This book has explored the political forces and other dynamics that drive urban change, through reference to the development of King’s Cross. These dynamics are complex, often irrational and unpredictable, and are difficult to accommodate within the strictures of urban planning systems. Yet despite the apparent chaos, the planning system did manage to shape a scheme that is actually being built and is largely in accordance with the original planning consent, in defiance of turbulent economic conditions.
This chapter has a number of aims. First, it seeks to assess whether and to what extent the emerging scheme is successful. In the absence of alternative criteria, it reviews international interest in the scheme and the relatively little market analysis that exists. It also assesses the scheme’s success against Camden council’s original objectives and those of the developer, Argent. Second (to the extent that it can be viewed as successful), it seeks to identify those factors of the planning and development process that contributed to its success and any lessons that might be taken from these. Finally, it reviews some of the recent changes that have occurred in the UK planning system and associated government programmes in order to evaluate whether such a scheme would be possible under current conditions.
It is only possible to make a tentative assessment of the success of the King’s Cross scheme while it is still under construction.1 However, in August 2015 Jones Lang LaSalle carried out an assessment for British Land of how various sectors of the property industry viewed major regeneration schemes happening in London. King’s Cross came top overall in terms of transport connectivity, attractiveness and atmosphere. Against all criteria the industry viewed it as London’s best new office location.2 The ‘wordle’ from the report illustrating perceptions is shown in Figure 10.1. While quantifying the success of the scheme may be difficult, there are certain criteria against which it can be judged. These are Camden’s policy objectives, Argent’s development objectives and how the industry views the scheme, both nationally and internationally. By examining how the King’s Cross development measures up to these criteria, we can gauge a tentative measure of its success.
Camden council had clear objectives for the scheme to address the imbalance of opportunity in the immediate neighbourhood of King’s Cross. The council wanted affordable housing, local facilities, employment opportunities and a place that seamlessly merged with its surroundings. Both Camden and English Heritage wanted to see the historic fabric of the site retained and embedded sensitively in a new neighbourhood. This has been largely achieved. On a more basic level, councillors wanted a development that had the wide support of the local communities and one that they could personally be proud of.
Many of these objectives have been achieved and in interviews, councillors and officers working in the council today were positive. There is a sense that Argent has delivered on its promises and that a genuine partnership exists between the council and the King’s Cross Central Limited Partnership. Aspects of the scheme, such as the University of the Arts London, were not part of the original objectives, but it is seen as making a major contribution to the life of the area. Despite the failure to overcome the physical barriers around the site, there is evidence that King’s Cross is not viewed as a hostile corporate no-go area. It is becoming ‘another piece of London’ faster than comparable developments elsewhere.
There is also little doubt that King’s Cross has been a commercial success (which was always part of Camden council’s objectives), but it is too early to assess whether it has really addressed the needs of local people. It would be an interesting case study to track the long-term impact of the development on the life chances of members of the local community in terms of health, education and employment against any displacement impacts due to rising land values.
From Argent’s perspectives, the scheme is proving a phenomenal success. Despite incorporating a higher percentage of affordable housing than was anticipated in its initial business plan, commercial rents are considerably higher than anticipated and businesses are eager to locate there. This is no accident, but the result of a well thought out strategy that includes the management of the site and the selection of tenants. As a company, Argent is justifiably proud of what it has achieved and King’s Cross has proved to be a very convincing calling card to attract other major development contracts.
Alongside the Olympic Park, King’s Cross is now on the standard London tour for students and city and government delegations, especially from other European cities and Asia. The World Bank has identified four main aspects of the King’s Cross scheme that have wider applicability:3
The King’s Cross scheme is genuinely mixed use in a way that earlier London commercial developments such as Broadgate and Canary Wharf were not (Figure 10.2). The market clearly views it positively; rents are rising steadily (Figure 10.3) and buildings are being let. The strategy of up-front investment in key infrastructure and the public realm has established a clear, identifiable (and marketable) place and brand. The early occupation of the Granary Building by the University of the Arts London has established an active public centre in the site, and this has been supported by early provision of restaurants and bars, and an arts and events programme. As a consequence, headline rents are over double those that were predicted when planning approval was granted, despite the intervening property crash.
Judging by the largely complimentary reports in newspapers, property and architecture magazines, and by the number of visitors to the site, the emerging development is becoming a popular destination. It is still too early to assess the public reaction, but from observation, people from surrounding neighbourhoods are using the site. The canal steps are popular and children are playing in the fountains (Figure 10.4).
The management regime is encouraging rather than controlling this.
Changes in the London economy towards creative industries, and the relocation of the University of the Arts London, mean that King’s Cross is probably a more varied, vibrant and interesting place than was envisaged at the start of the process. Inevitably, the development will deviate from the original plan in response to market conditions, and small-scale changes will occur to buildings and spaces as dictated by innovations in technology, social taste, transport and environmental considerations. By the 2030s it will require a certain amount of retrofitting, renewal and adaptation. In time, parts will be redeveloped and renewed. The real test will be whether it adapts, consolidates, maintains value and achieves long-term success similar to London’s ‘great estates’.
If the planning system can work given the right conditions, what are these conditions and are they replicable in other developments in the UK and beyond? It does need to be said from the start that King’s Cross was a bespoke development scheme, and very much a product of a particular period in London’s development. While aspects of the planning and development process could inform schemes elsewhere, the circumstances could not be replicated and it would be impossible to turn the King’s Cross process into a manual, design code or quality system for other schemes. Each new development scheme needs to find its own pathway. There are some lessons, though, that might be adapted and used in other complex development schemes.
Various government administrations played key roles behind the scenes in relation to King’s Cross.
However, none of the investment plans for the underground station at King’s Cross St Pancras had considered the detailed design implications for development over the station. In retrospect, therefore, the new King’s Cross concourse is a triumph of architectural ingenuity rather than central coordination. Infrastructure decisions had also been made without a detailed consideration of their impact on the future development of the railway lands. The construction of a high-level embankment into St Pancras (rather than a viaduct with through routes) limited options for connecting the site to its adjacent communities, particularly Somers Town to the west.
The approach taken by the landowners set many of the conditions that enabled King’s Cross to succeed:
The way in which the planning system operated in Camden was a product of its political history. Every borough has political agendas that go back a long way, are parochial, not always logical, and are often hidden. Early campaigns against insensitive development proposals had left a legacy of suspicion among some Camden councillors and community activists. This created tensions within council politics and it was always uncertain whether decision-makers in committee would follow the policies set by the leadership. The King’s Cross experience challenges any notion that planning can be divorced from the political process.
There are areas where the political process within Camden council broke down and this could have undermined the entire process. The council leadership was reluctant to address problems within its development control subcommittee and this put officers dangerously close to the fine line between implementing council policy and interfering in the political process. To negotiate with any credibility, officers need to be sure that their committee will support their recommendations, and must adapt their approach to shifts in political direction. The refusal of members of the development control subcommittee to accept any pre-application briefing or debate on the development was potentially disastrous. Times have moved on since then. Government guidance and accepted practice mean that such bizarre circumstances will be increasingly rare.
The negotiation process built towards agreement rather than away from an initial proposal. Its rules were: discuss, propose, consult, evaluate, agree, abide by agreements and move on. While the negotiating teams had not been schooled in the theory, they had the benefit of long experience, and it helped that both wanted to reach an agreement as long as this did not undermine their basic starting principles.
Both sides engaged, consulted, listened and where possible acted to represent others’ interests, but they followed deliberate strategies to limit the direct involvement of other stakeholders at the negotiating table. While this may not follow best practice in negotiation, it was effective. The tactic to lock Islington into Camden’s approach and position removed a major external uncertainty. Argent’s early resolution to work constructively with English Heritage allowed a considered debate to take place regarding the preservation of the site’s historic buildings. The management of all these relationships effectively minimised risk in the planning process.
That the King’s Cross development would be commercial, dense, and mixed use was implicit in the CTRL funding, and in the parameters already set by national and regional policy. Camden council had no scope to propose alternative development scenarios, nor was there the political desire to do so. There was a simple choice: work to get the best possible scheme within these constraints, or face quixotic opposition.
Ultimately, however, planning can control but cannot mandate, and it is ill equipped to move outside its role in allocating land uses. For instance, it cannot dictate the day-to-day management of place, and the long debate over Camden council’s right to adopt the public realm reflects the inability of planning to really make places. Nor can planning ever be a fair process. Argent’s Robert Evans admits there is some truth in community criticism that it can be ‘a one way cheque that binds the council, but not the developer, who can always come back with amendments and changes’.6 The ability of planners to negotiate effectively on such complex development schemes also remains severely constrained by their lack of expertise in property and construction finance. Camden was always at a disadvantage in this respect. Current changes to local government finance and the planning system mean that far from levelling the ‘playing field’ for such negotiations, planners face an ever-steeper uphill struggle.
The masterplan provided a framework for discussion on obtaining the legal consents; it determined the quantum of development (rather than any preconceived, fixed or unrealistic figure), and through the masterplan, tensions and anomalies in the social, commercial and financial agendas could be brought together and resolved.
The importance of city-building that incorporates the historic fabric is gaining acceptance beyond the UK and Europe in other parts of the world, including China. Historic buildings can be seen as a barrier to development but in fact they act as a creative challenge to designers and developers to produce richer and more complex pieces of city.
One of Argent’s guiding principles was never to relinquish control over the appointment of architects. Within the framework provided by the masterplan, they commissioned a range of good architectural practices to design individual buildings. The result was never meant to be radical architecture but to build an enduring piece of city, London’s next ‘great estate’. In support of this approach, Rowan Moore, architecture critic of the Observer, suggests that extravagant new architecture would have been inappropriate in the presence of powerful historic structures like the stations and the Granary, and that prioritising the design of open spaces that set off these historic structures, rather than individual buildings, was the right approach.7
The community consultation processes were extensive and in many respects exemplary.
That said, it is clear that the consultation process (when related to Arnstein’s Ladder, see Chapter 7), lay somewhere between consultation and involvement rather than a genuine partnership where stakeholders are enabled to negotiate and engage in trade-offs with the decision-makers. Within the fluid world of fragmented governance, rapid changes in political priorities and single-issue politics, stakeholder management is key to minimising risk. The ideal of genuine consensus-building through multi-party negotiation is unachievable in the face of deep ideological differences where the policy framework (and the underlying power structures) have already constrained the parameters of the debate. Sometimes conflicting objectives cannot be reconciled and political choices have to be made. Ultimately, the pre-application consultations did nothing to speed up the planning process. Ironically, they gave opposition groups the time to gather force.
A key lesson from this case study is that individuals make places through engaging in a political process. Personal relationships do not necessarily fit comfortably within academic research, but they are the building blocks of city-making. The subject of trust comes up constantly in the narrative: trust between officers and councillors, between the landowners, and between the negotiating teams.
At times the process also involved a considerable amount of luck.
The King’s Cross development is a product of its time and outcomes would have been very different had economic conditions and political priorities been different. The period between 2000 and 2007 was also one of sustained boom and optimism in the London economy. In such conditions it is far easier to take a more enlightened approach to the creation of mixed communities, the provision of affordable housing and the design of high quality buildings and public spaces. To the extent that the scheme was driven by key individuals who came together at a unique juncture, it is clearly not replicable. Those involved entered into what was in many ways a unique partnership that was driven by a shared vision, a desire to make the scheme happen and a willingness to work in an open and trusting way.
A number of recent and proposed changes by the present government affecting housing and planning policies, and the funding arrangements for affordable housing, would make the construction of a truly mixed community with high levels of affordable housing such as King’s Cross almost impossible today. The government housing grant for Resident Social Landlords to build affordable homes has been steadily eroded. The current four-year settlement is worth £4.5 billion, and represents a 60 per cent reduction on the previous allocation (2008–11). The grant works out on average at just £20,000 per home or 14 per cent of its cost. The spending review in June 2015 announced further reductions in housing association funding. As well as cutting the level of investment, the type of home funded was also changed in 2010 with the ending of capital subsidy for forms of housing with lower rents (social rent) which cost more in up-front subsidy.9
On top of this, the government has pledged to scrap the rules that require property developers to build affordable homes for rent, instead favouring the provision of affordable homes for purchase. In 2011 the new National Planning Framework scrapped the threshold that forced private developments of 15 properties or more to contain some affordable rental housing.10
Existing planning agreements to provide affordable housing for rent are also being steadily eroded. The Growth and Infrastructure Act 2013 introduced a new appeal procedure for the review of planning obligations on planning permissions that relate to the provision of affordable housing.11 The changes require a council to assess the viability arguments, and renegotiate previously agreed affordable housing levels in a section 106 agreement or face an appeal. Developers now have the ability to fast-track a challenge against a section 106 agreement if it can show that building the low-cost homes makes a scheme unviable. It is estimated that in over five years more than 2,300 affordable homes have been lost from housing schemes across the UK.12
The Housing and Planning Bill13 aims to extend the right to buy to housing association properties. This means housing association properties can be bought at a discount by their tenants.14 The discount will be financed by the forced sale by local authorities of their most valuable properties. Both moves will reduce the amount of affordable housing for rent, and in Central London will accelerate the displacement of those on the lowest incomes. It is anticipated that many housing associations will increasingly build for open market sale and rent.
The Housing and Planning Bill also sets out plans to order councils to deal with planning applications much more quickly. The Bill provides greater powers to the mayor of London on the types of planning applications that can be called in for the mayor’s determination, or where the mayor can direct a local authority to refuse a scheme. The balance in London has shifted significantly away from boroughs to the Greater London Authority (GLA). It is unlikely that Camden council would have been allowed the same freedom on the King’s Cross scheme in today’s context. In addition, the housing targets that are now allocated by the GLA to opportunity areas have not only increased density exponentially, but have moved the focus of local planning away from the creation of sustainable places towards hitting housing targets.
The section 106 agreement has largely been superseded by the Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL). If this had been in place at the time of the King’s Cross planning application, it is quite possible that the scheme would not have been viable. CIL is paid in advance and is calculated on a simple formula against the floor space of the scheme. Under current arrangements the CIL would have been approximately £80 million.15 On this basis there would have been little scope for the affordable housing or community benefits that contribute towards making the scheme a sustainable community and a real piece of city. It makes little sense to marry a highly discretionary planning system with fixed development tariffs that export the community benefits away from the site in question. CIL is, in this respect, a form of taxation.
In early 2016, two significant events occurred that may have a bearing on the future of King’s Cross. First, the government sold its 36.5 per cent stake (held by LCR, a state-owned company) for £371 million to an Australian pension fund, AustralianSuper.16 This represents the end of LCR’s 20-year involvement in the project. The second was the announcement that Roger Madelin was stepping down as Argent’s chief executive to join British Land and take control of its Canada Water development, a major mixed-use scheme in south-east London. Coming together, these announcements represent the end of a particular era in the history of King’s Cross.
The question now is whether the particular approach that LCR and Argent, under Madelin, brought to King’s Cross will continue. Is the culture of the scheme so well established that it will endure, or is King’s Cross destined to become just another development? These are questions over which the planning system will have little influence.