bank in need of liquidity a rate consistent with the rate of return to the real sector of the economy ex post facto (thus an actual real rate of return). Alternatively, the central bank could purchase assets from the investment bank, which in the end is akin to acting as an LoLR.

Two things need to be clarified. The banks operate on 100% reserve basis, and there are no deposit guarantees, either for banks that handle the payment system (i.e., those that are allowed to accept demand deposits), or for investment banks (which, even though they are not permitted to take demand deposits, can take investment funds). Those who would not allow central banks to print money argue that the prohibition against money printing is necessary to tie the hands of authorities and monetary policy so it cannot fuel inflation through monetary expansion. But this power is very much limited once the 100% reserve system is the structure of the banking system. The most important point is that a responsible and accountable central bank under a 100% reserve system limits the liability of the government (printing money) to no more than the economy would allow in terms of expansion in productive capacity.

In Table 11.1 we list results of a survey conducted by the Islamic Financial Services Board (IFSB) of 24 regulatory and supervisory authorities (RSAs) where Islamic financial institutions are active and operating. It is evident that the majority of jurisdictions do not have adequate arrangements for providing LoLR due to several factors, such as lack of instruments, lack of threshold of institutions requiring LoLR arrangements, and the relatively small market segment captured by Islamic banks (and thus providing a Shariah-compliant LoLR is not a priority for such RSAs).

Table 11.1 Current Status of Shariah-Compliant Lender of Last Resort (SLoRL) Facilities

Source: Islamic Financial Services Board.

% of RSAs Status
25% The SLoLR facilities have been developed for the Islamic Finance Information Service in your jurisdiction, as your central bank distinguishes between conventional institutions and IIFS.
38% The SLoLR facilities have not been developed, as your central bank has conventional LoLR facilities available, and it does not differentiate between conventional institutions and IIFS when it comes to providing LoLR facilities.
37% So far, your central bank has not been required to use SLoLR but it is considering the importance of developing SLoLR facilities.

A commercial banking system that is 100% reserve banking prohibits lending. The need for reserves and changes in the reserve requirements of these commercial banks as a policy instrument is eliminated. But investment banking affords important policy options: Investment banks channel investor funds into different investment projects (by risk, maturity, rent/dividend, etc.) and issue investors equity shares or bonds (backed by the investments) that are traded in the market. The central bank can affect the operation of these banks in two principal ways. First and foremost, the central bank can buy and sell the securities that it issues directly to investors and those that it issues on its account by investing its own capital. In the case of security purchases, the central bank injects cash into the hands of investors and the banks, resulting in investors and banks having cash to invest in new projects. Note the power of this instrument and compare it to open market operations in the conventional banking system. Here, the central bank puts cash directly into the hands of investors who decide on their investments. In the conventional system, the cash is put into the hands of bankers who may or may not lend. Open market operation is a much more potent policy instrument in Islamic banking than it is in the conventional system. Second, the central bank can change the reserve requirement of investment (mutual fund activities) banks. Investment banks essentially invest the capital of investors in projects of different sorts in a pass-through mode and invest their shareholders' capital in these or other projects. The central bank can require reserves of these investment banks, not because of exposure to risk but to influence investment banks' ability to channel funds into projects and in turn reduce the return to investors. Let us explain. By requiring reserves, these investment banks can invest less of the investors' assets (keeping a part as reserves) and thus reduce the attractiveness of investing (lower rate of return as a portion is kept as reserves and does not earn any return).

Such reserve requirements do raise a number of issues: Should reserve requirements be changed on existing equity investments or imposed only on new investments? Depending on the answer to this question, should these reserves be kept at the central bank and returned to the holder of the equity asset at the time of maturity? In addition to open market operations and reserve requirements for the central bank, we should note that the central bank could use its guidance advisories to form market expectations and thus affect the investment/saving decision, which in turn will affect economic activity. The impact and effectiveness of central bank guidance, including inflation targets, will be directly proportional to its credibility.

In addition to the implementation of monetary policy, central banks in an Islamic system could take the lead in evolving financial institutions and instruments that facilitate efficient mobilization of savings and allocation of resources consistent with the economic development objectives of the Islamic economy. The central bank, in particular, must initiate and foster the development of primary, secondary, and money markets. Mere adoption of Islamic rules of finance will not necessarily create the impetus for financial and economic development where the shallowness of financial markets and lack of attractive financial instruments have created impediments to the saving–investment nexus and for the process of financial intermediation.

There are reasons to believe that the relationship between financial deepening and real growth of the economy would be strong in an Islamic economy where profit sharing can be expected to have significant positive influence on the saving–investment process. The positive relationship between expansion of financial markets and financial development on one hand and between financial development and economic development on the other necessitates an active participation by the monetary authorities in evolving the economy's financial infrastructure. For example, monetization of transactions in rural areas requires a wider geographical and functional penetration of the banking system. Through provision of such facilities and expansion of financial markets, the central bank can both lower the cost and increase the availability of credit in the economy. Moreover, the prohibition against interest provides natural opportunities for the integration of financial markets. The monetary authorities, through the central bank, can take steps to foster competition between organized and unorganized markets on the basis of profit sharing and rates of return in order to enhance the process of integration.

The extension and enforcement of Islamic regulations concerning contracts and property rights to financial and capital markets is needed to reduce uncertainties arising from the present structure of rights, which tends to discourage private investment. Such actions would include imposition of legal sanctions on irresponsible behavior on the part of agent/entrepreneurs to the extent necessary to reduce moral hazard problems and to encourage lending on the basis of viability and profitability of investment projects rather than solvency, creditworthiness, or collateral strength of entrepreneurs. Uncertainty in contract and property rights combined with heavy costs, at least initially, of project appraisal, evaluation, and monitoring may lead to a significant reduction in investment. In fact, it can be argued that the risk of adoption of an Islamic financial system, particularly in the initial stages, is not lower savings but lower investment, if the Islamic rules regarding contracts and property rights are not enforced. In the absence of legal protection, risk-averse bankers and savers may simply refuse to provide funds on the basis of profit-sharing arrangements. Alternatively, principals and agents may engage in contrived contractual relationships that may be Islamic only in appearance. The enforcement of Islamic rules regarding contracts and property rights would increase public confidence in capital markets, financial institutions, and the process of financial intermediation. Only then will banks and other financial institutions, through their direct involvement in profit sharing with the real sector, become instruments of industrialization and development. This way the whole investment process would add to efficiency, as real entrepreneurs would utilize savings rather than those whose only claim to enterprise is based on ownership of savings. The increase in efficiency will, in turn, increase profits and afford a higher rate of return to savers.

The central bank in the Islamic system can be expected to perform the usual regulation, supervision, and control functions that central banks perform in the conventional financial system. The central bank can also control the banking system through its purchase of equity shares of banks and nonbank financial institutions. The necessity of the central bank's leadership role in initiating and evolving primary, secondary, and money markets has already been discussed. Through performance of these functions and its LoLR role, the central bank can exert greater influence in the financial system. Moreover, opportunities will exist for the central bank to directly invest in the real sector on a profit-sharing basis as well as to take equity positions in joint ventures with other banks. The opportunity for the central bank to buy and sell securities in the financial markets may enable it to influence further financial resource allocation, if that becomes necessary or desirable.

Choice of Islamic Monetary Instrument

An Islamic central bank has the primary responsibility of formulating and conducting monetary policy. Its auxiliary functions include assisting the banking system in the transition, promoting money market development, safeguarding the payments and clearing system, and performing bank regulation and supervision. Also, as the leading financing institution, it is concerned with the efficiency of intermediation between savers and investors, which takes place via the financial system and contributes to stable economic growth.

An Islamic central bank can operate directly through its regulatory and powers or indirectly through its influence on capital market conditions. Direct and indirect instrument operations can be distinguished in two ways: (1) direct instruments set or limit prices or quantities through regulation, while indirect instruments operate through market by influencing underlying demand and supply conditions; and (2) direct instruments are mainly aimed at balance sheets of commercial banks, while indirect instruments are aimed at the balance sheet of the central bank.

Using indirect instruments, the central bank can determine the supply of reserves. This affects the commercial banking sectors' liquidity position, as long as they have to settle their payment obligations across the books of the central bank and provided they do not have unlimited (with no penalties) access funding at the central bank. The effect on banks' liquidity positions results in adjustments to bank, interbank, and money market pricing that are expected to reequilibrate demand and supply of reserve balances.

Choice of Direct Instruments

It is important to note that in an ideal Islamic economy, there are no money markets, since in these markets, money now is traded for money later. However, during the transition to the ideal economy, money markets do exist, although the rates of return in these markets are noninterest bearing. In this situation, the choice of direct instruments of monetary control is based on the variety shown in Table 11.2. The major instruments are bank-by-bank credit ceilings, statutory liquidity ratios, and directed credits. They are all linked with the assets side of banks and are one of the major factors affecting money supply. They provide effective control on allocation and distribution of bank credit at the discretion of the central bank and in line with the monetary program, taking into account other economic and social objectives. These instruments are particularly suitable at the initial stages of Islamizing and restructuring banking and financial institutions.

Table 11.2 Direct Instruments of Monetary Control Advantages, Disadvantages, and Operational Issues

Source: Nurun N. Choudhry and Abbas Mirakhor, “Indirect Instruments of Monetary Control in an Islamic Financial System,” Islamic Economic Studies 4, no. 2 (May 1997): 27–65.

Instruments Advantages Disadvantages Issues in Design and Operations Experience and Assessment
Interest rate controls (abolished under Islamic law) Contain the effects of noncompetitive pricing when entry into banking is limited. Limit adverse selection problems, particularly when information on borrowers is scarce or banking supervision is weak. Often resorted to when authorities cannot achieve a target interest rate through market means or whenlong-term rates are a policy objective. Interfere with price mechanism. Lead to rationing of credit and misallocation.
Ceiling easily circumvented by shifting bank deposits into assets yielding market rates (such as foreign exchange) or into goods.
Floors or ceilings encourage disintermediation or nonbank intermediation.
Design can involve fixing interest rates or spreads. Increasingly ineffective as markets and financial instruments develop.
Bank-by-bank credit ceiling Can deliver effective control over bank credit if reserve money creation is otherwise controlled. Can minimize loss of monetary control during transition to indirect instruments when transmission mechanism is uncertain. Because credit ceiling are not market determined, they progressively distort the allocation of bank resources. Can lead to disintermediation and ultimate loss of effectiveness.
Difficult to implement if there are many banks and if there are capital inflows.
Quotas may depend on capital, existing credit, and existing deposits.
Secondary trading of unused credit quotas introduces elements of market allocation and mitigates distortions.
Still used in some African and Asian countries and in transition economies.
Supply of base money must be consistent with money demand; otherwise instrument leads to buildup of excess reserves; creates incentives for evasion.
Statutory liquidity ratios By providing captive demand for qualifying assets (typically government debt), ratios reduce cost of borrowing for issuer of these instruments. Distort competition by imposing constraints on banks' asset management.
Distort pricing of securities and stifle secondary trading. Can lead to disintermediation, increase spread, and loss of effectiveness.
Design involves choosing eligible securities, eligible maturities, and averaging methods, of either requirement, base, or both. Still used in many countries but mainly for prudential reasons and more recently to provide captive demand for government papers.
Directed credits Method of distributing central bank credit mostly to finance particular sectors. Provide banks with direct control over aggregate central bank credit. Credit allocation process is discretionary.
Misallocation of resources is possible. May be used to direct credit to public enterprises, thus reducing direct budgetary impact.
Design involves setting a mechanism to allocate credit and to ascertain ultimate use of funds.
Usually credit does not require collateral. Occasionally extended through special rediscount facility.
Used in many transition economies.
Because of fungibility, are unlikely to be effective in directing resources.
Costly in terms of resource allocation.
Bank-by-bank rediscount quotas* (abolished under Islamic law) Place a floor under interbank rates and thereby improve transmission of interest rate changes. Otherwise, used mostly to rediscount (at preferential rate) paper of particular sectors and provide liquidity to particular banks. Below-market discount rate can discourage development of inter-bank money market if use of facility is notlimited. Fungibility undermines assessment and control of funds' destination if instrument is used primarily to direct credit. Need mechanism to allocate refinance quotas and review quality of eligible paper. Used to provide incentives to lend to particular sectors. Discount rate is a highly visible rate and can be effective in signaling policy changes.
*Interest rate is replaced by expected dividend based on profit-sharing principle under Islamic law.

There are seven main advantages of direct instruments of monetary control:

  1. These instruments are perceived to be reliable in controlling credit aggregates or the allocation of credit and its cost; they seem to have performed well for a period in many countries.
  2. They are relatively easy to implement.
  3. Their direct fiscal cost has been relatively low.
  4. They are easy to quantify and link to a monetary program within an economic policy framework.
  5. In countries with noncompetitive financial systems and less developed primary and secondary capital markets, direct instruments are the only feasible monetary instruments to operate effectively.
  6. With other forms of credit scarce, bank-by-bank credit ceilings are effective regardless of the exchange rate regime.
  7. Direct instruments can, at least temporarily, be attractive in situations of specific or general market failures in a severe financial crisis.

These perceived advantages must be weighed against the costs of utilizing direct instruments resulting in inefficient resource allocation as banks attempt to evade credit ceilings and ossify the distribution of credit. For example, banks would try to perpetuate these credit market shares, independent of their competitiveness, thereby reducing incentives for banks whose credit ceilings are constraining. In economies where state-owned banks dominate, as in a number of Muslim countries, state banks tend to limit the inroads that private sector can make in banking. The use of direct instruments tends to multiply and micromanage monetary conditions, which are likely to be particularly volatile in the transition to Islamic banking. Also, there is the possibility of liquidity overhang because of limits imposed on bank lending. Moreover, the overhang can be exacerbated by money financing of the deficit with added inflationary consequences.

The use of direct instruments often results in arbitrary allocations of credit. Moreover, the fungibility of money makes it difficult to ensure that the credit or credit ceiling will be used for intended purposes. Experiences of developing countries show that such instruments lose their effectiveness with the passage of time because they are circumvented by numerous means. There is evidence that banks themselves may attempt to undermine direct controls by introducing new financing techniques that are outside the boundaries of existing controls and divert funds into artificially profitable activities created by the controls themselves. Consequently, policy objectives are often defeated in practice, even if monetary targets are met. Thus, the perceived reliability of direct instruments can often be misleading.

Finally, like other forms of economic control, direct instruments hamper competition. For example, bank-by-bank credit controls protect inefficient banks from competition by limiting the growth of efficient banks. Also, if compliance is not uniform, financial intermediaries that comply with the controls may be placed at a disadvantage, further compromising the position of the formal sector. Clearly, use of direct instruments has considerable costs to the economy.

Choice of Indirect Instruments

The choice of indirect instruments is limited mainly to reserve requirements, public sector deposits, and foreign exchange swaps, as shown in Table 11.3. Reserve requirements and public sector deposits directly link the balance sheets of the central bank and commercial banks; foreign exchange swaps with the central bank directly link their asset sides. Indirect instruments involving open market–type operations with equity-based instruments, as discussed in the following section, provide more flexibility for effective monetary control by the central bank.

Table 11.3 Indirect Instruments of Monetary Control: Advantages, Disadvantages, and Operational Issues

Source: Nurun N. Choudhry and Abbas Mirakhor, “Indirect Instruments of Monetary Control in an Islamic Financial System,” Islamic Economic Studies 4, no. 2 (May 1997): 27–65.

Instruments Advantages Disadvantages Issues in Design and Operations Experience and Assessment
Reserve requirements* Help to induce demand for reserves and therefore enhance predictability of reserve demand. Useful in one-off sterilization of excess liquidity or otherwise to accommodate structural changes in demand for reserves. Imposes tax on bank intermediation and can lead to spread between lending and deposit rates. Can be neutralized through reserve remuneration. Not convenient for short-term liquidity management, as frequent changes disrupt bank portfolio management. Design includes definition and monitoring of requirement base, eligibility of assets, and averaging rules and rate of remuneration. Averaging provides banks with greater flexibility in portfolio management. Used extensively in some countries, especially in Latin America.
Active use for policy purposes has dropped significantly in industrial countries.
Rediscount window Rediscount rate has announcement effect as a key rate. Initial impact is wider than with open market operations.
Develops demand for rediscountable paper. May also be useful when open market operations are limited due to lack of paper.
Not very convenient for precise base money targeting, since access to window is usually at initiative of banks. Criteria for rediscountable paper and for access to window have often been utilized to implement selective credit policy. Rediscount rate can be above-market rate to discourage access. If rate is below market, nonprice rationing must be used.
Elements of design include eligible paper and access criteria.
Used in many countries as standard instrument for monetary control. Effectiveness largely determined by provisions that regulate access. Also used for moral suasion.
Lombard window or overdraft window Provides facilities for very short-term (collateralized) loans usually priced above any alternative source of funds. Can be key part of payments system arrangements. See rediscount window above. Disadvantage of preannounced rate facility where access is at discretion of banks. Lombard requires bank decisions to borrow from central bank with appropriate collateral.
Overdraft occurs automatically and need not be collaterialized.
Standard facilities in many countries. Lombard rate can be key rate in announcing changes in policy stance.
Public sector deposits Given magnitude of daily flows in and out of government deposits between central bank and commercial banks, can be key instrument to offset short-term liquidity impact. Lack transparency. Militate against the development of secondary market for government securities. Allocation mechanisms needed to ensure equitable distribution among competing commercial banks. Used in a few countries. Require close coordination of central bank and Treasury.
Primary-market sales of central bank paper (open market–type operations) Flexible instrument for short-term liquidity management because issuance is at discretion of central bank. If Treasury not willing to accept sufficient expected dividend flexibility, central bank papers preserve its operational autonomy. Central bank may incur losses if large primary issuance is needed to sterilize liquidity. If central bank bills are used in parallel with Treasury bills, problems may occur in absence of strong coordination between issuing agents. Liquidity management can be achieved through staggered primary issuance.
Procedures involve decisions on auction system, counterparts, frequency, maturities, and settlement rules.
Used by many countries, particularly when there is need to separate monetary policy objectives from public debt management objectives. Also used when secondary markets are insufficiently developed.
Primary market sales of government securities (open market–type operations) Management similar to central bank bill. Encourage fiscal discipline on part of government if direct central bank financing is discontinued. Debt management objective can conflict with monetary management if Treasury manipulates auction to keep funding costs below market. High frequency of auctions may hamper secondary market development. Same as above. Sometimes when central bank portfolio contains government securities, reverse repo auctions can be used instead of outright sales in primary markets. Used in many countries when secondary markets are insufficiently developed to conduct open market operations.
Foreign exchange (FX) swaps and outright sales and purchases In case of deep FX market but inactive government securities market, swaps can substitute for repo operations in government paper. FX outright sales and purchases may be useful when FX market is more developed than money market. Central bank can suffer losses if foreign exchange operations used in attempts to preserve unsustainable exchange rate. Need to design appropriate risk- management procedures. Swaps used on a regular basis by a few countries.
Secondary market operations (outright purchases and sales or repo operations) Can be undertaken on continuous basis, hence provide flexibility.
Transparent.
Enhance market development.
Immediacy of response in money market
Require liquid and deep secondary market, and central bank must have adequate stock of marketable assets. Repos have advantage of being automatically reversible, especially well-suited for offsetting seasonal fluctuations. Used by most countries with liquid and deep secondary markets.
*Reserve requirements have elements of both a direct and an indirect instrument. This table follows conventional central bank usage and classifies them as indirect instruments.
Rediscount rate or interest rate applies to expected dividend in Islamic context.

The advantages of indirect instruments are precisely the reason that direct instruments become ineffective over time. Indirect instruments can control fluctuations in liquidity on a short-term basis in line with monetary policy objectives. Reserve requirements and public sector deposits, through changes in requirement ratios and shifts in the allocation of government deposits between the central bank and commercial banks, directly influence the banks' reserve balances with the central bank. Foreign exchange swaps, instigated by the banks, change the composition between the foreign currency–denominated assets and domestic currency assets. Through outright sales and purchases of foreign exchange, the swaps can change the banks' reserve balance with that of the central bank. Open market–type instruments can provide more effective monetary controls than direct instruments because of their greater flexibility in use. Since these instruments work through, rather than around, markets, they can influence monetary conditions, even when specific monetary aggregates become economically less important (e.g., government borrowing can be offset or partially neutralized through open market–type operations). In policy implementation, frequent changes in the equity-based Treasury bills or central bank credit auctions to absorb or augment liquidity provide greater flexibility in timely responses that are difficult with direct instruments, particularly with credit ceilings, as they are often set on an annual or quarterly basis. Besides, frequent changes in credit limits place an undue burden on banks' portfolio adjustments.

In situations where the exchange rate is flexible, authorities can pursue their own inflation rate objective, which may differ from the international rate of inflation, by exercising their monopoly power as the supplier of high-powered money with indirect instruments to create liquidity shortages and to relieve them as necessary. In situations where the exchange rate is managed, although the domestic inflation rate will depend on international inflation, the central bank will have to set its instruments to influence monetary conditions in order to obtain a desired balance-of-payments objective.

Finally, in contrast to direct instruments, when direct instruments are the principal means of monetary control, the use of indirect instruments by the central bank can facilitate the development of financial markets. This is very important for Islamic countries that are undertaking economic liberalization and have begun Islamic restructuring of their banking systems.

The disadvantages of indirect instruments are that their use is inherently complex and the impact on monetary aggregates can be ambiguous. Simple correspondence does not hold in the case of indirect instruments, and policy may be difficult to implement. Only banks' reserves may be controlled in the short term by reallocation of government deposits since frequent changes in reserve requirements—particularly increases—would be disruptive and costly in terms of portfolio adjustment. Also, reserve requirements cannot be used to mop up excess liquidity if the latter is unevenly distributed among banks and there is no effective means for redistribution of reserve balances among the banks. Moreover, when demand deposits are subject to 100% reserve requirements, there is likely to be overexpansion of credit, as there might be little or no reserve requirements for investment deposits. Further, with 100% reserve requirements, these are reserves for safeguarding purposes, reserves that cannot be used for the banks' liquidity needs. An unintended consequence could be that financial disintermediation occurs as savings flow into unregulated or informal financial markets, such as fringe banks and informal lending as well as transfers of savings abroad through illegal means if there are external capital controls. Thus, depending on the model of banking chosen in an Islamic economy, the authorities may have difficulty in exerting effective monetary control.

Although public sector deposits can be very powerful indirect instruments, they lack transparency and militate against the development of financial markets. In the reallocation of government deposits between the central bank and the commercial banks in order to offset the impact of such flows on short-term liquidity via the banks' reserve balances, the use of this instrument provides less incentive for speeding up the development of financial markets as banks can easily replenish their reserves without recourse to the interbank and money markets. The preferred alternative involves short-term, low-risk, equity-based government securities. Transactions in these securities can be frequent and facilitate market growth by making the underlying securities more liquid without directly interfering with market force.

The use of foreign exchange swaps requires restriction-free capital account and a developed FX market. In most Islamic countries, capital accounts have restrictions and financial markets are not well developed. Often such swaps are discouraged by the central bank because of FX scarcity. If FX constraint is not binding, as in several Islamic countries, this can be used frequently to bolster banks' reserves in times of shortages in domestic liquidity.

Government Securities and Open Market Operations

Equity-based government securities with variable yield based on the concept of profit sharing may be considered a viable substitute for traditional securities involved in open market operations. A similar idea involving issuance of commercial papers has been proposed by economists concerned with interest-free banking. Open market–type operations using such securities can be carried out in the primary market, and fully flexible two-way operations involving repurchases and reverse repurchases can be carried out as the secondary market develops.

Equity-Based Government Securities

It is proposed that government securities must incorporate three prerequisites: credibility, liquidity, and low risk. Short-term securities, which have a range of maturity and corresponding yield, are suitable for any liquidity need. Their availability for frequent auctions makes them ideal liquidity instruments in the primary market, and they can speed up the development of the secondary market, where they can be actively traded. Longer-term government securities with maturities from two to five or more years are ideal for longer-term liquidity requirements, such as projected future increases in net loan demand or longer-range protective liquidity.

The yield of securities will depend on government operating surplus and is a policy parameter that is used as a price signal. The bases of yield depend on the face value, maturity, and outstanding number of securities and the distribution of the budget surplus among dividend, repayment of government issues of securities at maturity, and retention for capital outlays. At the time of issue, the yield is quoted as an expected dividend, which is adjusted on a quarterly basis (to accommodate the 91-day issue) according to the budgetary outcome for the quarter, and a declaration is made public. Once the face value is set, the market price of the securities will depend on the expected yield (the holders' stream of expected earnings), the length of time to maturity, and market supply–demand conditions. As the adjustment introduces an element of uncertainty in expected yield, the risk differentials among government securities and other marketable assets become an important factor affecting market conditions. Consequently, the adjustment process provides an incentive for the government to pursue fiscal prudence in order to preserve credibility, liquidity, and essentially risk-free status of the securities.

The expected dividend as a measure of yield of securities is rooted in the concept of social rate of return. The expected earnings of holders of government securities are derived from the expected dividend, and the market price of the security would be the discounted value of the stream of expected earnings at the prevailing rate of return in the market. The discounted value of the stream of expected earnings derived from government surpluses is the cost of equity capital in terms of the security, with the rate of discount being the social rate of return. The market price of securities is determined when the market value is equal to the cost of equity capital. If the public's expectation is for a higher dividend than the government expectations on budget surpluses, the demand for government securities will be greater than their supply. As a result, the market price rises when the expected dividend is higher than the expected surplus, and vice versa, until equilibrium is established. Fluctuations in the market price of securities with longer maturities will be more than those of the shorter-term securities with varying expectations on dividends and social rates of return.

At equilibrium, the social rate of return is such that the marginal social benefit from the consumption of public services is equal to the opportunity cost of the provision of such services. Because of the nature of public services, the marginal social benefits are difficult to quantify while user charges and fees for the provision of public services may fall short of their opportunity costs. As the former is analogous to marginal revenue and the latter to marginal costs, the government covers the actual cost of operation by revenue from taxation, taking into account receipts from user charges and fees. The payment of expected dividends on government securities is adjusted on the outcome of the budget surplus. The expected budget surplus may have to be altered periodically by raising or lowering taxation and/or user charges and fees so that the adjusted expected dividends on government securities are made competitive with expected dividends on private equity.1

In transactions with government securities, actual cash may change hands or cross the books, as when a central bank transacts in Treasury or central bank securities with banks to smooth out reserve balance fluctuations. For the duration the securities are held, the yield must accrue, and the market price reflects the supply–demand conditions, taking into account the uncertainty in adjustments of expected dividends. If the central bank undertakes monetary contraction through reserve absorption by the sale of securities, the market price of securities declines, taking into account the duration to maturity and the risk for adjustment of expected dividends. With longer-term securities, the market does provide an indication of the cost of equity capital in nominal terms and provides a yardstick to business of gauging the present value of future income streams (using expected rate of return), thereby permitting economically more meaningful judgments to investment plans.

Open Market–Type Operations

In conducting open market–type operations, the discount window and auctions of Treasury or central bank bills and central bank credit auctions are often used varyingly to achieve operating monetary objectives. The extent of such operations depends on the availability of equity-based government securities, the relative size of the primary and secondary markets, the existence of a competitive interbank market, and, more generally, the extent to which government is willing to deregulate and rely on market processes for channeling savings into investment. Since in many Muslim countries secondary markets are nonexistent or are in the early stages of evolution, central banks would be limited to open market–type operations in the primary market to absorb or inject reserves through auctions of newly issued Treasury bills or credits.

When the central bank offers a new issue of Treasury security, this constitutes a monetary operation (not a government debt management operation) only if the incoming funds are sterilized and unavailable for government spending. If the central bank overestimated the reserve surplus when it initially issued the securities and subsequently needed to augment reserves temporarily, it could buy the securities back before maturity and credit banks' reserve accounts. Such repurchases before maturity and, if need be, subsequent resales would have the ancillary advantage of laying the basis for the development of a secondary market among nonbank private participants, in addition to strengthening a competitive interbank market for redistribution of reserves around the banking system. Since the securities are based on expected dividends, buying and selling prices between the parties will be negotiated, just as is done by premia and discounts on the fixed interest rate, thereby effectively market pricing on profit-sharing principle.2

Open market–type operations involving new issue of Treasury or central bank securities are used most effectively when excess liquidity piles up in the banking system from large capital inflows. However, if investment deposits have no reserve requirements, banks will tend to keep reserve balances when demand for loans is weak. In the absence of an active money and interbank market, the central bank may be deprived of information about actual and emerging liquidity conditions that are implied by such deposits. Thus, without reserve requirements on these deposits, it would be more difficult for the central bank to plan the timing and size of an open market–type operation, and the outcome of monetary control may be uncertain. The reserves needed to support expansion in money supply and credit for economic growth cannot be adequately provided with open market–type operations. In such circumstances, credit auctions and discount windows will be particularly suitable for monetary expansion for growth.

The auction of credit through the central bank's open market–type function can be distinguished from credit made available through the discount window. The central bank can use a credit auction to control the volume of reserves to be supplied. The banks, through the bidding process, determine the expected dividend they are willing to share with the central bank for the duration of the loan, thereby effectively determining the market price of securities. In contrast, at the discount window, the expected dividend in the form of the price of securities is set by the central bank while the amounts of borrowing and, therefore, reserves supplied are at the initiative of the banks, not the central bank. Moreover, the central bank might be able to resell commercial paper acquired in the auction as collateral at its initiative into a secondary market (if it exists). Also, loans at the discount window normally would be repaid on a schedule or renewed at the initiative of the borrowing bank. Generally, in contrast to a discount window, a credit auction gives the central bank more initiative on the timing, amount, and price at which reserves are supplied, thus providing some flexibility on reducing reserves for policy purposes in secondary markets.

In the absence of a significant floating supply of government debt, a special Treasury obligation with certain special features could be employed for the expansion of reserves. Special Treasury obligations or securities, once created, would remain on the asset side of the central bank balance sheet. To support the banking system reserve, the central bank would be given the right to transfer to the banks a corresponding special Treasury deposit liability. This deposit liability would not be controlled by the Treasury and would be created simultaneously with the special Treasury security at the time when the central bank wishes to expand reserves. At that point, the deposit liability would be transferred to the banking system either by a distribution based on bank size or through the auction of a predetermined amount.

An auction would be the preferable means, which in effect would be a primary market auction of bank reserves conveyed via Treasury deposit liabilities. The special Treasury deposit liability would be priced to yield a market return (linked to the banks' average profit sharing) to the Treasury, and this, in turn, would determine the return on the special Treasury security held by the central bank.3 In fact, this return is akin to savings on expected dividends that the Treasury would have made if the central bank had been able to purchase securities in the open market in order to retire government debt. The special Treasury securities and deposit liabilities could have a range of maturity depending on the demand for reserves for short to medium term (from three months to two years), and the market price should be based on expected profitability of the banking system. Both special issues and deposits could be marketable, though sales of securities in the secondary market should be limited to those consistent with the basic reserve-supplying function.4 Banks could buy and sell the special deposits as the reserves situation fluctuates, effectively making these instruments of the interbank market. Thus, backed by special issues, the special Treasury deposit liabilities, which would create permanent reserves, could become a liquid and relatively low-risk instrument of monetary control.5

Open Market Operations

With economic growth and development of markets and with greater integration of the financial institutions with the real sector, an Islamic central bank will place greater reliance on fully flexible open market operations. In transition toward the latter, repurchase agreements (repos) and reverse repurchase agreements for financial instruments will tend to be used more frequently. Navigating the financial markets is a complex process. In addition to competitive financial institutions, substantial infrastructure must be developed, including a large-value transfer system, book-entry systems for recording ownership transfer (an important legal requirement in Islamic property rights), and a legal and regulatory framework. Once such a market is developed, open market operations can be highly effective and flexible tools of monetary policy.

Repos in government securities are most commonly used in industrial countries and countries that are successfully transforming their economic structure. As compared with direct purchase and sale operations, repos interfere less with the development of secondary market trading in outstanding securities since they essentially provide temporary financing of reserve fluctuations and do not directly influence the basic supply and demand conditions underlying securities that serve as collateral.6 In fact, they serve to enhance the liquidity of the underlying securities and in that way facilitate the development of a secondary market. While repo transactions are generally for short terms, the underlying collateral would comprise both short-term and longer-term government securities, thereby augmenting liquidity to all sectors of the market.

The use of repos with a short maturity also signals that the central bank is encouraging the market to develop alternative short-term instruments for borrowing or lending in order to redistribute the aggregate reserve around the banking system. Also repos are ideally suited to offsetting short-term fluctuations in factors affecting bank reserves that are the major influence on day-to-day operations. Because the maturity of repos can be set by the central bank, repos can be timed automatically to reverse themselves as circumstances change. Moreover, repos are useful for offsetting large shifts in liquidity conditions that might be caused by large capital inflows.

The establishment of repos as effective money market instruments would facilitate the widening of the money market among private sector participants facing temporary shortages and surpluses of funds. The central bank should make it clear that the availability of central bank financing would depend on monetary policy rather than strictly on market considerations. However, in the early stages of market development, the central bank might have to consider market needs, particularly in times of funds shortages. In general, in such situations, outright transactions by the central bank (open market type) could hamper market development, particularly in longer-term market sectors. Whether outright or repos, market development would be most encouraged by use of competitive bidding mechanisms. While a few large market makers for government paper may at times be useful, they are generally considered unfair practices by other participants and tend to slow the widening of the market.

Summary

In the Islamic system, while the objective of monetary policy is broadly the same as that in the conventional system—to promote macroeconomic stability, characterized in the main by price-level stability, near full employment, and a viable balance of payments position, other more broad-based objectives must be kept firmly in sight. These broad-based objectives include a more equitable distribution of resources and income, providing useful employment, improving living standards and the quality of life, and alleviation of poverty, all under the umbrella of social justice. In addition to conducting monetary policy, the central bank in an Islamic system should take the lead in developing financial institutions and instruments that facilitate efficient mobilization of savings and allocation of resources consistent with the economic development objectives. Moreover, the central bank must assume a forceful role in adopting needed regulations and the supervision of banks and investment banks in the system.

There are three major differences in the conduct of monetary policy between the Islamic and the conventional system. In the Islamic system, the instruments of monetary policy are different; there are no interest-bearing debt instruments, and interest-bearing debt is replaced by a variety of equity-based securities (national participation papers, government securities tied to the real rate of return in the economy, etc.) for implementing and conducting open market operations. Moreover, the banking system in the Islamic system is 100% reserve banking as contrasted with fractional reserve banking in the conventional system; this difference eliminates the creation of money by banks and affords the central bank in the Islamic system better monetary control, resulting in a financial system that is more stable and less prone to frequent crises. Finally, monetary policy signals are more potent in the Islamic system because while the objective of both systems is to affect portfolio adjustment in the private sector, in the conventional system, the transmission mechanism of these signals is indirect through the banking system whose objective function is different from that of monetary authorities. Hence, the signals through this transmission mechanism may weaken the signals as they are transmitted through the banking system; namely, the central bank may inject cash into the banking system, but in the final analysis, it is the banks who decide whether to lend to the private sector. In the Islamic system, the transmission mechanism establishes a direct means of signal reception by the private sector through the retail security market. Thus the potency of the signals sent by the monetary authority is strengthened considerably.

Key Terms

  1. Central bank
  2. Open market operations
  3. Discount window
  4. Reserve requirement
  5. Jawboning or moral suasion
  6. Interest rates
  7. Central bank
  8. Central bank advisories (indications)
  9. Central bank credibility
  10. Inflation targeting
  11. Commercial bank lending
  12. Money creation

Questions

  1. What are the instruments and channels of monetary policy in the conventional system?
  2. What are the instruments and channels of monetary policy in the Islamic system?
  3. What is the function and role of the central bank in the two systems?
  4. Is an Islamic central bank handicapped because it is prohibited from buying or selling interest-bearing government securities? Why or why not?
  5. Is an Islamic central bank handicapped because there is no financial interest that it can affect? Why or why not?
  6. What do you see as the lags and bottlenecks of monetary policy in the conventional system?
  7. Is monetary policy more direct and potent in the Islamic system? Why or why not?
  8. In your opinion, can a central bank in the Islamic system issue paper money? Why or why not?

Notes

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