Power System Planning (Reliability)
15 Planning Environments Gerald B. Sheblé
Introduction • Defining a Competitive Framework • Regulated Environment • Other Sections on Planning • References
16 Short-Term Load and Price Forecasting with Artificial Neural Networks Alireza Khotanzad
Artificial Neural Networks • Short-Term Load Forecasting • Short-Term Price Forecasting • References
17 Transmission Plan Evaluation: Assessment of System Reliability N. Dag Reppen and James W. Feltes
Bulk Power System Reliability and Supply Point Reliability • Methods for Assessing Supply Point Reliability • Probabilistic Reliability Assessment Methods • Application Examples • References
18 Power System Planning Hyde M. Merrill
Planning Entities • Arenas • The Planning Problem • Planning Processes • References
19 Power System Reliability Richard E. Brown
NERC Regions • System Adequacy Assessment • System Security Assessment • Probabilistic Security Assessment • Distribution System Reliability • Typical Sequence of Events after an Overhead Distribution Fault • Distribution Reliability Indices • Storms and Major Events • Component Reliability Data • Utility Reliability Problems • Reliability Economics • Annual Variations in Reliability • References
20 Probabilistic Methods for Planning and Operational Analysis Gerald T. Heydt and Peter W. Sauer
Uncertainty in Power System Engineering • Deterministic Power Flow Studies • Monte Carlo Power Flow Studies • Analytical Probabilistic Power Flow Studies • Applications for Available Transfer Capability (ATC) • An Example of Stochastic ATC • An Example of Expected Financial Income from Transmission Tariffs • Wind Energy Resources and Stochastic Power Flow Studies • Solar Photovoltaic Energy Resources and Stochastic Power Flow Studies • Conclusions • References
21 Engineering Principles of Electricity Pricing Lawrence J. Vogt
Electricity Pricing Overview • Electric Cost-of-Service Study • Cost-of-Service Study Framework • Minimum Distribution System Analysis • Analysis of Load Diversity • Analysis of Demand and Energy Losses • Electric Rate Design • Cost Curve Development • Rate Design Methodology • Reference
22 Business Essentials Richard E. Brown
Introduction • Accounting • Finance • Financial Risk • Financial Ratios • Asset Management
Gerald B. Sheblé, executive advisor and senior director of U.S. Research and Development, has more than 38 years of experience in industry, consulting, expert witness, and academic environments. He has led research, development, and implementation for power system operation and planning using classical analytics and computational adaptive agents. Dr. Sheblé is an internationally recognized expert in the area of electric energy auction markets, capital budgeting, power system analysis, and real option valuation. He is nationally recognized as one of the nation’s leading business experts on business trends within the utility industry and on trends forced by external economic drivers. His expertise extends from smart grid, data mining, power system optimization, electric energy market modeling, energy and emission management, control automation, technology innovation, bulk power operations, generation and transmission planning, operator training, energy risk management, distribution operations, energy management systems, to portfolio decision analysis of interchange contracts. His academic work has concentrated on developing concepts, methods, and products for reregulated operation, market analysis and design, equipment scheduling (especially unit commitment), transaction evaluation, reliability analysis by decision analysis, Monte Carlo simulation, failure tree analysis, market simulation and energy economics, decision analysis, and real option valuation of renewable energy equipment.
He has pioneered structure and market definition predicting successful industry reregulation. He has also authored over 100 papers and 50 research documents. He is an associate business scene editor of IEEE Power Magazine. His columns are frequently highlighted in respected trade journals for industry innovations. He has been a premier guest or contributor at over 50 specialized workshops or courses throughout Europe and North America in over 24 countries. He has recently been an expert witness on electrical accidents, deficient project management, grounding, and intellectual property rights. He has also been an expert witness on software engineering, software business planning, and industrial trends.
Before joining Quanta Technology, he has worked for Commonwealth Edison, Systems Control Inc., Control Data Corporation, Energy and Control Consultants, Auburn University, Iowa State University, Portland Stat University, University of Porto (Portugal), and INESC Porto.
Dr. Sheblé received his MBA from The University of Iowa (Henry B. Tippie College of Business), his PhD from Virginia Technological and State University, and his MSEE and BSEE from Purdue University. Dr. Sheblé is an IEEE Fellow for his contributions to the development of auction methods as an alternative to power system optimization methods, addressing the deregulation of the electric utility business.
Dr. Gerald Sheblé can be reached at [email protected].